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Pennsylvania: McCain's Ultimate Must-Win State
October 31, 2008 8:27 AM
Pennsylvania has become the ultimate must-win state for John McCain.
Four years ago it was all about Ohio. Four years before that the election hinged on Florida. But on Tuesday night, watch Pennsylvania.
Here's why: right now Barack Obama is ahead in a range of states that were won by Republicans last time around, including Virginia and Ohio.
He's also leading McCain is states like Colorado by six points, in Nevada by seven points, and North Carolina by six points.
The only way McCain can find a viable path to 270 electoral votes is if he steals Pennsylvania's 21 electoral votes away from the Democrats.
But it's not going to be easy. It's a state that hasn't gone for a Republican presidential candidate since George H.W. Bush in 1988.
And Obama is leading McCain in Pennsylvania by double-digits, according to some state polls.
Still, McCain is hoping he can sway Independents and working-class voters there, many who went for Sen. Hillary Clinton in the primaries.
That's why he has spent so much time there.
That's why the McCain campaign has lavished so much money there. It's why they keep coming back to the state again and again.
It's McCain's must-win state Tuesday night.
--George Stephanopoulos
October 31, 2008 in Barack Obama, Democrats Vote 2008, John McCain, Republicans Vote 2008 | Permalink | Share | User Comments (240)
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The thing that is most bizarre about the election map is that McCain's own state is only leaning towards him. To me, that says the people that "really know anything about him", will probably vote no to McCain -- probably due to his own poor choices of associations.
Oh, the irony!
Obama/Biden 08!
Posted by: Common Sense | Oct 31, 2008 8:34:52 AM
Obama 54% mccain 42%
Obama 340 EV
mccain 198 EV
Results will be in by 10:11pm Nov. 4th.
Posted by: pt | Oct 31, 2008 8:41:01 AM
I'm just curious if it's common practice for both the Presidential and Vice Presidential candidates to submit their health records prior to an election why more attention isn't being placed on why Sarah Palin hasn't produced her records?
Posted by: Andy Arnold | Oct 31, 2008 8:41:48 AM
PA was smart enough not to go for bush/cheney in 2000 and 2004. PA will definately be smart enough NOT to go for mccain this time. Obama/Biden 2008!!!
Posted by: pt | Oct 31, 2008 8:42:26 AM
Thanks pt...no need to watch now :-)
Posted by: jgonzalez | Oct 31, 2008 8:43:48 AM
If McCain pulls the upset in Penn. it means he has neglected other states too much.Even with Penn. Obama gets to 270 through Virginia and Colorado.Or North Carolina.Or Florida. Or Ohio.Or Colorado, Nevada, and North Dakota.Or.........
Posted by: bskahn | Oct 31, 2008 8:47:07 AM
Ed Rollins said it; a landslide for Obama.
Posted by: JoeShmoe | Oct 31, 2008 8:47:49 AM
pt - I hope you're right, both times. I just find it amazing and unbelievable that after the last eight years that literally has brought our country to its knees, ANYONE could vote for a republican ticket. Whether it's economic issues or national security, Obama is far superior in terms of intelligence, rationality, steadiness, and better for the country as a whole. It shakes me to the core to think of McCain and Palin in charge.
Posted by: counting crows | Oct 31, 2008 8:51:00 AM
Many in Ohio including my husband and I are voting McCain. I was a Hillary supporter and we strongly feel that the democratic party did whatever possible to ensure her defeat. We all forget Michigan and Florida and Howard Deans rules that penalized these states. This secured Obama's noimination. The dems did not want Hillary so they stacked what they could against her. That is where they lost me and many others. I also voted democratically since I've been a registerd voter. (not because of pro-choice either) My party thinks I don't pay attention to ALL that has gone on in the last two years. I see another attempt to push women out and stiffle us. I will not tolerate it. Vote McCain!
Posted by: Amanda | Oct 31, 2008 8:54:27 AM
Sorry you feel that way Amanda, but Michigan and Florida did it to themselves by going against the party rules and scheduling their primaries when they did. Hillary was a good candidate and any other year she would have been the nominee. But her campaign failed the same way that McCain is failing. No clear cut message..she was experienced...then she was the change candidate. I think if you truly dissect what occurred Hillary failed to respect what Obama was able to do with his grass roots campaign. To vote for McCain is to go against everything that Hillary ran for. Her and Obama's positions are pratically identical. It is your vote and you have decided, just as I have here in PA to vote for Obama.
