Matthew Dowd

Matthew Dowd has been a campaign strategist in races throughout the country. In 30 years, Dowd has worked for Democrats and Republicans, most recently serving as chief strategist for President George W. Bush in 2004.

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Hope vs. Fear

May 27, 2008 8:58 AM

Opinion by Matthew Dowd, ABC News Political Contributor

So, Barack Obama slowly moves towards locking up the nomination and begins to turn his sights on John McCain.

McCain has a big week with denunciation of conservative pastors, release of medical info, and his wife releasing last years taxes while he interviews first three prospects for vice president, and Hillary Clinton seems odd woman out struggling to understand her lost dream and putting her foot in her mouth related to a Kennedy assassination and claiming sexism is responsible for her troubles.

Hmmm, so where do we stand and what can we understand from all this?

As I have mentioned before, Clinton looks like to me that she is tired, slightly desperate and going through the stages of grief from a lost dream. She has been in denial, moving through anger and sadness, but seems stuck in bargaining, while still needing to get to acceptance.

Maybe someone can set up a 12 step program for politicians who have a hard time coming to terms with leaving the stage. First step as always is admitting you have a problem.

I feel for her as her arguments for staying in get more and more convoluted and rather bizarre. Using her logic, no losing candidate should ever drop out. Huckabee should have stayed in because you never know what could happen. Or Biden or Dodd or Edwards or Richardson should have stayed in the race because who knows what might happen?

My guess: acceptance in the stages of grief will come on or around June 3rd.

To me, in a exceptionally simplified explanation, the Democratic primary race boils down to hope vs. fear. All voters have a combination about wanting their leaders to understand and feel their fears (whether it be about the economy, or health care or the war, etc.) but ultimately the majority of voters want to vote their hopes.

If one was to factor out certain demographics in this race (African-Americans supporting Obama; older white women supporting Clinton), then one is left with the following data: voters under 30, voters with college education or higher, and more upper income Democrats by and large support Obama from state to state. This group has reason to be optimistic whether because of youth or opportunity or circumstance, and appeals to hope resonate very strongly.

Contrary to this, Clinton gets voters over 30 who make less than 50k and don't have college education.  And this is true from state to state. It's not an Appalachian problem as some have suggested. It's just that there are many more of these type of voters in those states than in other places. These voters are much less optimistic, have been through many struggles without much showing for it, and pure language of hope doesn't connect well.

Obama is very good on the hope side of the equation, but many of these Clinton voters don't get a sense he understands their fears. And Clinton has been very good on the fear side of the equation, but hasn't connected on the hope part.

As the likely Democratic nominee, Obama is going to have to show he understands these voters fears and struggles, before they are open to a language of hope. This is absolutely imperative as he moves towards the general election against John McCain.

The best candidates in national politics ultimately show they feel and understand voters' fears but then ask them to vote their hopes. Kennedy did this well, Reagan did this well, Clinton did this well, and even President Bush did this well at times.

Obama, if he is going to win, will have to learn from the primaries that while the conclusion is hope, he needs to walk with voters fears for a bit.

May 27, 2008 | Permalink | User Comments (460)

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Great piece. I have noticed all along Obama's supporters are siding with him out of HOPE for the nation. But HRC's supporters reject Obama out of FEAR. And unfortunately, HRC plugged into that fear early on and was far too eager to fan those flames.

It makes me wonder, when Obama is elected, will we have thousands of people hiding in caves on Inaugration Day, waiting for The End of Days?

Posted by: NO MORE DRAMA - VOTE OBAMA | May 27, 2008 9:16:39 AM

Obama is a fairy tale.. he presents himself as prince charming, but he's really a grasping nasty vicious politico.

better choice is McCain... at least he's done something for America

Posted by: trettine | May 27, 2008 9:18:05 AM

No vote for BO. Most of the time he doesn't have a clue what he is talking about. It is almost embarrassing to listen from one day to the next. As far as I am concerned if it isn't Hillary it will not be BO! No vote for BO!

Posted by: rockthebleachers | May 27, 2008 9:24:08 AM

John McSame is saying Barack should meet him Iraq...

How about he get a head start,stay there and fight the war until Barack is President and end the war, brings our McSame and our troops home.. sounds good to me.

Obama 08

Posted by: Lawrence | May 27, 2008 9:25:36 AM

Interesting observations. It's unfortunate that Hillary Clinton's response to her apparent loss has been to blame other people and the media. In a contest, someone wins and someone loses. The main reason is that more people preferred the other candidate. It's true that not every part of this contest has been "fair," but it hasn't been entirely fair for her opponent in every respect, either.

I think Obama understands the struggles of everyday people more than some people give him credit for. His work as a community organizer (and also as a civil rights lawyer) would have placed him closer to the people who were struggling and had little reason to hope than the other candidates' experiences from what I know of them.

Posted by: mary | May 27, 2008 9:28:49 AM

trettine:

What has McCain really done for America?

rockthebleachers:
What does Obama not have a clue about? FYI: everything is not an answer.

