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Picture Edwards, Obama and Clinton in your head - what do you see?

October 22, 2007 6:49 AM

For weeks now, former Sen. John Edwards, D-NC, has been claiming that he's the most "electable" of the top three presidential candidates in his party. That he can win in parts of the country that Sens. Hillary Clinton, D-NY, and Barack Obama, D-Illinois, cannot.

The argument is that Edwards is a Southerner from a rural background and can make Red states competitive. That Edwards is culturally of a Red State. That he is able to speak the language of the Reagan Democrat, Joe Sixpack, Mike Lunchpail.

The argument is NOT, the Edwards campaign insists, that Edwards as a white man is more electable than a white woman or a black man.

At the Youtube/CNN debate in July, Edwards very clearly stated, "Anybody who's considering not voting for Senator Obama because he's black or for Senator Clinton because she's a woman, I don't want their vote."

But take a listen to these comments from Edwards (CLICK HERE) from an October 8 event in Mount Ayr, Iowa, and see whether you think there's anything in there, implicitly, about his being a white man.

"If you're running in a tough congressional district…you gotta ask yourself would you rather have Senator Obama at the top of the ticket to help, Senator Clinton at the top of the ticket to help, or John Edwards at the top of the ticket to help," Edwards asks.

Edwards goes on to say, "your instincts will tell you the right answer."

You'll want someone you agree with, of course, "but you'll also want somebody who can help pull Democrats all over the country… You gotta ask yourself who's going to turn out more Republicans to vote against us at the top of our ticket. Who's gonna attract more middle of the road voters? You know, who's gonna feel more of a connection...

“But the bottom line is. I think the easiest way to do it, honestly, is to just picture in your head, each of us, running in a tough place –- we’re in one right now –- and which one’s gonna be more helpful and which one’s not. 'Cause I think that does matter."

For weeks I've rejected the notion that Edwards is making this appeal on anything other than cultural values, his Southern twang and roots….but that "picture in your head" clause is interesting.

Especially since Edwards strategist Mudcat Saunders has heralded Edwards' ability to get the votes of poor whites all over the country.

"There's not a 50 cent difference in Bubba in Buncombe County, North Carolina, and Iowa or New Hampshire or wherever else," Saunders told Men's Vogue. "We are all from basically the same set of circumstances, and a rural campaign is not just a Southern campaign. It's about the heart and soul of rural America. And John believes strongly in it...We’re going to get some white males…The other candidates I've seen are looking at that same 19-state strategy. We're well into the twenties on our strategy.”

And some folks who don't support Edwards thought this comment from Edwards' traveling companion -- former Rep.Ben Jones, D-Georgia, who you may better know as "Cooter" from ''The Dukes of Hazard" -- was interesting.

''John Edwards is the kind of guy who can not only lead this country in these very difficult times and bring it back together," Jones said, "but he's also a Democrat who can be elected in Hazard County -- if you know what I mean -- in the red states, out in the country."

In Hazard County? (Ifyouknowwhatimean?)

Where our heroes drive around in a car festooned with the Confederate flag?

(''Let me put it this way, I think the world of Barack Obama and he is the future of this party," Jones went on. "Hillary Clinton and Slick Willie and those people, they are the past. John Edwards is the present for the Democratic Party.'')

Last week, a number of Edwards supporters -- local Democratic officials --held a conference call warning that only Edwards would be able to help other Democrats on the ticket.

“Here's the deal," said Missouri Minority Whip Connie Johnson, who is African-American, "If we don't have a good person at the top of the ticket - someone who can help stop the hemorrhaging in Missouri, then we'll go red. It's as simple as that. And it will affect state reps, state senators, treasurers, governors, everybody. If Hillary comes to a state like Missouri, we can write it off." (You can listen to her HERE)

I understand the argument that Hillary Clinton has high negatives and is polarizing....but why is Obama part of this pitch that only Edwards isn't polarizing?

Another point -- one could argue that as the vice presidential nominee, Edwards didn't really do much in 2004 -- not only did not one Southern state go for Kerry-Edwards, including Edwards' native North Carolina, the ticket lost even Edwards' hometown Robbins, and Edwards currently trails behind Clinton among Democrats in the Tarheel State.

(Edwards has argued that no one votes for vice president, which is more or less true.)

In any case, what do you make of this all?

- jpt

October 22, 2007 | Permalink | Share | User Comments (36)

User Comments

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I think Mudcat and Hooter are playing with that argument. But I don't think anything that I've heard or read from Edwards crosses any line.

