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The Weight of the World Awaits

November 13, 2008 4:10 PM

Barack Obama had only been president-elect for a few hours when Russian President Dmitry Medvedev fired a warning shot across his Good Ship Lollypop.

Medvedev in a speech warned the U.S. that its planned missile defense shield to be established in Poland and the Czech Republic would be met with Russian missiles in Kaliningrad, a Russian enclave between Poland and Lithuania.

"The Iskander missile system will be deployed in Kaliningrad region to neutralize, when necessary, the missile shield," Medvedev said. "We are also planning to use the resources of the Russian naval fleet for these purposes."

Slightly more than a day later, Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni suggested that Obama's willingness to speak to Iranian leaders is a terrible idea.

"Dialogue at this time is liable to broadcast weakness," she told Israel Radio. "I think early dialogue at a time when it appears to Iran that the world has given up on sanctions could be problematic."

The world scarcely waited a second to start testing President-elect Barack Obama, and it has not let up since. The Obama team has made it clear that they in no way want to even remotely be seen as subverting the authority of the current president. At a press conference last week, Obama dodged a question as to how soon he anticipated sending low-level envoys to hostile countries such as Cuba, Venezuela, Syria and Iran to see if the presidential-level talks he spoke much of on the campaign trail would prove productive.

"We only have one president at a time," Obama said. "And I want to be very careful that we are sending the right signals, to the world as a whole, that I am not the president and I won't be until January 20th."

He acknowledged receiving a congratulatory note from Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, but was cautious in his response to that letter.

"I am aware that the letter was sent," he said. "Iran's development of a nuclear weapon, I believe, is unacceptable. And we have to mount a international effort to prevent that from happening. Iran's support of terrorist organizations, I think, is something that has to cease. I will be reviewing the letter from President Ahmadinejad. And we will respond appropriately."

For its part, Iran is apparently expressing concerns about Obama's leadership as well. Some there don't think he's sincere.

"People who put on a mask of friendship, but with the objective of betrayal, and who enter from the angle of negotiations without preconditions, are more dangerous," deputy commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps Hossein Taeb told the Mehr News Agency this week, according to the Washington Post. "The power holders in the new American government are trying to regain their lost influence with a tactical change in their foreign diplomacy. They are shifting from a hard conflict to a soft attack."

Since his election last week, Mr. Obama has spoken to President Hu Jintao of China, President Mohamed Hosni Mubarak of Egypt, Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi of Italy, President Asif Ali Zardari of Pakistan, President Lech Kaczynski of Poland, Prime Minister Donald Tusk of Poland, President Dmitriy Anatolyevich Medvedev of Russia, King Abdullah bin Abdulaziz al Saud of Saudi Arabia, President Jose Luis Zapatero of Spain, Prime Minister Rudd of Australia, Prime Minister Harper of Canada, President Sarkozy of France, Chancellor Merkel of Germany, Prime Minister Olmert of Israel, Prime Minister Aso of Japan, President Calderon of Mexico, President Lee of South Korea, Prime Minister Brown of the United Kingdom, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva of Brazil, His Holiness Pope Benedict XVI, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh of India, His Majesty King Abdullah of Jordan, and President Mwai Kibaki of Kenya, to name but a few.

Obama and his aides have been besieged with calls from world leaders trying to set up face-to-face time with the man who will be the 44th American President while they're in town for the G-20 conference this weekend. Obama has opted out, but is making two advisers -- former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright and former Rep. Jim Leach, R-Iowa -- available for any meetings.

Agendas lurk behind these messages of congratulations. Polish president Kaczynski spoke to Obama, then claimed on his official website that Obama had told him "that the anti-missile shield project will be continued," a source of great controversy in the region.

Senior Obama foreign policy adviser Denis McDonough immediately issued a statement saying that "President Kaczynski raised missile defense but President-elect Obama made no commitment on it. His position is as it was throughout the campaign, that he supports deploying a missile defense system when the technology is proved to be workable." An aide to the President of Poland, Michal Kaminski, later corrected the record, saying on TVN24 that Obama "made no declaration on missile defense." 

Medvedev, meanwhile, soon backed off some of his more bellicose language, telling the French newspaper Le Figaro today that "We are prepared to drop our decision to deploy missiles at Kaliningrad if the new American administration decides to abandon its anti-missile system... We hope to create frank and honest relations with the new administration and resolve problems that we were not able to resolve with the current administration."

- jpt

November 13, 2008 | Permalink | Share | User Comments (30)

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I have always been taught that you don't mess with the peace keeper. The peace keeper and the soft spoken are the ones that are the fiercest, toughest and most deadly. I think that although Obama does not have any MILITARY experience, it would be foolish to test his resolve. I think that behind his calm and cool demeanor stands a President prepared to fight for the Country and the Values that he holds dear. We are still UNITED. Even if we have squabbles at home you don't pick on my siblings.
I think that the world leaders that choose to try to take advantage, have a rude awakening coming.
Just wait and see.

Posted by: iDontKnow | Nov 16, 2008 4:31:07 PM

To the world don't test us, regardless of our internal differences we are still THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA!

Posted by: Bea | Nov 15, 2008 1:18:33 PM

Geez, those Russians never miss an opportunity...Obama, don't back down...

Posted by: Wade | Nov 14, 2008 5:13:35 PM

Our enemies know that we are ripe for the picking now that the leftist views of Obama are in the White House. Let's just hope that Obama surrounds himself with folks who have some military experience and who know that we can't cater to the whims of our enemies.

Posted by: Jeff | Nov 14, 2008 3:33:18 PM

Medvedev's hissy fit from 9 days ago is old news. But be that as it may, Hillary Clinton should help with the gravitas of the situation as SoS. If that is the case for sure, then I would hope Jake Tapper would refrain from marginalizing her as he frequently did during the primaries. Who knows? She may be the person to address about envoys between the US and the designated countries. Just a conjecture du jour.