Posted by: Mr. Coffee | May 27, 2008 9:29:08 AM

trettine...I hope you're ready for some tough times. It is obvious that McCain isn't going to withdraw from this horendous war soon, he thinks the economy is doing fine , and doesn't feel our troops deserve anything more than what they are getting( he plans to vote against the GI bill). I would rather vote for HOPE than continued desperation, as our country goes down the crap heap.

Posted by: formerhillary | May 27, 2008 9:32:59 AM

mary...great observation. It seems HRC wants to comoplain and whin about everything in this election because she is loosing. What she needs to do is look within. It isn't Obama who lost this campaign for her, but her own incompetant campaign. She had it all going for her, but blew it..HILLARY, ADMIT IT !!!

Posted by: telltruth | May 27, 2008 9:36:13 AM

trettine, fighting for your country is service..so is working in the inner cities trying to help pull people out of poverty and hopelessness. McCain served..so did Obama. Patriotism is not only serving in the armed forces, or putting your hand on your chest during the playing of the national anthem..it is also volunteering your time to help others in the community..So for information Obama did something for America..So vote McCain! Who cares? We'll just give him a rocking chair during the debates. McCain is all about war..I'm sick of it! That's all he talks about..Iraq,Iraq, Iraq! what about domestic policy? What about the economy? Anyone who thinks that there is no connection between the billions of dollars spent each week to keep the troops in Iraq and Afghanistan and the faltering economy..must be drinking some spiked koolaid. Jobs shipped overseas..thousands have lost their jobs, forclosures, gas is expensive and the economy is in tatters due to the failed Republican policies and people are contemplating voting for a man who said himself that he does not understand the economy. Wake up America! Vote Dems 08

Posted by: Earl | May 27, 2008 9:39:03 AM

telltruth, you told the truth! well said.

Posted by: Earl | May 27, 2008 9:41:00 AM

The fear is fear of Obama.
Why would anyone want a fairytale guy with only 143 days in the senate under his belt! A novice and A REV Wright disciple? NEVER!
Voting for him is like voting for the biggest pile of BS a lying politician can spew! Never Obama, never voting for Him. Anyone but Obama. ANYONE!!
He can never be shoved down my throat, do not trust him, do not believe he is even worth listening to.

Posted by: HP Boston | May 27, 2008 9:44:25 AM

Mary, well said! Thank you for your insight. Obama worked with the poor and downtrodden..yet there are those who try to paint him as an elitist..even his life growing up with his grandparents, fatherless. Obama is going to fight hard to make a difference for everyone..he will keep his word to the veterans and the people of America. This country will be better for it..If America can give George Bush 8 years why not Obama..look where George Bush has brought us..I know a lot of Republicans who are ashamed to even acknowledge that they are! Wake up America! vote Dems 08

Posted by: Earl | May 27, 2008 9:47:37 AM

HP Boston:
He can never be shoved down my throat, do not trust him, do not believe he is even worth listening to.
*********
Again with the FEAR vote. What a shame.

Posted by: NO MORE DRAMA - VOTE OBAMA | May 27, 2008 9:51:56 AM

OBAMA HAS RUN HIS ENTIRE CAMPAIGN ON LIES!

What is the most important "right" granted to U.S. citizens? THE RIGHT TO VOTE!!!

A GROUP OF "POLITICIANS" (including Obama) ARE TAKING IT AWAY FROM MILLIONS OF AMERICAN CITIZENS IN FLORIDA AND MICHIGAN!!!

WE NEED TO COUNT THE "PEOPLE'S VOTES" --- NOT THE "DELEGATES".

IF OUR REPRESENTATIVES DON'T LISTEN TO US --- WE NEED TO VOTE THEM OUT AS SOON AS POSSIBLE.

WE DON'T NEED A RADICAL, ANTI-AMERICAN IN OUR HIGHEST OFFICE. OBAMA HAS TOLD TOO MANY LIES. He has too many anti-Jewish, Anti-white, Anti-American and terrorist friends and associates.

HILLARY 2008.

Posted by: REPLACE CONGRESS! | May 27, 2008 9:52:04 AM

Boston, Put down the spiked Koolaid and stop dreaming. McCain will continue the slippery slide of the economy..I suspect you are one those people who would look one in the face and say the economy is good and gas is 75 cents a gallon. Your guy McCain said that he does not understand the economy..he is all about war..you seem to like war..then vote McCain so we can have more of our wonderful young people in Iraq die or come back and join the 25,000 plus who are incapacitated and cannot enjoy life as we know it..do you have a heart? Do you care? Do you know that there were no Iraquis on those planes that slammed into the buildings in my home city..Do you know that all the commissions concluded that there was no link between Iraq and 911 but you are probably one of those who were fooled by Rush/Sean/the lady on the view and other Republican talking heads. Vote Dems 08

Posted by: Earl | May 27, 2008 9:56:07 AM

WE NEED TO COUNT THE "PEOPLE'S VOTES" --- NOT THE "DELEGATES".
**********

But that is not the way the process works. Maybe it should be, but for now, it's not.

A GROUP OF "POLITICIANS" (including Obama) ARE TAKING IT AWAY FROM MILLIONS OF AMERICAN CITIZENS IN FLORIDA AND MICHIGAN!!!
**************
The DNC and NOT Obama imposed sanctions on FL and MI (where I live). Please get your facts straight.