I'm not an Edwards supporter. For the moment, I prefer Hillary or Obama. But I have no problem with his current line of campaign argument. He's a southerner and a guy who targets his campaign at lower middle class America. I don't see a problem with any suggestion that Clinton and Obama are candidates of the elite who won't connect as well as he can with heartland voters. That's all I read into these comments.

Posted by: LESD | Oct 22, 2007 1:35:21 PM

Clearly this Tapper post has reached a pro-Edwards blog of some sort, so let me re-state Tapper's question. It is NOT whether Edwards is a good candidate. The question is what message Edwards and his campaign are sending when they ask possible primary voters to "picture in their heads" each of the top Democratic contenders campaigning in "tough places."

Is Edwards asking potential voters to respond to the assumed prejudices of some of the electorate in those "tough areas?" And if so, is there anything wrong with that?

Posted by: DKNY | Oct 22, 2007 1:34:15 PM

flyover, no offense intended, and yes I was regurgitating what I learned from the reviews of that unfortunatly titled book. Your insight is appreciated. So...is Edwards connecting with the rural constituency in your opinion? My take is that the inevitability refrain is really beating voters down, including rural america.

Posted by: cordelia525 | Oct 22, 2007 1:29:48 PM

It appears you are making an argument to support your own hypothesis. The truth is, John Edwards at the top of the ticket will do exactly what he has stated. Hillary particularly and Barack as well= downticket disaster. We need Edwards at the top of the ticket to help downticket so that we can gain the necessary majority in the Senate and House to begin making changes so many in this country hunger for.

Posted by: Nan | Oct 22, 2007 12:51:35 PM

I, like Mellencamp and Edwards, grew up in a small town. I also spent 17 years in NYC and LA. I live in a small rural town again.
There are rural areas in all 50 states, but no one except John Edwards gets that. And neither Gore nor Kerry bothered to show up here in Montana and other rural areas.
Edwards is seeking to be the first populist liberal to unite town and country, urban and rural working folks who share the same values of love of family and community and feel a responsibility to our democracy.
I know it sounds crazy, but there are a majority of us out here who aren't drinking the "greed is good, screw your neighbor" kool-aid. And it's not because we are naive or backward. It's because we have what Tom Paine called "common sense" and Suroweicki calls "the wisdom of crowds". It's how you get things done. It's how you get your barn raised or your cattle branded or moved to safety during a fire.
Most people want to be seen and heard, not ignored and told to go shopping and leave it to Daddy ...or Mommy, in this case. Edwards is running as a lobbyist for the people who have no access to one. Edwards will run and win everywhere.

Posted by: MontanaMaven | Oct 22, 2007 12:32:29 PM

Hey Spock - maybe if you took the time to look, Kerry didn't campaign in the so called red states and it wasn't Edwards to lose, being the VP nominee. Edwards has out raised Bracka and Hillary in South Carolina:

and is showing strong support in places like Oklahoma and Arkansas. Edwards will carry more than you think.

Posted by: Izzy | Oct 22, 2007 12:06:14 PM

Are you even aware that no Democrat has won the presidency in the last 43 years unless he was from the South? Edwards is more electable than the others because he's from the South alone, not to mention that he is actually saying something about real issues and is far more eloquent and charming than Clinton and Obama put together.

Hey, look, if Obama were a gangly, awkward, long-winded white guy from Massachusetts (John Kerry) instead of a gangly, awkward, long-winded black guy from Chicago, he'd be just as unelectable. And if Clinton were actually Joe Lieberman instead of just being his female counterpart, she'd be just as unelectable.

Posted by: Laura | Oct 22, 2007 12:04:34 PM

Let's see: Clinton has very high negatives, particularly among Republicans; she will not help down ticket races in red districts. Obama is a novice who is not even showing leadership in the Senate where he either misses important votes or waits until everyone else has voted; he will not help down ticket races in red districts.

This isn't about sexism or racism, as hard as you are trying to make it so. It's about the cold hard facts in politics: Edwards-rightly or wrongly-is perceived as more moderate than either Clinton or Obama, has relatively low negatives and relatively higher name recognition. He is focusing on issues that are immediately accessible to rural voters, to people who are living paycheck to paycheck, to those who believe that the political system is broken and the status quo is unacceptable.

Posted by: Edrie Irvine | Oct 22, 2007 11:54:17 AM

Seems like you are really reaching on this, trying to make what he said fit a conclusion you seem to have already made.

Nowhere does he mention race - only you do. Nowhere does he describe this "image" as one defined by race. It seems clear from the context that he is refering to them as candidates and not as racial caricatures.

Regarding rural voters, as others have mentioned above rural voters are really the key to winning in 2008, at the presidential and at the state level and Edwards has great policies for rural Americans and unlike Clinton or Obama, grew up in a rural small town. Polls have shown that rural voters are not only disenchanted with Republicans, but are favoring democrats.

