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'Obamaha'
October 04, 2008 7:32 PM
Why is Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin expected to campaign in Omaha, Nebraska, Sunday night?
Because there is a highly plausible scenario involving battleground states -- 19 plausible scenarios, in fact, according to the Obama campaign -- where the day after Election Day Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., and Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., each have only 269 electoral votes -- one short of the 270 needed to win the presidency.
For instance: Obama wins every state won in 2004 by Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., except for New Hampshire, but Obama also picks up Colorado, Iowa, and New Mexico.
269-269.
Or: Obama wins every Kerry state and adds Iowa, Nevada and New Mexico.
269-269.
In the event of a tie, the election is kicked to the House of Representatives, which is of course controlled by Democrats, but the Obama campaign doesn't want that to happen. So the Obama campaign has dispatched 15 paid staffers to Nebraska, which -- along with Maine -- is one of two states that awards electoral votes by congressional district rather than winner-take-all.
The plan: To win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, or Omaha, so if the nightmare scenario happens, Obama wins 270-268.
Sen. Ben Nelson, D-Neb., has even taken to calling the city "Obamaha" these days.
Earlier this month, former Sen. Bob Kerrey, D-Neb., did two events for Obama -- one with veterans, one with a women's group -- back in his former home state; Kerrey says Obama can win there, though polling currently has McCain in the lead.
"They will have a huge field and get out the vote effort, which could add 3 to 4 points more than the polls show," Kerrey tells ABC News. "They are tracking daily and say McCain's lead is low single digits with the trends favorable for Obama."
It's not that the McCain camp isn't hip to the fact that Nebraska and Maine's quirky electoral process could be so impactful, and hence Palin's trip to Omaha Sunday night.
Moreover, as the McCain campaign abandoned Michigan this week, a McCain campaign source tells ABC News that officials are sending resources to Maine, to try to win Maine's Northernmost congressional district, which is also its 2nd CD.
-- jpt
October 4, 2008 in Obama, Barack | Permalink | Share | User Comments (227)
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The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC).
Every vote would be politically relevant and equal in presidential elections.
The bill would take effect only when enacted, in identical form, by states possessing a majority of the electoral votes-that is, enough electoral votes to elect a President (270 of 538). When the bill comes into effect, all the electoral votes from those states would be awarded to the presidential candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC).
So there would never be a tie in the electoral vote, because the compact always represents a bloc consisting of a majority of the electoral votes. Thus, an election for President would never be thrown into the House of Representatives (with each state casting one vote) and an election for Vice President would never be thrown into the Senate (with each Senator casting one vote).
The National Popular Vote bill has passed 21 state legislative chambers, including one house in Arkansas, Colorado, Maine, North Carolina, and Washington, and both houses in California, Hawaii, Illinois, New Jersey, Maryland, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Vermont. The bill has been enacted by Hawaii, Illinois, New Jersey, and Maryland. These four states possess 50 electoral votes - 19% of the 270 necessary to bring the law into effect.
Posted by: susan | Oct 6, 2008 12:09:28 PM
Americans will wake up in the voting booth....and the polls are never accurate as those on the phone feel intimidated and say they'll vote for the newbie radical black guy....and go into the booth.....and don't.....called the Bradley Effect.....so shave off a few points in any poll.
NEVER OBAMA....IT'S ALL ABOUT HIM
McCAIN/PALIN
Posted by: DLM | Oct 6, 2008 3:18:57 AM
The personal attacks on Obama doesn't worry me, it will only backfire for McCain .
Please, we need solutions, we need idea's. Not campaign tactics.
McCain doesn't know the difference between tactics and strategy. Where is his economic plans to solve our crisis.
Posted by: CLabs | Oct 6, 2008 12:53:00 AM
"VIVA Mr. President, President McCain.
VIVA Madame Presidnet, President Palin.
GOD Bless and send you both to the White HOUSE. Amen."
OMG,
She will be the international laughing stock of the works. Is she also gona pull this wink wink stuff at Putin.
Or will she starts mumbling some nonsense because Putin annoys her.
Please, go grab another six pack and save us from your blessings.
Posted by: CLabs | Oct 6, 2008 12:45:12 AM
grey matter:
"I'm not saying that having an affair neccessarily means McCain is a downright rotten man to the core, but it does say something. And it says that his camp has no right to say things about Obama's moral character when his own has had a lapse."
he Mccains have been married for well over a quarter of a century. They have been loyal to each other and have remained on friendly terms with John's first wife.
Cindy has accomplished extraordinary good for children requiring plastic surgery to lead normal lives... and is definitely not the trollop Obama's cultists have tried to label her.
