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Poll Cats: Six Days Out

October 29, 2008 2:00 PM

ABC News Polling Director Gary Langer kicks in with these polls of likely voters in battleground states from yesterday and today.

Colorado -- 50-41 Obama, 10/26 AP/GfK

Florida
50-43 Obama, 10/27 LA Times/Bloomberg
47-45 Obama, 10/26 Quinnipiac University
45-43 Obama, 10/26 AP/GfK

Indiana -- 48-47 Obama, 10/25 Research 2000/The South Bend Tribune/WSBT-TV

Nevada -- 52-41 Obama 10/26 AP/GfK

New Hampshire
58-33 Obama, 10/27 UNH/WMUR
55-37 Obama, 10/26 LV AP/GfK

Montana -- 48-44 McCain, 10/25 NBC/Mason-Dixon

North Carolina
48-46 Obama, 10/26 AP/GfK
47-47 tied, 10/25 NBC/Mason-Dixon

Ohio
49-40 Obama, 10/27 LA Times/Bloomberg
51-42 Obama, 10/26 Quinnipiac University
48-42 Obama, 10/26 AP/GfK

Pennsylvania
53-42 Obama, 10/28 Muhlenberg/Morning Call
53-41 Obama, 10/26 Quinnipiac University
53-40 Obama, 0/26 AP/GfK

Virginia -- 49-42 Obama, 10/26 AP/GfK

- jpt

October 29, 2008 | Permalink | Share | User Comments (69)

User Comments

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I think if you don't pay in to the tax system you shouldn't get anything out of it. That is, unless you can prove special hardship or critical needs. Life threatening conditions should not be overlooked, children should not be neglected nor the elderly.

Dealing with the poor is not done out of charity. It is done in the interest of society as a whole. If the concentration of wealth becomes too disparate, then the workings of democracy start to break down. Education suffers, crime rises, and the reaction of society is to build more prisons. Eventually a police state evolves. What was once a proud country becomes a democracy in name only, where it's citizens fear the very people sworn to protect them.

Posted by: seemstome | Oct 29, 2008 7:45:57 PM

States like Alaska do not have a secretary of state. That responsibility falls to the lieutenant governor, Todd Palin.

Posted by: seemstome | Oct 29, 2008 7:28:37 PM

Do not call in sick on election day. Email your employer that you will be voting and you may have to withstand unprecedented lines.

If you can vote absentee ballot in your state at this late date, do it.

Obama/Biden 08!

Posted by: Common Sense | Oct 29, 2008 7:27:17 PM

A secretary of state of a state like Florida or Ohio has a tremendous influence on the outcome of an election.

He or she can allocate materials and make value judgments on whether a voter meets criteria.
The number and quality of machines assigned to a county are influenced by them.
Standards for voter registration are subject to their interpretation.
If the county elections supervisor is the same political party as the governor and the secretary of the state, you have two out of three of the
requirements for an election fraud perfect storm. The third is if the governor is the candidate's brother.

Posted by: seemstome | Oct 29, 2008 7:18:17 PM

Florida is a republican state with a history of fixing presidential elections.
Although Kathleen Harris is history and
Charlie Crist is no Jeb Bush, I still think there will be some hacking of the results.

Pennsylvania should go the other way. Governor Rendell looks like a real old time Democrat. In short, it's in the bag.

Posted by: seemstome | Oct 29, 2008 7:01:28 PM

Foghorn Leghorn

Yes, although he never actually promised to take public financing, his backing out can certianly be considered a reversal. Fair enough, Obama has done several things I didn't like. But opting out of public financing was the only logical choice for him. I think the mistake was ever saying he would do it on the first place.

Posted by: jock59801 | Oct 29, 2008 6:51:20 PM

"Us working class use cell phones"

The demographics for cell only users skew towards the same demographics that heavily favor Obama.

Besides a few polling outfits do cell only polling in addition to their traditional polling.

Posted by: Ryan C (That One) | Oct 29, 2008 5:57:53 PM

NHCatholic: It's tough to pick the most despicable Republican ad/robocall/allegation of the campaign. There are so many. The Libby Dole one certainly is in the top five.

My own personal favorite is Sarah's statement that under Obama, our property won't belong to us anymore, it will belong to everyone. Obama has never said anything close to that. I don't think Sarah Palin is a socialist either, although some of her comments sound like it: “we’re set up, unlike other states in the union, where it’s collectively Alaskans own the resources. So we share in the wealth when the development of these resources occurs.” Nobody could make up that syntax.

Posted by: Mara | Oct 29, 2008 5:57:43 PM

Just think though the poll numbers are mostly home phone numbers of the unworking people looking to reap tax benefits when they do not even pay in. Us working class use cell phones...

Posted by: Corey B | Oct 29, 2008 5:48:34 PM

"Monegan, the former public safety commissioner, submitted a complaint to the personnel board seeking a hearing to “address reputational harm” caused by Palin.

In the complaint, which appears to set the stage for a lawsuit, Monegan’s attorney Jeffrey Feldman said Palin’s “inconsistent and changing explanations” for firing Monegan – including claims that he was fired for insubordination – have damaged his reputation."