You also make an assumption that Edwards thinks Obama is polarizing - Edwards has never said this. What he has said, and state leaders in red and purple states seem to agree, is that Edwards overall has the better overall package of policy and background to win battleground and red states.

Regarding North Caroline, you should also note that polls showed that had Edwards run for Senate in North Carolina in 2004, he would have easily won. People who say Edwards can't win a red state seem to either don't know that or conveniently forget. And of course he did win once before, against an incumbent. That alone seems to back up Edwards claims of electability more than anything else.

In comparison both Obama and Clinton have only won in very blue states, against weak non-incumbent oppenents.

Posted by: Josh Medeiros | Oct 22, 2007 11:40:13 AM

Cordelia hit a nerve. Her comments were certainly accurate; Kansas voted pro business and pro “values”. Some expatriate actually wrote a book proposing that something was the matter with Kansas. The writer should be tarred and feathered for misusing a tree. Kansas and the rest of the country beyond the coasts did elect our President.
Kansas is a right to work state in that if an employer wants to end a relationship with an employee he or she can with no reason; unions are limited in their activities. Last year the personal property taxes on business property were all but eliminated. That all seems odd to some.
The “rural” issue has also puzzled me for years. I was not until I heard Bobby Jindal this weekend that I realized it is not “values”, not pro / anti business or worker, not nationalist pride, not abortion pro life, not upright citizenship or religion, no not self reliance either that drives the rural vote.

It is that “ruralers” do not want the American dream taken away from their children. So they do in fact vote self interest.

However that American Dream is defined within each citizen’s heart keeps the heartland vote conservative.

Posted by: flyover | Oct 22, 2007 11:31:33 AM

More enlightenment from Spock. Thanks for the thoughtful input.

It's hard to fathom what Edwards might be saying with his "picture in your head" comment other than that a white male has a better chance of winning swing votes than a woman or a person with dark skin. While, all things being equal, he might be right, it is more than a little unsavory to encourage people to cast their votes based on the assumed prejudices of others.

The irony is that it is hard to picture many "Bubbas in Buncombe" voting for Edwards. Indeed, to the extent that any of the leading Democratic candidates has had recent success wooing blue collar, rural voters, you'd have to say that Edwards has been the worst, behind both Obama and Clinton. Clinton has been particularly successful in the past few years way north and way west of New York City.

Posted by: DKNY | Oct 22, 2007 11:23:24 AM

I have a very clear picture of John Edwards because I have seen him in N.C. many times. I picture the man who visited every county we have while he was Senator, listening to everyone and really seeing the challenges faced by real people. I see a man who believes in his plans and programs and who trusts people enough to think they will support him once they understand the details of his programs. When Edwards says he can win in the south, he does not think about being "the white guy". That is NOT the John Edwards I know. He is thinking that he is the candidate who can talk to people in honest language and gain their support for good ideas, and also win their support in electing Democrats in state and local races.

Posted by: Betty Hooker | Oct 22, 2007 11:17:19 AM

I think Edwards is right about the effect Clinton will have on down-ticket races. It is not about gender with Clinton; it's about her high negatives. Put simply, a lot of people do not like her. That translates into possible or probable votes for her opponent.

As for Obama, with all his hype and money, he is like, as George Will described him yesterday, a modern-day Adlai Stevenson. Barack Obama just does not matter.

The race for Democratic nominee is between Edwards and Clinton.

Posted by: Judy Howard | Oct 22, 2007 11:10:41 AM

OH ant Picture just made me sick to my stomach - A nightmare like no other!

Posted by: spock | Oct 22, 2007 10:18:25 AM

Nothing new here we all know Dems/lib politicians are racists to the core. Come on they honor a KKK recruiter.

Now the fact the Edwards was not able to help carry those so called Red States and Reagen-Dems in 2004, what makes him think he can now.

Though I find it funny that libs will give hime the benefit of the doubt, when it so obviuos, but if a Republican made the same comments that would want his hive! Hypocrisy at its best!

Posted by: spock | Oct 22, 2007 10:17:46 AM

I give Edwards the benefit of the doubt. As for the validity of the point regarding the heartland voters, it's interesting. Wasn't one of the object lessons from 2000 and 2004 that rural states will vote against their own self-interest, e.g. Kansas, a working class and rural state, voted for pro-business Bush over pro-worker Gore and Kerry. I'm not sure if Edwards platform will really sway rural voters, although in theory it should, I guess. My point being that rural voters defy conventional wisdom, so prognostication is more or less a waste of time.

Posted by: cordelia525 | Oct 22, 2007 9:24:53 AM

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