Posted by: NO MORE DRAMA - VOTE OBAMA | May 27, 2008 10:00:07 AM

Mr Dowd

As a huge supporter of Obama.

I hope he reads this article.

Posted by: dl | May 27, 2008 10:01:28 AM

Spin as you like, Dowd, she has won the popular vote and the polls say his support is eroding in the mainstream. The DNC has committed a colossal blunder this time.

At least when Obama goes, Pelosi goes with him as well as the careers of a few political pundits. I'm a lifelong Democrat and I can live with McCain for four years better than I can live with the non-issue no-plan no-experience of Barack Obama.

Posted by: len | May 27, 2008 10:01:56 AM

Replacecongress, Are you wearing your hood? thats outdated now. Most white Americans are decent,honest people who really don't care about skin color anymore..people want jobs, homes, comfort..not war,war,war. Obama is your next president! whether you like it or not..move to canada if you cannot deal with it. Its a God thing!Dems 08

Posted by: Earl | May 27, 2008 10:03:05 AM

How can he equate Huckabee who was no where near McCain in votes to Hillary?

Posted by: J | May 27, 2008 10:07:16 AM

len, you are not a democrat..you are a republican posing as a dem. We are on to you Republicans who pose as democrats trying to mislead people..leave us democrats alone..one would have to be blind,deaf and dumb to vote for McCain if one claim to be a Democrat..McCain's policies is 180 degrees different from Hillary or Obama..most people people who speak in similar tones to yours are looking for their hoods right now..but those days are gone..this is a new America with broadminded, thinking people. Vote Dems 08

Posted by: Earl | May 27, 2008 10:07:37 AM

By ROBIN TONER,
Published: March 20, 1992

Former Senator Paul E. Tsongas of Massachusetts withdrew from the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination today, a decision that many in his party said all but insured the selection of Gov. Bill Clinton of Arkansas.

Mr. Tsongas announced his departure at a news conference in Boston, where he said his campaign did not have enough money to continue. His move leaves only former Gov. Edmund G. Brown Jr. of California to compete with Mr. Clinton in the remaining primaries and caucuses in 21 states.

Without adequate money to win, Mr. Tsongas said, "the alternative was to play the role of spoiler." 'That Is Not Worthy'

"That is not what I'm about," he continued. "That is not worthy. I did not survive my ordeals in order to be the agent of the re-election of George Bush."

--Why is Hillary playing bankrupted spoiler for Obama rather than being loyal to the Democratic Party like Tsongas was.

Posted by: BJ | May 27, 2008 10:11:15 AM

I want to see in November when McCain wins due to the stupidity of the Democrats the look on all these politicians faces who are backing Obama.The democrats love to shoot themselves in the foot.

Posted by: J | May 27, 2008 10:11:43 AM

len,

you are clearly looking at old polls.

Posted by: jmc663 | May 27, 2008 10:12:52 AM

Its hope vs. Fear but who started the fear, Obama did. His pastor spread the gospel of hate and lectured on America's sins aggravated by Obama's assoiciations with men who decriminalized treason and downgraded as crimes against honor, an adultery case. The fear is real and people who have fear are with common sense rather than the so called educated ones who prefer Obama and ignored Obama's dubious resume and assoications as just silly issues when this country is at stake. Hope is false because Obama is a fraud courtesy of his pastor admission about him as just an ordinary politician who will speak the way the public wants to hear.

Posted by: darnobama | May 27, 2008 10:13:32 AM

This is from Hillary's campaign website:
Secondly, IT SEEMS AS THOUGH Howard Dean, Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, and TED KENNEDY are laboring under the GROSS MISCONCEPTION that WE ARE AS DISLOYAL AND INSCRUPULOUS AS THEY ARE. Moreover, the DNC Leadership MUST BE CONVINCED THAT WE WILL NOT PASSIVELY ACCEPT Barack Obama as our Democratic Nominee, and that WE ARE STEADFAST Hillary Clinton Supporters. Consequently, the DNC Leadership MUST BE CONVINCED that if HRC IS NOT ON THE DEMOCRATIC TICKET IN NOVEMBER, SOME OF US MAY CHOOSE to leave the DEMOCRATIC Party, OR SIMPLY ‘STAY HOME’ ON ELECTION DAY.
Host
Yvette Winfield
Fundraiser
The host is trying to raise money at this event. The suggested contribution is $25 per user. Contributions can be made after submitting your RSVP.

Posted by: Joyce | May 27, 2008 10:13:44 AM

LET DEMOCRACY RUN ITS COURSE!
THIS ELECTION MUST END AT THE CONVENTION ONLY! AND NOT IN THE MEDIA!
STOP THE MEDIA FRAUD!
LET PEOPLE VOTE!!!

if the DNC allows the superdelegates to push and bully hillary this time around without giving her a fair chance to go throught the ENTIRE democratic process,
WE WILL NOT FORGET!

rest assure, the obama boy will lose this election and the democrats will NEVER recover from selling out their souls!

