Matthew Dowd

Matthew Dowd has been a campaign strategist in races throughout the country. In 30 years, Dowd has worked for Democrats and Republicans, most recently serving as chief strategist for President George W. Bush in 2004.

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End Game: Clinton's Exit Strategy

May 07, 2008 2:02 AM

Opinion by Matthew Dowd, ABC News Political Contributor

In the aftermath of the Indiana and North Carolina Democratic primaries, I have at least one observation having watched the results and Hillary Clinton's speech.

What do President Bush and Hillary clinton have in common? Neither had an exit strategy ready.

The curtain on the long Clinton Broadway campaign is coming down. It hasn't hit the floor yet, but it's real close.

The math and the money and the message and the momentum are all now basically and inevitably against her. And her remarks after the results became clear show she is unprepared to accept defeat at this point and exit.

The writing is on the wall but it looks like she doesn't want to read it.

It will come but may take some time to accept reality.

Barack Obama cleared the last big hurdle he needed to clear this week. He had to show the superdelegates and the Democratic party that he wasn't damaged goods and could take hits and walk through adversity. That through the last month's struggle he could bounce back, that he could learn and grow as a candidate, and then win after that. 

Obama's convincing win in North Carolina proved that he is ready for primetime and can fight the good fight headed into November. And that is one of the most important lessons in this presidential process.

My prediction is that slowly and assuredly superdelegates will move in his direction in the days ahead and that this will confirm his status as the Democratic nominee.

He now has a larger delegate lead than he had before the string of Clinton victories over the last six weeks. That is an undeniable fact. 

Clinton will come to this conclusion at some point soon. It might take days. It might take a few weeks.  But that truth will be faced. First in her head and then in her heart.

So, hopefully one of her campaign generals is putting together that exit strategy so she can implement it soon.

May 7, 2008 | Permalink | User Comments (545)

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Sad, sad night for team Clinton. It's over, but have they accepted it? We'll see. In the meantime, I sure wish "WestCoastMessenger" was still posting on here so I could smack him around severely.

Posted by: Mark | May 7, 2008 2:17:09 AM

LOVE the line "No exit strategy"

Posted by: S W Velsor | May 7, 2008 2:24:08 AM

I sure hope Hillary starts smelling the coffee very soon. She lost and needs to bow out graciously. She now needs to send a strong message to those who support her that they MUST now support Obama in November. Something tells me that she will not go out graciously and with dignity. She may end up ensuring that John McCain wins... I hope Hillary does the right thing and supports the real winner --- OBAMA!

Posted by: Mrs. Tiggywinkle | May 7, 2008 2:26:36 AM

You dont have to be a GOOF about it dowd.

Its like your entire article is GLOATING like a 15 year old.

Congrats to senator Obama. He ran a brilliant campaign.

But its journalists like you Dowd who dont make it easy for us Clinton supporters to support Obama.

You just make us hate him more when you mock Hillary.

Posted by: tomdavie | May 7, 2008 2:33:23 AM

The math has been the same for 2 months. His ability to stand back up after the media and the Republican Clintons hit him time and time again was already a known. It has just taken this long for the media to crawl off his back.
Will Clinton leave now? Nope. It has never been when to leave..she has always been the embarressing drunk that won't leave a party until someone man handles them out of a house. In Denver when it is finally over and she has no recourse, then she will leave.
Will her Senatoral seat still be avaliable? I wouldn't bet the house on it after her racist pranks recently. People tend to have longer memories than politicans wish they had. Her total disregard for the democratic party will also come back to haunt her when a fellow democrat runs against her and uses her own actions.
She has damaged Senator Obama and we will see come November how badly though any hopes she may have had regarding running in 2012 if he loses are long gone now. She has shown a side that decent people won't support.

Posted by: Brian | May 7, 2008 2:35:09 AM

Sen.Obama has defeated the shameless media and the Republicans who voted for HRC. I take a look at the Americans news via my mobile internet phone from Holland in Europe , where I live now. For the past days, everything I saw on CBS news as I logged in, as their top stories, were incendiary attacks against Sen.Obama. It was awful! Today CNN mobile hasn't even posted the election results, Yahoo shows a smily HRC with a Clinton won Indiana,CBS called Indiana early for HRC , it is really a media conspiracy..Anyway, we are very happy here that he will be the nominee, there is just no way around it!

