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Scozzafava Dropping Out
October 31, 2009 11:06 AM
Watertown Times reports that the Republican candidate in NY-23 is suspending her campaign.
The news comes after a new Siena Poll out today shows Dede Scozzafava badly trailing Democrat Bill Owens and Conservative Doug Hoffman, who are locked in a dead heat.
Winners: Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty and Club for Growth
Losers: Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney
We'll kick this around on powerhouse roundtable tomorrow with George Will, Al Sharpton, DeeDee Myers, Ed Gillespie and Ron Brownstein.
UPDATE: My colleague, ABC News' David Chalian, has more on what this shake up means for NY-23:
The Republican nominee for Congress in the high profile upstate special House race ended her candidacy today.
"It is increasingly clear that pressure is mounting on many of my supporters to shift their support. Consequently, I hereby release those individuals who have endorsed and supported my campaign to transfer their support as they see fit to do so. I am and have always been a proud Republican. It is my hope that with my actions today, my party will emerge stronger," Assemblywoman DeDe Scozzafava wrote in the Watertown Daily Times.
Obviously, this will shake things up a bit.
Scozzafava's name is still on the ballot, but she was bleeding support and releases all of her supporters to support other candidates. She doesn't endorse either of her opponents in her statement.
A new Siena Research Institute poll out this morning showed the battle had become a two man race with Scozzafava fading.
Democrat Owens was at 36 percent, Conservative Hoffman at 35, and Scozzafava at 20 percent.
"In recent days, polls have indicated that my chances of winning this election are not as strong as we would like them to be. The reality that I've come to accept is that in today's political arena, you must be able to back up your message with money—and as I've been outspent on both sides, I've been unable to effectively address many of the charges that have been made about my record," wrote Scozzafava.
This is clearly a huge victory for the lead conservative group bankrolling Hoffman's ads - Club for Growth. They have been at the forefront of the push to dispel moderates from the Republican ranks and support more purely conservative candidates. (To say nothing of the Palin victory over Gingrich in the endorsement battle.)
In a preview of Democratic spin to come, DCCC Chairman Chris Van Hollen told reporters on Thursday that the NY-23 battle made clear to him that the "extreme" wing of the GOP was winning the "civil war" currently underway inside the Republican Party.
Clearly the local GOP in NY nominated someone out of step with the national party and provided a wide opening for the Conservative Party candidate.
Scozzafava's move today is likely to be a boost for Hoffman - putting this potential pick-up opportunity for Democrats farther out of reach.
Vice President Biden is expected in the district on Monday to rally the Democratic troops, but watch for most of the national Democratic energy to focus on New Jersey rather intensely in these last 72 hours, as they hope to avoid going 0 for 3 on Tuesday -- a result that would provide a big shot in the arm to Republicans heading into the 2010 midterm election year.
October 31, 2009 in Republicans | Permalink | Share | User Comments (136)
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You lost me when I saw that Al Sharpton is on your round table ... please.
Posted by: Charles L | Oct 31, 2009 11:25:40 AM
Doesn't this still leave her on the ballot though at this late date? She will, undoubtedly, still get votes
Posted by: Pamela | Oct 31, 2009 11:29:12 AM
OMG - Palin again! Enough already. She is like this recurring pain in the backside that we just can't get rid of, no matter how hard we try. She's too much of a religious radical nut for mainstream America. George, this is not a show that I'll be tuned into!
Posted by: jmb | Oct 31, 2009 11:34:31 AM
This is good news, not only for the Republican Party but for the country. The last thing in the world we need are more Liberals / Leftists / Socialists / Communists that have been trashing America since the 1960s. Every voter in his district should be at the polling place to vote Hoffman on Tuesday.
Posted by: Ron | Oct 31, 2009 11:36:45 AM
Not only is Bob McConnell going to win, but Republicans downticket in Virginia are polling higher than their Democratic opponents. The Virginia election certainly is a referendum on the Democrats' far-left agenda. Virginians don't like it very much, and I predict neither will the rest of the country in 2010.
Posted by: Carrie Anne | Oct 31, 2009 12:05:29 PM
Thank You Doug Hoffman for running!...Principle over Party!!!...GO DOUG!!!