Posted by: Average Joe | May 27, 2008 10:17:17 AM

Mr. Dowd, you couldn't be further from the truth! On the contrary, Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton has won the most popular votes and has also won all the major states and will win the remaining states. So stop runnung your mouth and engage your brain rather than making a fool of yourself!!

Go Hillary Clinton for '08!!

TC Torrance, CA

Posted by: Tom Carnesi | May 27, 2008 10:17:18 AM

LET DEMOCRACY RUN ITS COURSE!
THIS ELECTION MUST END AT THE CONVENTION ONLY! AND NOT IN THE MEDIA!
STOP THE MEDIA FRAUD!
LET PEOPLE VOTE!!!

if the DNC allows the superdelegates to push and bully hillary this time around without giving her a fair chance to go throught the ENTIRE democratic process,
WE WILL NOT FORGET!

Posted by: Average Joe | May 27, 2008 10:18:44 AM

LET DEMOCRACY RUN ITS COURSE!
THIS ELECTION MUST END AT THE CONVENTION ONLY! AND NOT IN THE MEDIA!
STOP THE MEDIA FRAUD!

GIVE HILLARY A FAIR CHANCE TO GO THROUGH THE ENTIRE DEMOCRATIC PROCESS!
LET PEOPLE VOTE!!!

Posted by: Average Joe | May 27, 2008 10:20:06 AM

STOP THE MEDIA FRAUD, VOTER SUPPRESSION AND THEIR ATTACKS ON OUR DEMOCRACY!!

LET DEMOCRACY RUN ITS COURSE!
THIS ELECTION MUST END AT THE CONVENTION ONLY! AND NOT IN THE MEDIA!
STOP THE MEDIA FRAUD!

GIVE HILLARY A FAIR CHANCE TO GO THROUGH THE ENTIRE DEMOCRATIC PROCESS!
LET PEOPLE VOTE!!!

Posted by: Average Joe | May 27, 2008 10:21:18 AM

Best analysis I've seen of the election so far... This sould be seen by everybody so they can get a grip over the campaign. And take a deep breath.

Posted by: ugh | May 27, 2008 10:21:54 AM

It is completely about hope vs. fear. John McCain will try to continue terrorizing us about security, Just as Bush II has done the last 8 years.

Posted by: Louis | May 27, 2008 10:22:09 AM

Obama has 1600 pledged delegates, Clinton 1500 and she is still winning elections. This comes down to superdelegates, and if they choose to loose: There will be hell to pay!

The psychological analysis of Clinton is awful, another example of how people are deminishing Clinton unfairly, not facing up to the fact she can still win! It might be a slim chance, but she is running for President!

Posted by: Sylvia Johnsen | May 27, 2008 10:23:56 AM

Matthew Dowd is the same "journalist" who said recently, "Americans wanted to see Hillary as a "Mom" figure, but she gave them a "Dad" instead. Blatent sexism, smart-ass, uncaring journalism. Now, he arrogantly psychoanalyzes her. would he be so crass if she were a man running for President? Nope. Why cant a woman continue to run simply because she is a fighter?!

Posted by: PhillyPaul | May 27, 2008 10:25:14 AM

MATTHEW DOWD IS VERY STUPID! IF YOU EVER WATCH HIM ON ABC, YOU WILL DEFINITELY BE SURPRISED BY HOW STUPID HE IS. HE DOES NOT KNOW THE FACTS.THE PROGRAM HOSTS OR OTHER GUESTS ALWAYS CORRECT HIS WRONG STATEMENTS.

I DO NOT KNOW WHY THEY HAVE ON THE PROGRAMS. HE LOOKS VERY STUPID.

VIVA MCCAIN

Posted by: James | May 27, 2008 10:26:52 AM

I think Mr. Dowd misses the boat on Clinton and fear. She doesn't address voters' concerns about the real problems that face them and our country any more than Obama does. Rather, I think Clinton mongers fear, as in "if Iran nukes Israel, we'll nuke 'em back!!" or her ever-popular "assassinations happen" theme. And that's the major problem I have with her candidacy.

Just so you know where I'm coming from, I'm only a lukewarm Obama supporter--I gave money to and supported another Democratic candidate before eventually having to choose Obama over Clinton in the NY primary.

Posted by: Lisa in NY | May 27, 2008 10:27:04 AM

LOL!!! What else have you noticed? I am not scared of Obama. I am scared of his zombies.


"I have noticed all along Obama's supporters are siding with him out of HOPE for the nation. But HRC's supporters reject Obama out of FEAR. And unfortunately, HRC plugged into that fear early on and was far too eager to fan those flames."

Posted by: Tony | May 27, 2008 10:30:07 AM

THIS MATTHEW DOWD IS A COPY CAT..MAN, I HOPE HIS KIDS ARE NOT BROUGHT UP TO BE AS STUPID AS HE IS. I CAN'T STAND IT!

