George Bush Foreign Policy 101 vs. National Security 101

Clearly, some Democrats are hoping to make hay out of McCain's gaffe (see "Err Jordan" below).

And clearly, Republicans are hoping to paint Obama as quite naïve on foreign policy.

So, here then, a possible preview of the general election.

Today Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., alter-ego Mark Salter said:

"Sen. Obama (D-Ill.) says that ending the war will not be easy, that 'there will be dangers involved.' Yet, in that patented way of his, he declines to name those dangers.

"Let me enumerate a few: Al Qaeda, which is now on the run, will survive, claim victory and continue to provoke sectarian tensions that, while they have been subdued by the 'tactics' of the surge, still exist and are ripe for provocation by al Qaeda, which would almost certainly ignite, again, civil war in Iraq, a civil war that could easily descend into genocide. To say that invading Iraq was used as a recruiting tool for al Qaeda is one thing. To pretend that our defeat there won't provide an even bigger one is foolish supposition.

"Iran, which trains Shia extremists and is known to arm and equip Sunni extremists, a fact Sen. Obama is apparently unaware of, will also view our premature withdrawal as a victory, as will other countries in the region. And the biggest state supporter of terrorists, a country with nuclear ambitions and a stated desire to destroy the State of Israel, will see its influence in the Middle East grow significantly.

"These are some of the 'dangers' that our premature withdrawal from Iraq will engender, and they all have the potential to destabilize the entire region. A realistic plan to prevent them from occurring is what people with experience in statecraft call 'strategy,' something Sen. Obama has not offered yet.

"Sen. Obama, as has also become a habit of his 'new politics,' mischaracterizes John McCain's position by saying McCain did not want to reduce troops because the violence in Iraq was too high, and now does not wish to do so because the violence in down. The reason violence is down is because Gen. Petraeus' counterinsurgency is, which, even Sen. Obama recognizes, is succeeding. Those 'tactics' are advancing our 'strategy.' Deprive Gen. Petraeus of the resources and manpower to employ those tactics, or worse, leave Iraq altogether, and our strategy will collapse.

"That is National Security 101. John McCain wants American forces to come home when our clear and serious interests at stake in Iraq, which nearly 4,000 Americans have given their lives to secure, are truly safe, when al Qaeda is defeated; Iran's influence is contained, and the potential for a truly cataclysmic civil war in Iraq is remote. That, I think, is what is called 'making us safer.' Sen. Obama's plan, if it can be charitably described as one, would do the reverse."

Obama spox Bill Burton responded with this dis:

“We wish the McCain campaign well as they try to figure out the difference between Iran and al Qaeda. Yesterday, Sen. McCain said that Iran is 'taking al Qaeda into Iran, training them and sending them back' to Iraq. This was shortly after telling talk radio host Hugh Hewitt, 'As you know, there are al Qaeda operatives that are taken back into Iran, given training as leaders, and they’re moving back into Iraq.' Or does Sen. McCain believe the clarification that he issued yesterday, 'I'm sorry, the Iranians are training extremists, not al Qaeda." Or does he believe the statement that he issued today: 'Al Qaeda and Shia extremists -- with support from external powers such as Iran -- are on the run, but not defeated.' Huh?

“Does this sound familiar?  Back in February 2003, before the war in Iraq began, there was no operational connection between Iraq and al Qaeda. But John McCain was saying that we had to invade and occupy a country that had no ties to the terrorists who carried out the 9/11 attacks because of Iraq's, 'support for the international terrorism of al Qaeda.'

"Despite all of his Washington experience, John McCain voted for, supported, and continues to support the greatest strategic blunder in American foreign policy in decades. Osama bin Laden, and the core leadership of al Qaeda responsible for the 9/11 attacks, are not in Iraq. They are reportedly in northwest Pakistan, which is over 1,000 miles from Iraq.

"So, while John McCain likes to boast of his willingness to follow Osama bin Laden to the Gates of Hell, all he has done is follow George Bush into a misguided war in Iraq while Osama bin Laden and al Qaeda have regrouped, and the Taliban is resurgent in Afghanistan.

“This fall, John McCain will support George Bush Foreign Policy 101: endless war in Iraq; a policy of not talking to adversaries that has not worked; and a disturbing tendency to conflate very different threats. Barack Obama will offer a clean break from the failed policies of the past. He will end the war in Iraq, finish the job in Afghanistan, and focus on the threats of the 21st century."

Obama saying McCain teaches George Bush Foreign Policy 101 ... McCain saying Obama needs to take National Security 101 ... the 2008 election in a nutshell. (Perhaps.)

- jpt

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