Posted by: Mike | Oct 31, 2009 12:05:56 PM
Wait til Grandma feels the cuts in Medicare. Wait til Obama lowers his threshold of "rich" for taxing purposes to $50,000 a year. Wait til the reality of govt-run healthcare sets in. (I know because I grew up in Great Britain). 2010 will be bad for Democrats. 2012 will be a bloodbath.
Posted by: Carrie Anne | Oct 31, 2009 12:11:47 PM
DCCC Chairman Chris Van Hollen refers to the "extreme" wing of the Republican Party? Would that "extreme" wing include the 40% of Americans who consider themselves conservative? Chris Van Hollen is part of a far-left party seeking to govern a center-right country. I'd say he has more to worry about that the Republican Party. Just eleven short months ago, the Democrats were applauding the country's so-called "shift to the left." Looks like country is sending a message to the Democrats. Of course, the Obama-Pelosi crowd won't hear the message. They've already proven that they are tone-deaf.
Posted by: Carrie Anne | Oct 31, 2009 12:19:01 PM
I agree with Mike. Al Sharpton? I'll skip This Week's podcast this week too!
Posted by: Steve | Oct 31, 2009 12:20:53 PM
Good for Doug and for Palin helping him. It is clear that the RNC is useless and is much like the DNC. We need to get as many conservative people elected that are not as holden to the national parties (notice I said "parties" as they are really the same).
Posted by: Jeff G | Oct 31, 2009 12:24:17 PM
Sarah Palin has proven once again that she is the heir apparent to Ronald Reagan. This woman has withstood more attacks than any other politician and yet she is still standing, still happy, still grounded in the beliefs of middle America, and still taking it to those who hate our nation. She is an inspiration to me. She will be an inspiration to our country when Obama gets the boot in 2012.
Posted by: Jenny | Oct 31, 2009 12:24:20 PM
I prefer Al Sharpton to that Donna Brazile character. She's the one who suggested working-class whites walk out the door if they didn't like the direction the Democratic Party was moving. After 54 years as a Democrat, I took her advice.
Posted by: Rachel Jackson, Independent | Oct 31, 2009 12:26:01 PM
This is great. The more extremists Republicans recruit and the fewer votes they will get. Talk about blinders.
Posted by: David | Oct 31, 2009 12:33:35 PM
Hopefully Sarah Palin's influence in this race will lead to other third party candidates. Both the Democrats and the Republicans are morally bankrupt. They both seek power for themselves at the expense of all of us.
I also hope that Palin immerses herself in the issues facing our country and chooses to run in 2012. We simply need somebody in the White House that is not a tool of one party or the other and will truly change our government. It is already clear that Obama will not be that person. McCain woul have been just as bad. Quite frankly, Palin may be the last best hope that we have for true reform. I don't make that statement easily because I know she still needs to do some homework. She does however have the courage to oppose her own party, even when it will harm her, and that is for me a trait that simply does not exist in other politicians. That is a trait that may be the only thing that can save our country from the destructive environment we now find ourselves in.
Posted by: Greg | Oct 31, 2009 12:37:52 PM
I hope Sarah Palin is NOT the Republican nomininee in 2012, but if she is, I will certainly vote for her. I would consider her the lesser of two evils. Absolutely anyone would be better than the whining, America-hating Socialist we have in the WH right now. Hopefully the Republicans will pick someone who can appeal to moderate Independents as well as Republicans. I honestly believe that moderate and conservative Republicans will come together to defeat Obama and the Democrats in 2012. I also think a sizeable minority of Democrats - about 10 - 15% - will cross over to the Republican side, at least for the 2012 election. We are Americans first, party members second. We see our country going the way of Chavez' Venezuala, and it's frightening - even to someone like me, who's voted Democratic my entire life. What happened to my party? What happened to the party that only wanted a fair shake for the working man? When did my party become the Socialist Democrats of America?
Posted by: Rachel Jackson, Independent | Oct 31, 2009 12:38:45 PM
It's funny... you report about how the terrible "CONSERVATIVES" are going more far right but where's your report about how the far left has taken over the democrat party? Or how about a report about how CBS, ABC, and NBC stack shows like yours with leftys and wishywashy republicans so that when you do have a true conservative on they get accosted from all sides? Might as well change the name of your show to "The Sunday edition of The View."
Posted by: Aaron Michael | Oct 31, 2009 12:43:18 PM
"This is great. The more extremists Republicans recruit and the fewer votes they will get."