Posted by: James | May 27, 2008 10:30:37 AM

YOU ARE NOTHING MORE THAN AN IDIOT.
HILLARY HAS NOT LOST LIKE HUCKABEE. SHE HAS WON 17Million votes. And if you count the votes as they were cast, then she has won more votes then YOUR FAVORITE MR. OBAMA.
Also OBAMA has lost all but 3 states, after the Rev. Wright's comments. OBAMA is in lead because of Feb 5 election with a straight 10 victories, when US citizens hardly knew anything about him. And that is the reality, that Obama supporters have to emerse themselves into. Clinton has won 7 out of the 10 elections after Rev. Wright comments. North Carolina went to Obama because of 38% of Black voters. He got 56% of the votes, so only 18% non-black voters vs 42% of all non black voters voted for Hillary. America is 85% white, Super Delegates will have to come to terms with this statistics, and will have to decide, if they want to take chance or not? Also all the Traditional Blue votes, NJ, NY, CA etc voted for Hillary, they want Hillary to represent them. And that is another reality. SDs will have to decide if they want to take the TRADITIONAL BLUE voters for granted and put someone in White House, based on the RED state's verdicts?

Hillary has more then 300 electoral votes and she will bag 50 more in the next 3 states that go to polls on 2nd june.

By all accounts - and the verdict of Blue voters - Hillary is wining. Media who is looking for next 4 years of scandles and profits is supporting Obama. Since they think they will have a lot of ammunition for next 4 years, Remember the same thing happened with Al Gore and President Bush. Media became rich in last 8 years of Bush's rule - and they want to also make some more in the next 4 years, that's why
Obama is Media's favorite - and that's the reality...

Posted by: Idiotic View Point | May 27, 2008 10:31:06 AM

This guy took a newsgroup angle and turned it into an article. He calls himself a journalist, but in fact he is just another patronizing Obama-camper continuing the most vile and negative campaign I've ever seen.

Posted by: Sylvia Johnsen | May 27, 2008 10:31:29 AM

Um, Matthew Dowd's psychobabble falls flat on its sophmorically stupid face when he compares Hillary staying in the race with possibly Sens. Dodd or Biden staying in the race simply because "something might happen". Um, Matt, where either Sens. Dodd or Biden pulling in over 30% of the votes in any of the primaries? Hillary is going to take the popular vote by June 3rd. There goes your lame-ass argument pal.
BTW, I voted for the great Senator Joe Biden myself.

Posted by: PhillyPaul | May 27, 2008 10:31:42 AM

NO MORE DRAMA - VOTE OBAMA

You don't seem to know that Obama sent a bunch of lawyers to Michigan to squash the re-vote effort. That's hardly a neutral stance.

He's just another politician out for himself like the rest. He preaches hope but comes up empty on details.

The article is slightly wrong -- Obama fans are driven by fear. Just analyze their comments and their proclivity to associate everything to Bush who, by the way, is not running. That's motivation by fear, not hope.

Posted by: A | May 27, 2008 10:31:51 AM

To: Average Joe

You can not stop the media doing their job. If you do not like what they write, its better you stop involving yourself in all discussion.

Nevertheless, I wish you luck on your longwaiting "Convetion"!

Posted by: Peace | May 27, 2008 10:33:25 AM

I am an atypical (60 yrs. old white woman who earns less than $50K/yr.) Obama supporter and I can say without hesitation that I am supporting him BECAUSE he is the candidate who is playing to our hopes instead of our fears. And if he didn't understand our fears, he wouldn't be able to speak to our hopes. I would love nothing better than to be able to support a woman for President, but when & if that happens, it's going to have to be a woman who models a radically different sort of political leadership style from same old, same old. Clinton, unfortunately, has not done this.

Posted by: Lu in FL | May 27, 2008 10:33:38 AM

Sorry REPLACE CONGRESS, Obama did not take the votes away from FL and MI. You can thank the DNC and the Governors of these 2 states for taking away these votes. The governors moved the primaries up and the DNC punished these states. Please show me where B.O. has come into this equation?

I swear I have read tons of blogs and forums on this presidential thing, and I have most certainly noticed, that B.O. does bring out the brighter more intelligent Americans, while HRC seems to bring out people with little education. They do not debate back they spew insults. And McCain supporters seem to be afraid (and very gulible I might add).

Am I the only one who has observed this?

Posted by: Citizen in FL | May 27, 2008 10:33:50 AM

Great post. Obama must know how to command fear, not so much in order to use it as to know how to fight it when it is used against him. As it will be in the fall.

Said Bruce Springsteen, who has endorsed Obama:

"Fear's a powerful thing
It can turn your heart black you can trust
It'll take your God filled soul
And fill it with devils and dust."

Posted by: El_Pajaro | May 27, 2008 10:34:20 AM

Average Joe...I assume you are referencing your IQ...Hillary has HAD more than a fair chance. And we are only left with 3 primaries. As to voter suppression, why not turn that anger on the Supreme Court and their recent ruling to try and prevent poor people, old folks, and disabled people from voting?

If we don't elect a Democrat in 08, then get ready for LOTS of things to change, including the balance of the Supreme Court! We can't allow a President McCain to appoint more Roberts and Allito types.

Hillary is not fighting this battle for voters, she is fighting this battle for Hillary. As with all things Clinton, them first and America second.

Posted by: Annoyed | May 27, 2008 10:34:48 AM

Perhaps you should stick to writing about politics. Your toxic "pop psychology" leaves a lot to be desired....

