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New Quinnipiac PA Poll Numbers

April 15, 2008 7:48 AM

Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., maintains a 50 - 44 percent lead over Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., among likely primary voters, reports a Quinnipiac University poll released just now.

Those numbers are unchanged from April 8 numbers, though the poll was taken over the weekend -- after news broke of Obama's controversial remarks on "bitter" small-town Pennsylvanians clinging to guns, God, and xenophobia.

Twenty-six percent of Clinton supporters say that would vote for Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., should Obama win the nomination, while 19% of Obama supporters say they would go GOP should Clinton win.

Other numbers:

White voters for Clinton 57 - 37 percent;

Women voters for Clinton 54 -40;

Voter over 45 for Clinton 55 - 40;

Black voters for Obama 86 - 8 percent;

Men voters for Obama 51 - 43 percent;

Voters under 45 for Obama 55 - 39.

Says Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute: "Sen. Hillary Clinton is fighting off Sen. Barack Obama's drive to make it a close race in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary, holding the six-point edge she had a week ago.  She seems to have halted the erosion of whites and white women in particular from her campaign. She even gained back some ground in the Philadelphia suburbs - the area where elections are won and lost in the Keystone State.  She now trails Obama by just two points in this critical area, while she was 11 points behind a week ago."

- jpt

April 15, 2008 | Permalink | Share | User Comments (97)

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We need a president who will immediately take care of the economy, our troops, education, illegals crossing our borders, among other important things.

Last week, Obama said he would “immediately” review potential crimes of the Bush administration. Do you feel better knowing that a President Obama is going to spend his time and energy going after his fellow Americans who have been protecting us from the Islamic terrorists who are intent on killing Americans? Terrorist Muslims killed Americans. Why shouldn’t we should torture these criminals, if necessary? Anything the government does is okay as long as my child is safe!

If Barack Hussein Obama feels that strongly, then he should be investigated for his involvement with Rezko, Ayers, Nadhmi Auchi, Wright, Sinclair, Farrakhan, the Black Panthers, Meeks, Malley, , Khalidi, McPeaks, anti-American Michelle Obama, siad or any of his other friends. Would only be right to find out BEFORE he was ever elected.

Hopefully, someday somebody will tell me something Obama has accomplished. He is a great orator but will be decimated in the Fall election cycle. He is either a Marxist or a guy who doesn't really understand how Washington works. He has no real policy on anything but Healthcare. He is way too Liberal for the USA! Most of his good stances are duplicates of Hillary’s. And, worse than anything, his entire campaign has been run on lies! WHO IS BARACK HUSSEIN OBAMA? ACTUALLY, NOBODY KNOWS!

Clinton or McCain! Vote for our Country --- not for a Party.

Posted by: PROUDAMERICAN | Apr 17, 2008 12:01:36 PM

I think in the end the big corporations behind the MSM will pick our president. I guess that means President Mccain.

Posted by: wwt | Apr 16, 2008 2:07:50 PM

Senator Obama tries to look presidential, talk presidential and walk presidential but if you open up the package and really see the complete politian, you will find that is a very devious, corrupt man who will do or say anything to get elected. My search engine shows 3,53l,021 OBAMA LIES and a hundred more each day. When will people learn to look at the real man.
Clinton or McCain for President in 08.

Posted by: Independent Voter | Apr 16, 2008 12:37:52 PM

When I checked out a comprehensive lists of political polls just an hour ago, Senator Clinton was ahead 20 points in PA and ahead in 20 out of 26 states polls.
So, why is the media trying again to distort what the voters say?
Guess they are still hoping the Maxist Senator Obama will win. SO VERY SAD

Posted by: Mary | Apr 16, 2008 12:24:48 PM

As for inexperience...

Abraham Lincoln had 2 years in Congress and serveral years as a State Legislator. That is it!

He lead us through the MOST difficult time in American History.

Posted by: Richard | Apr 16, 2008 11:54:40 AM

A voice of reason: The only way the democrats will capture the white house is together. I will not vote for Barack because of his thin resume, but if he added eight years as vice president, no one could claim that he was inexperienced and I think this would all but assure the democrats of 16 years in the white house. This is sound reasoning and Barack could end this all now and fill in the gaps and probably make a wonderful president. If democrats came together and made this the sound that both candidates could hear, maybe we could get this done.

Posted by: justme | Apr 16, 2008 10:02:02 AM

A voice of reason: The only way the democrats will capture the white house is together. I will not vote for Barack because of his thin resume, but if he added eight years as vice president, no one could claim that he was inexperienced and I think this would all but assure the democrats of 16 years in the white house. This is sound reasoning and Barack could end this all now and fill in the gaps and probably make a wonderful president. If democrats came together and made this the sound that both candidates could hear, maybe we could get this done.

Posted by: justme | Apr 16, 2008 10:01:18 AM

Monica 9:24:19am. TOTALLY AGREE. Auchi is actually Iraqi. Noone is touching this story. When everyone voted for the war because of the intelligence at the time and Obama was against it, do Auchi(Iraqi) and Rezko(Syrian) make you a little Queasy?

Posted by: RL in Illinois | Apr 16, 2008 2:31:36 AM

John 12:56:35pm. Pelosi hates Bill. She also likes giving the orders. Kennedy has no waaay room to talk. Kerry lost and could not shut his wife up. He also came across wimpy. Didn't he ask McCain to run with him? I think it would have helped. Carter had high morals but failed miserably as president-1 term. He also likes Obama's sympathy towards Palestinians. Al Gore will always blame Clinton for losing the election-even though he distanced himself pretty well from Bill. Trouble with some stories, but so do all of the above.