And his digression of long long ago HAS been played up to the hilt... which leaves all of Obama's political indiscretions ripe for the plucking.
And there are plenty to be plucked!
For instance, his association with Acorn and William Ayers.
His interactions with Farrakhan and Reverend Meeks, and with that other "agent of change", Raila Odinga!
His contacts with Rashid Khalidy, Rezko, Nachmi Auchi?
And was that $10,000,000 retirement "payoff" to Jeremiah Wright part of Obama's earmark to his church?
What about Obama's questionable contacts with Hamas and Hezbellah (sp)?
Why are these mid eastern countries so anxious for him to win? Do they view him as weak? Untried?
MCCAIN AND PALIN
COUNTRY BEFORE PARTY!
Posted by: candor | Oct 6, 2008 12:08:26 AM
McSame & Gov. Caribou
Posted by: jeru | Oct 5, 2008 4:41:18 PM
Cute! Try and come up with some more.
Posted by: RealisticLib | Oct 5, 2008 5:46:41 PM
Hi Jeru,
The people come here to express their opinions not to write an essay.
Yes Karl Rove said almsot the same thing as you do, but Karl Rove also warns:
"..this race is “susceptible to rapid changes,” so no definite prediction is possible."
I'm Libertarian for McCain/Palin
GOD Please send McCain/Palin to the White House. Amen.
Posted by: Beatrice | Oct 5, 2008 4:59:19 PM
Electoral map looking VERY BLUE....
and....
there's nothing McSame & Gov. Caribou
can do about it.......
most of the McMuffin Palinoscopy posters here seem to have as big a problem with english as Palin does.
Posted by: jeru | Oct 5, 2008 4:41:18 PM
BY THE TIME THE REPUBLICAN ATTACK MACHINE GETS DONE WITH BARKY, NEBRASKA WILL BE THE LEAST OF HIS WORRIES. HE'LL BE FACING A JUDGE BY THE TIME THEY ARE DONE WITH HIM, AND PRESIDENT MCCAIN (WHO WON IN A LANDSLIDE) WILL BE LAUGHING IN THE WHITE HOUSE WHEN THEY TAKE BARKY AWAY IN HANDCUFFS.....
Posted by: Foodforthought | Oct 5, 2008 3:00:47 PM
Some far left women/men hate and jealous of Gov. Palin and they are toooooooo scared of the Governor, they trash her every day and night.
That is so funny. When some body wrote the Gov will be the President the libs are paranoid. :-)
Ok I add on that.
I'm Libertarian voting McCain/Palin/08
and McCain will be the US President then President Palin.
VIVA Mr. President, President McCain.
VIVA Madame Presidnet, President Palin.
GOD Bless and send you both to the White HOUSE. Amen.
Posted by: Beatrice | Oct 5, 2008 2:00:42 PM
Andrew,
Please post a reference and dates where we can see and read Palin's welcome to the Alaskan Independence group and the announcement that she was switching over to the GOP to become more "viable".
This would be great on You Tube.
Thanks.
Posted by: Peggy | Oct 5, 2008 10:48:16 AM
Looks like Palin/McCain must have held a workshop on re-typing talking points.
Let me try...
God, god, god, god Sarah Palin god, woman, godless liberals, you betcha, gosh dang, wink, lie, lie, healthcare lie, all in the name of god.
How did I do?
Posted by: TripsyDaily | Oct 5, 2008 10:47:11 AM
LEE LEE07----JUST ANOTHER UNTRUTH FROM AN ILL INFORMED AA FEMALE.
Posted by: READY99 | Oct 5, 2008 10:33:32 AM
Voter In America, thanks for explaining that about the health insurance. But what about if we also pay a deductable?
And how much is decent medical (no dental) coverage for a single person? And how about for a family?
Actually, now I'm wondering if my husband's employer is ripping us off. They cover his medical but they take out $11,000 yearly in additional monies to have family coverage. Does this sound right?
Posted by: mary | Oct 5, 2008 10:29:17 AM
The Republicans had it
right when they kept Palin
in seclusion.
Now that they have let her
out they'll lose wherever
she campaigns.
Palin should only be seen
from a distance, not heard.
Posted by: anon | Oct 5, 2008 10:13:32 AM
To ALL Voters,
Obama has been running ads and even speaking about McCain Health Care Plan and MISLED/DISTORTED the plan. Obama and Biden want to leave the voters with the IMPRESSION that they are going to get a $5,000.00 tax CREDIT from McCain even though health insurance cost $12,000.00 per family on average. So, people would ask WHERE is the ADDITIONAL $7,000.00 going come from?