May the best candidate win Tuesday.
My hope is that it is the candidate of Hope and Change
Barack Obama in 08
Posted by: SwiftyPA | Oct 31, 2008 9:01:44 AM
Andy - yes, when do we get Palin's medical records?
Doubtful they will surface.
Ridiculous - there are too many things that the media won't pursue (primarily Palin issues & questions)...why?
Obama/Biden 2008
Posted by: scooterfoot | Oct 31, 2008 9:04:51 AM
Year after year, I do understand why the anyone in the working class (making less than $30,000 single or $50,000 for a family) would vote Republican, as the party now stands. They may share your social values on issues like guns and abortion, but their economic policies have consistently made the working classes poorer. It's simply a fact. Don't buy into the nonsense about "socialism" or "class warfare". Mainstream Democrats are no Marxists. But they do have poorer people in mind when it comes to tax policy. By voting Republican -- presumably for social policy reasons -- poor Americans only make Wall Street fat cats richer.
Posted by: James from Oklahoma | Oct 31, 2008 9:10:50 AM
I don't see McCain getting out of the 100's for Electoral Votes. No way. No how. No McCain. Obama '08
Posted by: 4Prosperity | Oct 31, 2008 9:12:21 AM
Yikes!!! What a typo. I meant: "I do *not* understand." Sorry.
Posted by: James from Oklahoma | Oct 31, 2008 9:12:55 AM
McCain keeps hoping he can take Penn away from Obama, what's to say Obama might take a state from McCain.
Posted by: elizabeth7 | Oct 31, 2008 9:14:13 AM
10 REASONS MCCAIN SHOULD NOT WIN PA
1. He is weak on the economy - he has admitted it, and his aides have confirmed it.
2. He has run a disgustingly negative campaign.
3. Obama's plan on healthcare is better - and two days ago a McCain aide admitted it.
4. McCain's temperment is not suited to the presidency. He is petty, vindictive, and has a killer temper. Obama, by contrast, is calm and deliberative.
5. Obama has a better "ground game." More state offices, more involvement.
6. Like in the primaries, the high profile endorsements are tipping Obama's way - most notably Colin Powell.
7. Rendell is a good Governor - and a strong Obama supporter.
8. McCain will be a continuation of George Bush. He has NEVER effectively answered this charge. Saying a zinger in a debate is not a rebuttal.
9. Sarah Palin.
10. Sarah Palin.
Posted by: jon in maryland | Oct 31, 2008 9:14:36 AM
I would like to see Palin's medical records! Got something to hide Sarah? You betcha!
Posted by: AudreyA | Oct 31, 2008 9:16:45 AM
I have two family members volunteering in Pennsylvania for Obama. I think he has a very good chance to hold on to that state. My brother, who is quite conservative, is not even very enthused about McCain.
We are all ready for change.
Posted by: mary | Oct 31, 2008 9:19:00 AM
What are Mccains Proposals as President? at his rallies I dont Hear anything about the Economy,Healthcare,Education,The wars Nothing all Mccain does is talk about Obama. MCCAIN WHAT ARE YOUR PLANS AS PRESIDENT? What are your plans on all the Issuses that I mentioned above and Yes I agree with the post on board WHERE ARE SARA PALINS MEDICAL RECORDS?
Posted by: Angie | Oct 31, 2008 9:20:30 AM
LOL@ amanda...conspiracy within the DNC? Please, Voting for McCain because Hillary lost is cutting off your nose to spite your face. It's retarded, but good luck to you and hopefully when your head hits the pillow you sleep well at night knowing you vote is based on selfish derision.
Posted by: biily | Oct 31, 2008 9:23:29 AM
A question of perspective
Obama/Biden vs. McCain/Palin
What if things were switched around? Think about it. Would the country's collective point of view be different?
What if the Obama’s had paraded five children across the stage, including a three-month-old infant and an unwed, pregnant teenage daughter?