"As I have mentioned before, Clinton looks like to me that she is tired, slightly desperate and going through the stages of grief from a lost dream. She has been in denial, moving through anger and sadness, but seems stuck in bargaining, while still needing to get to acceptance.

Maybe someone can set up a 12 step program for politicians who have a hard time coming to terms with leaving the stage. First step as always is admitting you have a problem.

I feel for her as her arguments for staying in get more and more convoluted and rather bizarre. Using her logic, no losing candidate should ever drop out. Huckabee should have stayed in because you never know what could happen. Or Biden or Dodd or Edwards or Richardson should have stayed in the race because who knows what might happen?

My guess: acceptance in the stages of grief will come on or around June 3rd."

Posted by: Tony | May 27, 2008 10:35:16 AM

Barack, Hillary, come together and beat the Republicans that have ruined our country these past eight years.

Posted by: JOE | May 27, 2008 10:36:36 AM

Hope and fear?

I hope American voters remember that Obama shares Jeremiah Wright's radical left-wing values.

Obama fears that they will.

Posted by: USmarine0331 | May 27, 2008 10:39:10 AM

Actually, Obama played on fear many times in the campaign.

We are tired of "Washington politics."

Clinton will divide the nation.

I am "confident that I can win Clinton's voters," but I'm not sure she can get mine.

The Republicans will have a "dumptruck of dirt" on Clinton.

Clinton is "more of the same."

People became bitter because of Bush and Clinton.

Clinton will "garnish" your wages to pay for health care.

Clinton will ship your jobs away.

Clinton will lie to you. Clinton wants me killed! OOOps, not she doesn't...let's now move on....

McCain = Bush III

McCain wants 100 years of warfare in Iraq

McCain loses his bearings

STOP THE MADNESS!!!

Posted by: Tony | May 27, 2008 10:41:42 AM

Vote for HOPE.

Obama '08

Posted by: Aaron | May 27, 2008 10:42:44 AM

Another piece of nonsense from BO:

Obama also spoke about his uncle, who was part of the American brigade that helped to liberate Auschwitz.

Unfortunately, he didn't pay attention in History class. It was the Russians who liberated Auschwitz. Some how stupidity like this will be spun to his advantage.

Posted by: rockthebleachers | May 27, 2008 10:43:12 AM

Average Joe, you got it right! The media has promoted Obama shamelessly. Had the DNC not unfairly disallowed the MI and FL primary date changes and not waited past their own deadline to resolve this, Clinton would be much further ahead. What worries me about Obama is that his campaign speeches are a mismatch with his voting record. His campaign has been divisive inciting issues on race where the intent has been innocent and his campaign has turned it into negative and derogatory. After Obama went to Kenya to help his cousin Odinga and the aftermath was bloodshed, I have real concerns about his capabilities and effectiveness to lead and his true positions. He is too liberal for most and too inexperienced, and fails to grasp key issues as shown in the debates.

Posted by: Troy | May 27, 2008 10:44:17 AM

Hillary voted for this war. That was her first mistake. Her second was to run a fairly poor campaign. Her third was to change into different people that we people could barely rcognize trying to play hard and as a hawk so she could be accepted by men.

Her fourth mistake was to attack someone so viciously that people found it unacceptable even in a competitive race. Her fifth was race baiting and calling out race codes so she could divide the electorate which was successful on one hand but so divisive on the other hand tha she lost me, a once faithful supporter.

Finally, she made the mistake of thinking that because people voted for her husband they would all vote for her, that is not necessarily true. And that whining all the time.

I am a so-called Hillary demographic old enough to know about and relate to everything she's going through and also smart enough to see through everything she tried.

Posted by: Marchion | May 27, 2008 10:44:41 AM

Yes -- this is such a hopeful message by Obama!!! I love how he twists everything. He is "hopeful" because he is not like the crazy fearmongerers.....Of course, calling McCain a fearmongerer isnt hopeful.

"It is completely about hope vs. fear. John McCain will try to continue terrorizing us about security, Just as Bush II has done the last 8 years."

Posted by: Tony | May 27, 2008 10:44:45 AM

It's over for the Democratic Party.
Sen McCain-08

Posted by: whatever | May 27, 2008 10:44:51 AM

Yes, HRC has the popular vote IF (big IF) you don't count the caucus states. The caucus states go by percentages. If we add the votes from MI and FL, we should also add the popular vote from NV, IA, etc. Then, B. O. again is in the lead. Its time for HRC to give it up, instead of allowing the disbarred attorney, impeached President to continue spewing bad info to lg groups of people.

Posted by: Willow | May 27, 2008 10:46:35 AM

the DNC cannot hand this over to the least experienced candidate, who is behind in the popular vote and who has refused over and over to COUNT THE VOTES!

STOP THE MEDIA FRAUD, VOTER SUPPRESSION AND THEIR ATTACKS ON OUR DEMOCRACY!!

LET DEMOCRACY RUN ITS COURSE!
THIS ELECTION MUST END AT THE CONVENTION ONLY! AND NOT IN THE MEDIA!
STOP THE MEDIA FRAUD!