I will EXPOSE the OBAMA deception and lies with the following BREAKDOWN of the McCain plan. I assumed that Obama supporters are INTELLIGENT enough to follow my calculations:
Suppose you get paid $40,000 a year (I'm NOT elistist!) in cash compensation and $12,000 in health insurance. You're with me so far.
Right now, you ONLY pay federal income taxes on the cash compensation (wages) but NOT the health insurance. Still with me?
Let say that the taxes on your wages is 20%. That means you give Uncle Sam back $8,000 of your wages. That's is 20% of the $40,000. Still with me. Remember THAT $8,000 TAXES. So you BROUGHT home $32,000 ($40,000 - $8,000). Ok so far?
NOW, McCain Plan:
Your employer keeps paying the PREMIUN, which NOW taxed as INCOME to you. You therefore pay the federal income taxes on $52,000 ($40,000 + $12,000) at 20% which comes out to be $10,400. Still with me?
McCain's plan gives you a tax CREDIT. I repeat tax CREDIT, not DEDUCTION of $5,000. (against your tax liability). So, instead of paying Uncle Sam $10,400 for taxes, you ONLY pay $5,400. ($10,400 - $5,000). Are you still with me?
Remember that $8,000 taxes earlier. Now, you pay ONLY $5,400 in taxes a SAVINGS/MONEY IN YOUR POCKET of $2,600.
That's $2,600 you can use for other necessary things.
Here is the NICE thing about this plan.
If you DECIDE to buy your insurance in the OPEN market (competition to lower premium) instead of your EMPLOYER, the result will be IDENTICAL. Since your employer does not care HOW you use YOUR health insurance money as long as total costs are the same. So, instead of paying health insurance premiums, your EMPLOYER pay you the WHOLE thing.
Obama and his coons would try all the DECEPTIONS misinformation, disinformation to scare people WHO do not understand about taxes.
Well, Obama is NOT scaring this one for sure.
As for his health care plan, you will be PICKING up the tabs for EVERYONE whether you want it or not.
Posted by: Voter In America | Oct 5, 2008 10:07:06 AM
IF YOU TRICK ME ONCE.....SHAME ON YOU!
IF YOU TRICK ME TWICE....SHAME ON ME!
News flash: We are all familiar with the Karl Rove propaganda tricks. Sorry, they are not going to work this time!
WE NEED A CHANGE..
WE NEED “OBAMA & BIDEN 08”
Posted by: y.sister | Oct 5, 2008 9:15:50 AM
So senja, I'm assuming that you're proud of the fact that you lied to a pollster about voting for Obama. So much for family values and honesty.
Posted by: Angelo | Oct 5, 2008 8:59:14 AM
Lovely, you and the Left continue to leave out the most important part of the former police chief's statement. Mr. Fannon also said: "I'd like to see the courts make these people (rapists) pay restitution for these things." So he wanted the rapists to be held responsible for the costs of the rape kits. NOT THE VICTIMS.
Posted by: James Danley | Oct 5, 2008 8:53:44 AM
I've been reading the "heated" debate and discussion and I find it interesting that many believe the issues the country is facing are solely political party related. I do not believe they are. Yes, we currently have a Republican President and yes, we currently have a Democratic majority in the House and Senate so, logically the fault lies, it appears, with both sides. Depending on what issues you feel strongly about may I suggest that you truly research them and not assume that any media are telling the complete truth. For example, I wanted to know what was really in the so called "bailout" bill, so I downloaded a copy and I am looking at all the "earmarks" that have been entered into it. Wow! Let me ask a question...since it was important that we would be led to believe that the "sky was falling" and it would cost around $700B to fix, why tack on millions more dollars we don't have for other projects? It doesn't appear that the elected officials (both Dems and Reps)are concerned too much about all the money their are going to suck out of us. So, here's my take...I appreciate candidates on both sides however, Obama speaks of change and then turns around and picks a well entrenched(SP?)politician who has been in the biz for 35 years approx. How is that real change? Second, McCain does have a history of going against the Republicians which has been confirmed by most media outlets as well as bills he has sponsored. Ironically, he was the media "golden boy" for that reason before he ran for President. Then he picks a complete "outsider" to the Washington system for his running mate. For better or worse that "screams" change. Now with this said, I realize there are other reasons to consider when voting but for me it can be seen as a gamble either way because we don't know how the candidates will truly conduct themselves once in office. So, here we are about to make history and I pray that regardless of who wins, our great nation will be better for it. Just remember this...a government that is large enough to care for its people is also large enough to control its people and take liberty away.
Posted by: stbelieve | Oct 5, 2008 8:43:37 AM
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