Posted by: carmen | May 7, 2008 2:36:34 AM

The biggest difference in the 2 of them? Tonight Obama congradulated her on her win in IL. while she was just a narcisstic embarressment to all women and said nothing about his win.
1 adult and 1 child in this race and it isn't hard to figure out who was the adult. Those type of actions cost her.

Posted by: Deanna | May 7, 2008 2:39:25 AM

It is time for democratic party to do in depth analysis for November. First look at the states they lost in last two elections. They need a candidate who can win the states won by democrats traditionally and also can capture couple of republican states. They must treat Florida and Michigan fairly. If a state allowed republicans to vote in a primary, try to understand republican factor to affect the outcome. I can see that republicans are very anxious to see
Obama as the democratic candidate who is very much to the left. The country is not ready to elect such a person. The person must appeal middle of the road population. I agree that both Senator Clinton and Senator Obama should sit down with key democratic leaders and make a decision which is good for the party.

Posted by: Ramesh Dave | May 7, 2008 2:39:29 AM

Deanna. You may want to re listen to her speech. She congratulated Senator Obama for his win in North Carolina.

I wish you Obama folks would be more gracious about all this. Is every Obama supporter a teenager?

Lets face the facts. Obama will be the nominee. Lets move on and unite as a party around him.

You aint going to do that by continuing to bash Bill and Hillary Clinton.

Posted by: tomdavie | May 7, 2008 2:43:04 AM

The majority of media blattherheads are Republicans and they have done their best to ensure that McCain would go up against the weakest candidate and that has ALWAYS been Clinton. I mean lets be real here, McCain can't even remember which country we are at war with! BUT with ALL the Clinton baggage that they would rehash and all the new to come, with the 109 million income and who knows what regarding Bill's museum, they were frothing at the mouth to get Clinton. Guess they can just all figure now what we have known all along. No one really has much respect for most of the talking heads ROTFLMAO

Posted by: Deanna | May 7, 2008 2:43:28 AM

NO in the SECOND one she gave she did but the first one? She did NOT.

Posted by: Deanna | May 7, 2008 2:44:12 AM

NO in the first one she gave? She did NOT. In the second one? she did.

Posted by: Deanna | May 7, 2008 2:44:47 AM

This is what kills me. If someone is honest about Clinton we are bashing her. BUT until she stops and steps down? I will continue to be honest about her and if you see that as bashing? Go talk to Obama about bashing. He has been in THAT seat for 2 months now at the hands of Hillary.

Posted by: Deanna | May 7, 2008 2:47:05 AM

Hillary Clinton needs to step down before anyone stops. She cannot be trusted.

Posted by: Brian | May 7, 2008 2:48:47 AM

As soon as she leave the race, I will be leaving with her and joing the race with McCain. Hillary 2008 or McCain 2008. Have fun Obama supporters winning without us traditional, ignorant, uneducated democrats. Pontificate some more about the wonderful Barack...give your diatribes about cheating Bill-no one is listening--that sound you hear is us lifelong dems joining John McCain's fight.

Posted by: tired | May 7, 2008 2:50:49 AM

Hillary Clinton does have an exit strategy.
She can quit now and still be President some day....

Posted by: Kottaras | May 7, 2008 2:51:48 AM

HC has enough contribution already for the Fall election. If FL and MI delegates are not seated, I hope she will consider running as an independent.

Posted by: esvida | May 7, 2008 2:54:54 AM

I hope all the pundits, including those at ABC, will start to wake up from the deep sleep they have been in since 2001 and Bush's "victory". When Gibson defended his actions after the ABC debate by saying "it was about electability, the voters care about that" it was the last straw. Both that and the belief that you have to subject a candidate to withering examination of non-issues are not what politics should be about. They foster ignorance of the issues and pursuade voters that true issues are not important. These ideas were pushed by Rove and his ilk for a specific purpose, and the good of the American people had nothing to do with it. Clinton then adopted them, and so did you. My 30 years of ABC news viewing ended after the debate, and I can truly say that I feel better informed now.

Posted by: orrg1 | May 7, 2008 2:57:56 AM

One of the sanest pieces of commentary I have seen on this site in quite some time

Posted by: Adrian Millet | May 7, 2008 3:04:02 AM

Brian: Good riddance to you and your ilk. You've unnecessarily prolonged this nomination with your blind support for a contrived candidate. I'll take intelligent, thoughtful, progressive voters to uninformed, fear-driven, reactionary voters any day. Happy sulking.

Posted by: John | May 7, 2008 3:14:27 AM

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