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Will Morgan Stanley Survive the Weekend?
October 10, 2008 4:03 PM
ABC NEWS' Zunaira Zaki reports: Will Wall Street heavyweight Morgan Stanley survive the weekend?
Shares for Morgan Stanley, a storied investment bank which recently converted itself into a commercial bank, dropped into the single digits in trading today as investors speculated on its future.
"Morgan Stanley is getting thrown out with the bathwater," said Ada Lee, an analyst with Sterne Agee brokerage. Investors refused to be reassured despite a statement from Japanese bank Mitsubishi UFJ today that it will not renege on a promised $9 billion investment.
Monday is a bank holiday in both the United States and Japan, delaying a completion of the transaction between Morgan and Mitsubishi, further exacerbating the uncertainty surrounding Morgan stock.
The speculation surrounding Morgan is oddly reminiscent of the aura around Lehman Brothers before it filed for bankruptcy. The Friday before Lehman declared bankruptcy, speculation regarding the bank's future was at a fever pitch. Come Monday, Sept. 15, Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy in New York.
Banking analyst Dick Bove of Landenberg Thallman said, "I hope I am dead wrong," but "Morgan does not survive this weekend." He added however, that if people did “normal business” with the company the problem would go away, but the markets are "consumed by fear."
Bove said that Morgan may be acquired by either Citigroup or Mitsubishi UFJ. Analyst Sean Ryan of Sterne Agee disagreed, saying that Citigroup is "constrained in its ability to conduct a transaction of that size."
As the Wall Street Journal said today, "The sharks are circling closer to Morgan Stanley."
October 10, 2008 | Permalink | User Comments (40)
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Here we go again... Hey I have an idea: Can we give Morgan Stanley $85 Billion but under condition that they go to Dana Point California for a retreat right after that?
Posted by: Emanuel | Oct 10, 2008 4:25:01 PM
THIS IS RIGHT after the ban on short selling was lifted.
This market is in need of training wheels.
Could it be that we should ban short selling until the end of the year?
Posted by: John | Oct 10, 2008 4:31:43 PM
So only Goldman Sachs is left of all the top investment firms? And who are the two individuals from Goldman Sachs that are in charge of creating the way out of this mess - Paulsen and Kashkari. Interesting don't you think!
Posted by: eyeonyou | Oct 10, 2008 4:35:01 PM
It might be ironic to note that it was J.P. Morgan himself who unsuccessfuly tried to save the stock market in 1929 by dumping money in. I guess he figured if he had more money than the government, it was up to him.
Posted by: jock59801 | Oct 10, 2008 4:46:01 PM
be very clear that the false 14000 we saw last year was built on ...what we have learned in the past three weeks is that 14000 was built on nothing.
so when everyone wants to blame Fannie and freddie...etc
and the actually fiscally and morally sensible idea for people to achieve homeownership as long as the mortgage companies know that securitues and speculation will not save them... and it is reasonably regulated...
greed is good in a capitalist democratic society... as long as their is a basic framework of regulation and structure... and capitalist democracies are successful as we as a nation have been...when they are touched by grace...
it is when those regulations are removed as aggressively and selfishly as they were ...
this falls on one man as far as I am concerned...
these investment banks that backed mortgages at a rate of ten to one for the money they actually had.
it was built on the back of Gramm's bill...
it was built on the backs of deregulation
you see that is what rampant deregulated speculation can do
just like Enron.
ugh
Posted by: dl | Oct 10, 2008 4:46:48 PM
No, it won't make it.
Posted by: 1percenter | Oct 10, 2008 4:47:40 PM
I have the answer....NO! Morgan Stanley will not last the weekend. I have insider information that says the organization has already decided to merge....sell you stocks now....sell all your bank stock and get out of the stock market.
Posted by: babaor | Oct 10, 2008 4:50:41 PM
I think babaor is right, I heard the same thing, I'm selling my shares
Posted by: insight | Oct 10, 2008 4:57:52 PM
This is just terrible
My dad lost his pension when Polaroid closed shop and sold out their workers...
he recovered by working really hard on staying on top of investments he made with what little money he and my mom had...
today ...he called and asked if they could move in with me...
and a very proud man cried.
too bad someone couldn't look into the future back in 1999 and we pulled all this speculation bologne off...
Posted by: dl | Oct 10, 2008 5:05:31 PM
Maybe a credit union in Alaska will buy them.
Posted by: Ernie | Oct 10, 2008 5:08:58 PM
where are the rich going to stash their cash? there won't be enought banks to secure the 250k. this could mean new business's will emerge. the rich may just open family business and this may be great for the country as a whole and will keep families together. the 250k should enable banks to have enough cash to survive so i am surprised to continue hearing that more and more banks are closing. since almost 80 million people will be retiring in next several years they could get in to pharmaceuticals and retreats, nursing homes and anything to do with aging. we need to change with the times and for last several years it was financing and maybe the near future is on an aging society. i'm thinking of going to nursing for lots of reasons, mostly i want to do something meaninfull since my poli sci degree and financing has been nothing but stressfull. forget fear, let's join together and be brave like mr bush, like it or not, he has shown strenght and courage and persistence and that's more than most of us could or would want to.