Keep telling yourself that. :)
Posted by: CH | Oct 31, 2009 12:46:10 PM
Let me amend my statement. I don't consider Sarah Palin "the lesser of two evils." That was a bad choice of words. She is not evil. In fact, she is courageous, and moral. I just feel that she is not qualified to be President - AT THE PRESENT TIME. (Of course, Obama wasn't qualified, either, but that didn't matter to the Kool-aid drinkers). I'm sure Sarah Palin will grow and be able to present herself well. She is obviously a very intelligent woman, despite the efforts by the MSM to make her look bad. I wish her well. I'm committed to supporting whatever candidate the Republicans choose, be it Sarah Palin or anyone else.
Posted by: Rachel Jackson, Independent | Oct 31, 2009 12:46:31 PM
What is happening in NY, as one commentator stated, is a civil war between the religious conservatives, fiscal conservatives and moderates of the Republican party. This intra-party war will continue to diminish the Republicans as a viable party. Yes, the party will win seats in 2010 but it will not be the Republican party it will be the Religious Republican party. In my opinion the moderates and fiscal conservatives should create a new "Republican" party. Perhaps name it the "Independent Republican" party. I'm an indepedent voter who was a Reagan supporter. But in the 1990s I switched my votes to moderate Democrats because the party of Reagan has been taken over by religious Taliban-like individuals bent on turning the USA into a one religion, one government society where women and minorities are relegated to the kitchen and closets.
Posted by: Peter | Oct 31, 2009 12:58:41 PM
GOP party is in trouble. The democratic base has set such high hopes that it will be very difficult to achive. The problem is Americans are tired and angry and in need to blame someone. They are growing fustrated and impatient with both parties. They are only willing to give a small window of opportunity to either party to fix things. I see toss up election going back and forth untill they see changes
Posted by: Mark | Oct 31, 2009 1:02:03 PM
"the party of Reagan has been taken over by religious Taliban-like individuals bent on turning the USA into a one religion, one government society where women and minorities are relegated to the kitchen and closets." Peter
Peter, you are NOT an independent, as you claim. You're a socialist Kool-aid drinker using Saul Alinsky tactics to attack your enemies. You don't fool anyone.
Posted by: Tripp | Oct 31, 2009 1:13:34 PM
". . . Taliban-like individuals bent on turning the USA into a one religion, one government society where women and minorities are relegated to the kitchen . . . "
WHAT? Way back in 2008, wasn't it the Republican Party that ran a woman in the vice-presidential spot? As I recall, it was the Democratic Party that trashed its female candidate as if she had no business running. So which party is closer to the Taliban?
Whoever made this comment is an idiot.
Posted by: Janet | Oct 31, 2009 1:19:49 PM
It's SO-OOOO funny that conservative republicans are so hot for Palin when conservatives have been AGAINST every law that helped women for the last 100 years. 1) Conservatives were AGAINST giving women the right to make contracts without a male co-signer 2)conservatives were AGAINST giving women the right to vote 3) conservatives were AGAINST allowing women into medical and law schools 4) they were AGAINST allowing women to use birth control, etc. etc. If Palin and her conservatives had their way, women in America would still be all barefoot and pregnant!
Posted by: AlChemist | Oct 31, 2009 1:23:05 PM
Al Sharpton? You've got to be kidding. Surely you can do better, George.
Posted by: JackSmith | Oct 31, 2009 1:28:28 PM
I must be saying something right when people out there call me an "idiot". It's fine if you want to call me an "idiot"; I have been called worse. By the way who is Saul Alinksy? As a 53 year old white male from New Hampshire I know a little about conservatism and liberalism and the Republican party.
A true Republican is an individual who:
Desires to be free from government intervention in business and in private life.
Desires to be free from religious persecution from zealots from the religious right.
Desires that everyone has an equal right to "life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness" regardless of race, gender, sexual orientation or ethnicity.
I could go on but those three desires strike closest two my political beliefs.
When the Republican party gets back to those core principles that's when I will come back to the party. Until then I will stay an Independent.
As far as the Democratic party is concerned the liberals can be just as bad as the religious conservatives. I guess we can call them Trotskyites. Can someone with a bit of intelligence tell me what Trotsky believed in and why he was murdered?
Posted by: Peter | Oct 31, 2009 1:52:57 PM
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