Posted by: Ryan C (That One) | Oct 29, 2008 5:48:19 PM

Senator- When it comes to limits the only thing we need is term limits on how many times Senators can get elected. Just think as soon as Obama gets in all the dough that will come in so you can spend, spend, spend on programs for lobbyists so you can reap the benefits from the top end.


Posted by: Corey B | Oct 29, 2008 5:45:38 PM

Ryan I know you would rather be talking about Palin's blouses or ranting about Bush or McSame but the fact is your guy said he would take public financing and then he didn't. And he did it because he could raise a boatload of money. Why is that so hard for you to understand? Are we going too fast for you here?

Posted by: Foghorn Leghorn | Oct 29, 2008 5:40:31 PM

"the Boston Herald has reported that Palin spent more than $51,000 in taxpayers money to renovate the governor’s Anchorage office suite and spruce up her mansion and office in Juneau."

Posted by: Ryan C (That One) | Oct 29, 2008 5:28:16 PM

Nice selective quoting.

"Former Sen. Wendell Ford once gave me good advice about public issues and votes: "If it takes you more than 10 minutes to explain why you voted a particular way, you probably voted wrong." It would take me a lot longer than those 10 minutes to explain why I'm not outraged by Obama's decision to opt out of funding - which has given him a decisive spending advantage over Sen. John McCain.

Actually, I could keep my answer under 10 minutes if I were willing to answer that it's now to my advantage to act in contradiction to my previously stated beliefs. All I would need to say is that, on the issue of public funding in 2008, I was a hyprocrite.

Of course, there's another option: Admit I was wrong on such limitations in the first place. And that's exactly what I'm likely to do.

For the facts in evidence seem to make the case that this presidential campaign is the most exciting, most closely watched and most expensive in my lifetime. That is, there seems to be no correlation between the amount of money spent and disillusionment among the voters. Indeed, the contrary appears to be true."

The lesson as always? Right wingers lie.

Posted by: Ryan C (That One) | Oct 29, 2008 5:24:58 PM

You know...the $150,000 spent by the republicans is/was ridiculous! I certainly could have used that money!!! They could have donated that money to CHARITY - Those with ailments that Palin's child has! Donating the clothes to charity will get them PENNIES on the dollar VS $150,000 CASH! Think of what they could have done with that money!!!

All THREE other candidates paid for their OWN SUITS, SHOES, TIES...Where does putting a woman (broke as Palin is on her $100k salary, NOT) in RENTED clothes make this alright??

Palin said she was going back to her own CONSIGNMENT shop in "Alaskaaaaaa" to get new digs after the election...gee...SHE should have given THAT consignment shop the money!!! Think of how that would have helped a fellow citizen, small busienss owner...INSTEAD...Nordstrom and Neiman Marcus made the money!

GO PALIN support BIG BUSINESS and NOT THE POOR CONSIGNMENT SHOP IN ALAKSA!!!!!!!!

What an idiot! Liar!!

Obama/Biden 2008!

Posted by: Richard | Oct 29, 2008 5:24:10 PM

ON the question of public funding of presidential campaigns, we Democrats who strongly support Sen. Barack Obama's candidacy and who previously supported limits on campaign spending and who haven't objected to Obama's opting out of the presidential funding system face an awkward fact: Either we are hypocrites, or we were wrong to support such limitations in the first place.

The next time we speak of the virtue of level playing fields or state our strong belief that democracy can't survive in the modern age unless big money is taken out of campaigns, we'll be counting on our audience's forgetting our silence this year, when the free market was flowing in our direction.

A hypocrite is a person who puts on a false appearance of virtue - who acts in contradiction to his or her stated beliefs or feelings. And that, it seems to me, is what we're doing now.

- Senator Bob Kerrey D


So Ryan C (That One), you gonna vote for the hypocrite?

Posted by: Foghorn Leghorn | Oct 29, 2008 5:12:49 PM

"ABC News Kate Snow reports: Governor Palin's campaign still has not released any information regarding her medical records despite frequent requests from the news media and the campaign's own assertion that they would release this information soon.

On Sunday morning, Palin spokeswoman Tracey Schmitt told ABC News that the campaign had planned to release information on her medical history early this week.

Today is Wednesday"

Posted by: Ryan C (That One) | Oct 29, 2008 5:12:08 PM

Holly

Ron Paul actually asked for his name to be taken OFF the Montana ballot, but they said it was too late to change it.

Posted by: jock59801 | Oct 29, 2008 4:59:23 PM

"...a copy of the complaint that Frank Gwartney, a retired lineman in Anchorage filed last Friday, with Alaska’s Attorney General, Talis Colber in Juneau. “Palin ran on the platform of ethics, transparency and anti-corruption. I’m tired of the hypocrisy that exists in Government and people need to know the truth,” said Gwartney."

"This new ethics complaint comes on the heels of the Federal Elections Campaign complaint filed by Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington for spending $150,000 on pricey designer threads."

Ruh-Roh

Posted by: Ryan C (That One) | Oct 29, 2008 4:58:01 PM

Jake,

Come on. How about some of the good news for John McCain? Here is some:

ARIZONA

46-44 McCAIN, Arizona State 10/23 - 10/26, 1019 RV/3.0

Oh, okay so maybe it isn't good news when McCain cant crack 50% and his 2% lead is within the margin of error in his own home state.

Sorry.

Posted by: Bud | Oct 29, 2008 4:49:22 PM

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