What if John McCain was a former president of the Harvard Law Review?
What if Barack Obama finished fifth from the bottom of his graduating class?•
What if McCain had only married once, and Obama was a divorcee?•
What if Obama was the candidate who left his first wife after a severe disfiguring car accident, when she no longer measured up to his standards?•
What if Obama had met his second wife in a bar and had a long affair while he was still married? •
What if Michelle Obama was the wife who not only became addicted to painkillers but also acquired them illegally through her charitable organization?•
What if Cindy McCain graduated from Harvard?•
What if Obama had been a member of the Keating Five? (The Keating Five were 5 US Senators accused of corruption in 1989, igniting a major political scandal as part of the larger Savings and Loan crisis of the late 1980s and early 1990s.)•
What if McCain was a charismatic, eloquent speaker?•
What if Obama couldn't read from a teleprompter?•
What if Obama was the one who had military experience that included discipline problems and a record of crashing seven planes?•
What if Obama was the one who was known to display publicly, on many occasions, a serious anger management problem?•
What if Michelle Obama's family had made their money from beer distribution?•
What if the Obama’s had adopted a white child?•
If these questions reflected reality, do you really believe the election numbers would be as close as they are?
This is racism and fanaticism pure and simple. It covers up, rationalizes and minimizes positive qualities in one candidate and emphasizes negative qualities in another.
EDUCATION BACKGROUND:•
Barack Obama: Columbia University - B.A. Political Science with a Specialization in International Relations. * Harvard - Juris Doctor (J.D.) Magna Cum Laude
Joseph Biden: *University of Delaware - B.A. in History and B.A. in Political Science. *Syracuse University College of Law - Juris Doctor (J.D.) vs. •
John McCain: *United States Naval Academy - Class rank: 894 of 899
Sarah Palin: * Hawaii Pacific University - 1 semester *North Idaho College - 2 semesters - general study * University of Idaho - 2 semesters – journalism *Matanuska-Susitna College - 1 semester *University of Idaho - 3 semesters - B.A. in Journalism.
Education isn't everything, but this is about the two highest offices in the land as well as our standing in the world. Intelligence should matter.
Posted by: Deb in Iowa | Oct 31, 2008 9:25:35 AM
I live in PA. I am from Pittsburgh but now live in small town central PA. I am for Obama. But I have to say thank goodness for Pittsburgh and Philly because no Dem would win if it was not for them. The people in this town are definately for McCain. They are affraid of Obama's color and are convinced he is a Muslim which they think makes him a terrorist. It is quite frustrating to live here.
Posted by: Marie | Oct 31, 2008 9:27:32 AM
Palin's medical records?
Everyone knows that Trig is her oldest daughter's child and not Sarah Palin's.
Why else would a healthy, "fine", athletic woman in her condition not want to release them? Sarah says release them and McCain's handlers say no.
It's ok Sarah, we already know. We also know that the shotgun wedding that was previously planned for your daughter with that fine specimen of a young man, won't happen.
POTUS OBAMA - IT'S A LOCK
Posted by: Denmark Vessey | Oct 31, 2008 9:30:23 AM
It really shouldn't matter what Sarah Palin's health history is, whether she had 4 children or 5. I am sure Trig is hers since her 17-year-old daughter is about to give birth this month and that fact mathematically eliminates her from being Trig's mother. Nevertheless, Sarah cannot be elected V.P. Not only is she not qualified, but her screechy voice would give me seizures if I had to listen to her nonsense for 4 years or even 4 hours! Yikes.
Posted by: geecee | Oct 31, 2008 9:32:00 AM
Andy Arnold: "why more attention isn't being placed on why Sarah Palin hasn't produced her records?"
Because it's not really relevant. Based on her actual record as mayor and governor, the only people who support her in any way would still support even if her medical records cited that she feasted on the flesh of puppies every morning. Everyone else's opinion of her, based on her actual leadership record and demonstrated abilities, can't get lower anyhow. Any records will be ignored by her devoted cult followers and everyone else has enough relevant data to have made a decision.
Posted by: jhw539 | Oct 31, 2008 9:32:47 AM
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