GIVE HILLARY A FAIR CHANCE TO GO THROUGH THE ENTIRE DEMOCRATIC PROCESS!
LET PEOPLE VOTE!!!

Posted by: Average Joe | May 27, 2008 10:50:14 AM

Well i think it's about time for people to understand that Hillary needs to sit this one out.She's played the race card, and simply that failed. Now she is trying to get make the same thing happen to Obama, as what happened to Robert F. Kennedy. This woman needs to just quit and let Obama have his date with the White House. Obama will win if he is the Democratic nominee. Because people of America is tired of the same old lies that George Bush and the rest of the Rep. party did while they had authority.
Another thing people continuely saying that Obama don't have know experience. Well can go for Hillary, and John Mccain, because neither of them has been president. The only one can say that have experiences is former Presidents. I suggest we stop poinying our fingers and start to look at the real issues. The issues are we have been in Iraq to long. We have lost young men who could have been men of prommise, but they are dead. The economy, Health Care, Unemployment. We need someone to feel the hurt of America women and men trying to buy gas to feed our family. Every time i think about this war I am easily upset. We didn't have any business over there know more than we have any business in Afganastan. All these lies about Obama Pastor what about John Haggee, and Rod Parsley,John Mccain is also guilty.
I am a Obama supporter, but if Hillary Clinton is the nominee then I will vote for her. Enough of this racial stuff. Brothers if you are black or white it isn't but Heaven and one Hell. God dosn't have color or creed all of us are His children. Vote Obama 08

Posted by: Charles W Pettiford | May 27, 2008 10:51:43 AM

REPLACE CONGRESS - there is no such thing as the "most important" right.... The most 'important' is only relevant to the situation at hand. For instance, A woman that was raped and got pregnant, may want to abort her baby......thus praticing and maybe the most important right to chose abortion. The argument about most important right is to vote is weak, especially in this case where the right to vote was at the risk of breaking the 'right' of the party rules... HRC is a strong woman and she should see this for what its worth...... she ran a campain and lost. it is true she would have been the first female president, but nontheless she still is making history... despite the fact she ruined her chances by making some poor decisions / choices..

Posted by: Smarter than the rest | May 27, 2008 10:54:30 AM

Matthew Dowd must not have competed much in his life.

Why? Using Dowd's quitter mentality, if a fighter is losing a boxing match in the latter rounds, he should just throw in the towel.

When the Boston Celtics got behind the Detroit Pistons late in their last game, they should have just stopped the game in the fourth quarter and conceded.

If the New York Yankees are down by several runs in the 9th inning, they should just walk off the field and forfeit their last three turns at bat.

I find Dowd's call for Hillary to quit, even though Obama still doesn't have enough delegates to lock up the Democratic presidential nomination, to reflect poorly on himself.

Dowd thinks quitting is o.k.

I think that quitters never win, and winners never quit.

Posted by: USmarine0331 | May 27, 2008 10:55:18 AM

Hillary has continued to support seating all delegates and having the votes counted in MI and FL. Obama refused to negotiate or support a revote that Hillary proposed, in fact he did all he could to stop the votes from being counted. To curry favor with voters, Obama withdrew his name from the ballot in MI as others did, after the polls showed that Hillary would win big in MI. Many voters have expected that the DNC would eventually seat the delegates from MI and FL, and those states immediately appealed the DNC decision. I'd sooner support a candidate that supports democracy, which means counting all the votes and letting delegates have their say. Obama has said previously that the state super delegates should vote the same way as the majority in their state, and then he has contacted those superdelegates daily in order for them to change their votes to him and to not support the majority vote in the state.

Posted by: Sally | May 27, 2008 10:59:18 AM

Over the weekend Hillary Clinton attended a rally in Puerto Rico where her supporters booed Obama. Obama has been going out of his way to commend Clinton, yet Clinton (and her husband) seem intent on continuing to denigrate Obama. HOW IS THIS UNIFYING THE PARTY? Or, could it be that Clinton's comments that she's staying in the race because she wants to unify the party are just one more lie that she tells to others -- and to herself -- so that she doesn't have to admit that she lost? She's like an alcoholic who keeps drinking because she thinks she can control her liquor. GIVE IT UP, Hillary. You've lost. Go away. And take your husband with you.

Posted by: Susan | May 27, 2008 11:00:33 AM

All these Obama lovers who have been pushing for Hillary to give up are a joke. As if you people knew what was best for the party. You already had your chance. Kerry and Gore, who were supposed to be highly intelligent people, lost to a Moron and you let it happen.

Where were you people when the recount happened, when Bush stole the elections? That's when you should have been screaming and fighting.

The only ones who could beat these people are the Clintons. Bill did it. Hillary can to. When will you wake up?

You people are going to cause us to lose this election as well. Mark my word.

Posted by: Anthony Mark | May 27, 2008 11:00:44 AM

Why is OBAMA ashamed of his middle name HUSSEIN? Is it because Hussein is an arabic name? What is wrong with that?

