Political Punch

Power, pop, and probings from ABC News Senior White House Correspondent Jake Tapper

« Previous | Main | Next »

Surge Dirge

February 16, 2007 9:27 AM

So today, after all the sound and fury, sturm undt drang, the House of Representatives is poised to pass a non-binding resolution expressing disapproval of the President's proposed surge in US troops in Iraq.

Any takers on what the final vote will be? About a dozen Republicans spoke in favor of the resolution. There are 233 Democrats, 201 Republicans (with the death this week of Rep. Charlie Norwood, R-Georgia, RIP). That math might make it 245 for, 189 against. Let's start with that as the over/under.

Then of course there's Saturday's Senate vote on cloture (needing 60 votes) to proceed to vote on the House version of the bill. There are 50 Democrats, plus Sen. Joe Lieberman (Independent Democrat -CT). But Sen. Tim Johnson, D-SD, is infirm (though recovering nicely, we are told, so minus Lieberman, who supports the surge, and Johnson, that's 49 Democrats. With maybe six Republicans -- Sens. Warner (VA), Collins and Snowe (Maine), Coleman (MN), Smith (Oregon), Hagel (Nebraska) -- that's only 55. We'll make that the Senate over/under.

Place your bets.... Get on the record now before the vote and we'll herald the winner(s)...

-- jpt

February 16, 2007 | Permalink | User Comments (2)

User Comments

I suspect more House Repubs will vote affirmatively on the anti-surge resolution than were vocal in their opposition to it: 289 for, 145 against. As for the Senate, I don't think cloture will succeed with a vote of 57 for, 43 against.

Posted by: chuck | Feb 16, 2007 10:34:59 AM

I'll take the over in the House and the over in the Senate. I think 55 may push though.

Posted by: M. Hammond | Feb 16, 2007 9:31:05 AM

Post a comment