Posted by: RL in Illinois | Apr 16, 2008 2:14:31 AM

Hey, where is that Annie Oakly Hilry? She better get down to our small towns in PA and show us those millions of Columbian trade dollars hidden in her swiss accounts. Liar, cheat!!!

Posted by: Annie Oakley | Apr 15, 2008 11:34:04 PM

CNN has the LA/HUFFINGTON poll with Clinton at 5% lead. As soon as the other states AND PA voters really listen to the words of Mr. Obama, the Clinton lead will skyrocket. Mr. Obama's irresponsible oral thoughts about " gun toting -bible clinging" small town USA was a direct "slap in the face" to many of US. Now, I have a greater respect for my Bible and my guns! They are saying that Obama supposedly voted to ban the sale and
manufacturing of hand guns while in Illinois running for the senate (?).
Sen. Clinton believes in the SECOND AMENDMENT AND loves her religion/faith like the majority of Americans. Obama will NOT take my faith OR my guns!!! Nor is my soul" BROKEN" as Michelle Obama states. With these two, who needs a pastor.... Please quit preaching to the American citizens!! We are Hard Working, Proud and Compassionate!

Posted by: DaneNM | Apr 15, 2008 10:24:21 PM

Like every poll that I've seen they seem to favor Obama...when the actual election comes Clinton will win by 10 to 15 points...Undecided will break her way.

The thing is the Democratic party is split 50%^ 50% Obama supporters will never believe the truth about him...But Independents and Republicans are moving to McCains camp...

It annoys me that so many people are so easily swayed by polls and demographics...they have been notoriously inaccurate in this election...Hillary could very well be gaining more ground than you think....It usually takes about a week for it to sink in before the electorate really moves.

Posted by: Jackie | Apr 15, 2008 9:41:53 PM

Pledged delegates may have seemed a reasonable indicator with a race that wasn't so close AND had Obama gotten more of his wins in Primary states - especially had he been able to capture at least a few of the bigger states. But, he hasn't. More importantly, if indeed there is a shift in these final contests away from Obama, the DNC needs to face up to the fact that he's not electable in November.

- Wait a second, what am I saying? The DNC already knows he's unelectable, they just don't know how to run this "end game."

Posted by: s. valenti | Apr 15, 2008 3:56:01 PM

Even with a victory in Pennsylvania, CQ Politics predicts that Hillary will barely beat Obama in the state's all important delegate race.

Based on an extensive analysis of the 19 congressional districts in Pennsylvania, CQ projects that Clinton will take home 53 delegates to Obama's 50 - out of the pool of district-level delegates that are up for grabs on April 22nd. In all, Pennsylvania will send 187 Democratic delegates to the national convention.

Posted by: watson | Apr 15, 2008 2:16:44 PM

Herta,
Lay down the pipe. That's just absurd. Apparently you didn't read the article. Clinton reversed the erosion in critical areas by 9 points. This poll shows favorable trends in Clinton's favor. However, given this reported factor, this overall poll report becomes suspect, because that means the poll number did not stay the same, although they are being reported as the same.

It's not clear why ABC new cherry picked this poll, as other newer polls show Clinton crushing Obama. It doesn't really matter, though. When the poll of polls average begins to show the trendline of Clinton crushing Obama, then the press will report it as if its news.

Bottom line, Obama will have wasted almost 15 million dollars on ads, having outspent Hillary by a factor of 5 to 1.

Why can't he close the deal with this torrent of spending?
========================================
Obama, better start paying that street money!
Obama got paid!
The street people need to get paid!
========================================

Posted by: WestCoastMessenger | Apr 15, 2008 1:44:31 PM

I see the Rev.Wright was at a FUNERAL slamming FOX NEWS, my favorite station of late. That man is nothing but class.

Posted by: tww | Apr 15, 2008 1:22:38 PM

Watson,
Did he make that endorsement before or after the announcement of the Auchi factor? Just curious. I'm amazed at how much slime is connected to Obama, and yet the politicos keep flocking to him. They are looking to pile on the future payola.
========================================
It's Obama's turn to get paid!
========================================

Posted by: WestCoastMessenger | Apr 15, 2008 1:21:07 PM

Watson.

No surprise.
Everytime he is down ,either he asks for endorsement or his backers tries to find it for him.
They spoil him too much.
Bob Casey is going to defense about his Bitter comments instead of himself.

Posted by: crisis08 | Apr 15, 2008 1:18:40 PM


SurveyUSA | Likely Voters | Clinton | Obama | Undecided

Rasmussen | 741 | 371 | 304 | 67

SurveyUSA | 1,600 | 864 | 640 | 96

Quinnipiac | 2,103 | 1,052 | 925 | 126

Zogby | 1,002 | 471 | 431 | 100

Susquehanna | 500 | 200 | 185 | 115

InsiderAdvantage | 681 | 327 | 259 | 95

Total | 6,627 | 3,284 | 2,744 | 599

Weighted Averages | 100.0% | 49.6% | 41.4% | 9.0%

Looking at the weighted average of the polls at RCP, Clinton 8.1% lead over Obama with 9% undecided. Clinton has performed better in the days leading up to the election with the undecided vote.

Posted by: LOM | Apr 15, 2008 1:14:45 PM

LOM,

You are right.

Posted by: crisis08 | Apr 15, 2008 1:13:27 PM

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