Posted by: James | May 27, 2008 11:02:54 AM

This is a gem of a piece. Obama and Clinton should read and re-read it as Democrats wind down the primary season! Now about McCain's challenge to Obama to come to Iraq, lets not forget that this is McCain-Bush-Cheney war. They are the ones who should spent the rest of their days in Iraq, not Obama. Obama has better things to do. Perhaps they want Obama to come there so that they can do him in. This is a war that Obama said from the beginning should not have been declared. Overwhelming number of Americans agree!!! Dr. Sam

Posted by: Dr. Sam | May 27, 2008 11:05:38 AM

Let Hilary go quietly into the night. She won't of course. She'll go screaming, fighting, cursing, blaming, sobbing, and threatening. She's no team player, only a "me" player.

Posted by: touchetgal | May 27, 2008 11:05:45 AM

Hillary and Bill Clinton have been in the ANGER phase for the last 15 years. Angry that he got caught cheating on his wife; angry that idiots didn't accept her health plan; angry that they had to leave the White House; angry that people just don't get that they are the golden couple; angry that they aren't the golden couple. If there's one advantage to voting McCain for President it's that he'll die pretty soon and we won't have McCain the Ex-President standing at every podium he can get wagging his finger at the world for the next 50 years.

Posted by: Bubba | May 27, 2008 11:08:18 AM

B.O. does bring out the brighter more intelligent Americans, while HRC seems to bring out people with little education. They do not debate back they spew insults. And McCain supporters seem to be afraid (and very gulible I might add).

Am I the only one who has observed this?
Citizen in FL -----------------


What blogs have you been reading. Most of the vile, hateful comments come from Obama supporters. Name calling, elitist attitudes that they are so much more educated than Hillary supporters. I just don't see where a piece of paper makes you smart. I'd rather have 10 people with life skills and common sense than one person with a degree who is book smart.

Posted by: J | May 27, 2008 11:09:13 AM

Apparently, only women are seen as so emotional that they are viewed as going through a "grief" process during elections. I never heard that argument made about Edwards last year - who stayed around after it was clear he wouldn't win. Neither with respect to Dean who went from frontrunner to loser over night. I didnt hear that argument made about Ted Kennedy or Jesse Jackson or Gary Hart when they ran out the primary seasons, despite losing by much more than Clinton. Alas, men just "play the game." Women are psychos. I get it. Thanks for clarifying things.

Posted by: Tony | May 27, 2008 11:10:47 AM

Hillary Supporters Unite!

Vote a solid Republican ticket in November! and send a clear message to Howard Dean and the DNC. Disrespect Hillary and your loyal fan base goes bye-bye!

Hillary Supporters, join me in voting a solid Republican ticket in November. Hillary can re-run again in 2012. And demand that the DNC fire Howard Dean!

Posted by: Truth Be Told | May 27, 2008 11:12:42 AM

I get that McCain has more experience with the military than does Obama. But his experience is primarily from Viet Nam. Is it possible that he has the WONG kind of experience? Maybe he thinks it is OK to fight a way of attrition, since that is the war we fought in Viet Nam. Maybe he thinks it is OK to fight a war where there are no clear victories and where the only exit plan is complete occupation of a country, just like in Viet Nam. I say again, maybe McCain has the WRONG kind of experience. I don't want my great-grandchildren dying in Iraq!

Posted by: Viet Nam Vet | May 27, 2008 11:13:50 AM

I just can't resist commenting on the ugly, hateful tone of responses to this piece that have been posted by those who are opposed to Barack Obama's candidacy. The language used, for me, characterizes a grievous lack of reason and intellect among many of Mrs. Clinton's supporters.
Isn't it time that we put the politics of hate and fear behind us? For crying out loud, people... would you really rather have four more years of Reganomics and wasted blood in Iraq than an African American with a funny sounding name in the White House?

Posted by: Kent | May 27, 2008 11:15:53 AM

Bubba,
Michelle Obama is the angry one. YIKES! Now that woman is a piece of work.

Posted by: J | May 27, 2008 11:16:31 AM

What I love in this article is a man that supports NEITHER candidate admits that HRC is blaming her losses on everything but her. Get a clue people. Lol. Obama is not the devil as much as some would like him to be.

Posted by: The Oracle | May 27, 2008 11:19:21 AM

USmarine0331


Hillary has had it. Time to join the O-Bozo express!

Toot Toot! All aboard!

Posted by: A | May 27, 2008 11:20:58 AM

Kent,
I'd rather vote for a decorated war hero than somebody who doesn't have a clue about foreign policy. Some of the things he has been suggesting are plain off the wall.

Posted by: J | May 27, 2008 11:20:58 AM

What type of sorry human being do you have to be to take this article and somehow hate on Obama?? I guess youd have to be a sorry, stupid human.

Posted by: The Oracle | May 27, 2008 11:21:50 AM

"Obama is a fairy tale.. he presents himself as prince charming, but he's really a grasping nasty vicious politico."

Posted by: trettine

LOL - Case and point right there. Trettine is apparently frightened that Senator Obama is a "nasty, vicious politico". Seems if that were the case, he would not continually give Hillary passes on her extremely offensive gaffs but we are all entitled to our own opinion. Don't be afraid. He'll be a very good president. He'll goof at times like we all do, but Senator Obama will lead this nation in an effective, pragmatic, and optimistic way.