Posted by: zorra | Oct 10, 2008 5:14:49 PM
"THIS IS RIGHT after the ban on short selling was lifted.
This market is in need of training wheels.
" - You couldn't be more misguided. Short selling is a vital part of a free market: http://www.mises.org/story/3139
Posted by: gh | Oct 10, 2008 5:15:50 PM
I doubt they will make it through the weekend. Not unless they beg the Government to bail them out too. What a farse this has all become. Just goes to show that if you are a power hungry company and you screw the World for as long as they have it will come back and bite them in the ARSE!!! Once everything finally calms down again and all these money hungry S.O.B.'s are out of power and prosecuted (Not Likely!) then everything will start to turn around. It's because of Futures and shady mortgage lending the caused all this mess. Look at the fact that Oil has dropped considerably and now OPEC is talking about cutting production so they can drive the price back up. Hold on folks more is to come..
Posted by: Amazing | Oct 10, 2008 5:17:08 PM
"What a farse this has all become. Just goes to show that if you are a power hungry company and you screw the World for as long as they have it will come back and bite them in the ARSE!!! " That's not a farce, that's capitalism. An example of a farce is ivory tower eggheads fixing the interest rate, instead of letting it be based on the collective, subjective preferences of market participants. The government extracting $850 billion from public funds to prop up zombie companies is another farce.
Posted by: gh | Oct 10, 2008 5:24:23 PM
"you see that is what rampant deregulated speculation can do" - Yes, we need more regulators. Like those at the Federal Reserve who doubled the M3 money supply in only 7 years. If only there were more regulators, the fiat currency and fractional reserve lending house-of-cards would surely be stable.
Posted by: gh | Oct 10, 2008 5:32:38 PM
I hope Morgan Stanley has Paulson's direct line.
Posted by: VR | Oct 10, 2008 5:34:34 PM
gh - Amen to that.. I'm just stating that as a whole this is all so screwed up that we have to bail out big business that obviously didn't take care of their customer. As the CEO for Lehman (SP) tried to defend his 484 Million in Bonuses.. "This is going to pain him for the rest of his life and he is going to take it to the grave with him". Yea it's so painful when you have 4 houses, Millions to live on for the rest of his painful life. Personally you want to make it painful. Freeze his assets, Sell off all his houses, belongings, etc.. Give it to the people who worked for the company and throw his butt in Jail.. Not the country club jail either. Ban him from the financial businesses. Then when he gets out he can find out how hard it is to earn a buck.
Posted by: Amazing | Oct 10, 2008 5:35:43 PM
Remember the late NBC's Tim Russert's FLORIDA, FLORIDA, FLORIDA board on that 2000 cliffhanger? well, people are asking "they have tried everything - the government that is and nothing is working." What will it take to fix this mess? I say: CONFIDENCE, CONFIDENCE, CENFIDENCE! No amount of bail out can restore consumer confidence, not even a Trillion dollar rescue plan. I say we get a new President and he outlines his plan and you will see things startin gto happen. Until then, up and down and up and down and up and...
Posted by: Emanuel | Oct 10, 2008 5:36:29 PM
I can see russia from my porch!
Posted by: philosopherkingtomas | Oct 10, 2008 5:38:44 PM
I hear that Morgan Stanley has had 3 suicides so far . . .
Posted by: quickphil1943 | Oct 10, 2008 5:40:07 PM
I think the comments prove the rule of:
Normal person + anonymity + audience = total retard.
People posting all these comments are probably the ones that have shorts on the company.
Posted by: Realist | Oct 10, 2008 5:52:32 PM
I can see Obamas buddy Ayers from my front porch. He's still standing on Old Glory.
Posted by: Jack | Oct 10, 2008 6:09:01 PM
I'm sure Morgan Stanley will make it cause we will just bail them out as well.
Posted by: Brian | Oct 10, 2008 6:20:03 PM
we will no longer be fat americans as many will lose weight over this.
Posted by: zorra | Oct 10, 2008 6:40:58 PM
If all these "educated" individuals would truly put on their "thinking caps" they would see that the best way to help our ecomony is to distribute the "8.5 billion dollar bail" out EVENLY among registered voters. Those voters would pay off their motgages, buy products,save in banks (thereby giving banks money to back loans) and create jobs to provide the products that would be bought! INSTEAD of the government buying interest in banks that would give the government MORE power in people's lives! And just think, WHO would we be giving the power to? China... who have extended HUGE loans to America, that's who! Put on YOUR thinking caps America! Wake up before it's too late, PLEASE!
Posted by: Carlotta | Oct 10, 2008 6:49:00 PM
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