Posted by: kat | Nov 14, 2008 1:49:13 PM

Our enemies smell a weak America just around the corner and who can blame them for wanting to take advantage for it. It's nice to see all those foreign contributions to Obama's campaign fund are paying off...

Posted by: howwouldiknow | Nov 14, 2008 1:10:23 PM

"Some bullies are defiant, impulsive, and hungry for domination and power, and some just want to connect with others. Unfortunately, not knowing any better, they do it in an unhealthy way.

"Often, high scale bullies have 'lieutenants.' Lieutenants don't bully others until the main bully is present; they seek approval of a parent-figure, however distorted that may be from our point of view." Politics, the MSM and especially talking heads like LT. Olbermann seem to be encouraged to bully by the Obama camp.

"The profile of a bully indicates that if parents don't spend adequate time with their children, they may compensate for that attention by 'extortion.' They may seek it aggressively and gratify themselves with power and domination over (people) they perceive to be weaker than themselves."

Posted by: Freud | Nov 14, 2008 10:29:08 AM

Obama : "I can see Russia from the White House!"

Posted by: EliB | Nov 14, 2008 1:03:29 AM

We are overestimating the abilities of the freshman Senator from Illinois... Not a hater, I'm just sayin' these are dangerous times.

Posted by: Sailor Moon | Nov 13, 2008 10:53:36 PM

We have overestimated the abilities of the freshman Senator from Illinois.


Posted by: Akira | Nov 13, 2008 10:50:15 PM

The enemy (Russia, Iran, Al Qaeda) is underestimating Obama. Testing the US under Obama will bring the enemy to its knees. Obama is smart and does not seem to have made any mistakes. Underestimating his experience would be fatal. I do believe that the enemy will be more responsive in a positive way contrarily to how it (they) responded to Bush. Diplomacy works.

Posted by: margaret | Nov 13, 2008 10:23:48 PM

Jake,
That's a long list of leaders who represent potential Foreign pot holes.....Let me suggest another "list": This list would include the names of politicians, dignitaries, specialists, public servant and the vast majority of American citizens who have the perverbial "back" of President-elect Barack Obama.

Posted by: TruthHurts | Nov 13, 2008 10:20:47 PM

Obama keeps reciting these imaginary problems with Iran. Why? Because its easy to pick on a little guy to make yourself seem tough. There is no need to perpetuate these myths about Iranian nukes or Iranian support for terrorist organizations (who is he talking about? the MKO? PEJAK? PKK? Its the US that is funding those terrorist organizations, not Iran).

Don't fall for it. People who pick on others to make themselves look better are bullies.

Posted by: Flash Override | Nov 13, 2008 9:45:34 PM

fascinating - thanks for this nuanced post, Jake. I realize it won't get the haters commenting, but that's OK. This is indeed an interesting time - Obama's going to resist getting bracketed by foreign leaders, and they will try to box him in.

This is also a time of great instability - Bush is weaker than ever, and when Obama takes off he will probably be strong. Look for adversaries to try to find some edge right now.

Posted by: Tungsten | Nov 13, 2008 9:27:22 PM

Thank goodness Nixon lost that election in 1960 - the entire world was fortunate Kennedy was president during the Cuban missle crisis . . . no doubt whatsoever.

Posted by: pefros | Nov 13, 2008 6:55:24 PM

"ever see pt109?"

Yes. Cliff Richardson did a fine job in the movie. Ever study the actual incident? Kennedy was almost court martialed for negligence. He was unprepared, lost his craft, members of his crew and enabled the Japanese to find out more about our vulnerabilities. He was a heckuva swimmer though.

"read anything about the cuba missle crisis?

Yes. Krushchev found a peaceful way to resolve the crisis and we removed the obsolete missiles we had in Turkey secretly. Meanwhile, tactical nuclear devices that were already in Cuba remained and Kennedy had to sign an agreement not to invade thus ensuring the safety of a Communist dictatorship that remains to this day. US operatives inside Cuba were killed, or imprisoned and tortured.

"we liberals/democrats are not weak, we just pick our fights carefully"

Actually, given those examples, the fights pick you and if you get lucky, we survive them although usually at the cost of soldiers lives as in the PT109 collision and the CIA operatives and Cuban patriots in the missile crisis.

Obama needs more experience. Until then, Emmanuel and the Clinton brigade will keep him out of trouble if we stay lucky.

Posted by: len | Nov 13, 2008 6:20:13 PM

freedom is ,and will never be free.i am a liberal but ,then again so was jfk.

ever see pt109? read anything about the cuba missle crisis? we liberals/democrats are not weak , we just pick our fights carefully and generally as a last resort after all other peaceful avenues have been explored. example: bill clinton put the stealth bomber slap down into effect more than a few times ,along with a few cruise missiles thrown in for good measure as well. he was no warhawk but he was definitely no pushover .

obama will be tougher than a lot of people think ,he and his advisers know that an initial perception of weak or indecisive leadership will be exploited to the utmost by our enemies ,and he also knows that is not acceptable.

the world had better not forget that this good ship "lollypop" still has a lot of pop left in it...

btw jt ,its "Lollipop" isnt it?

Posted by: bah | Nov 13, 2008 5:16:00 PM

"Sitting here in these chairs that I’m going to be proposing but in working with these governors who again on the front lines are forced to and it’s our privileged obligation to find solutions to the challenges facing our own states every day being held accountable, not being just one of many just casting votes or voting present every once in a while, we don’t get away with that."

Can someone please translate?

Posted by: Jwench | Nov 13, 2008 5:10:48 PM

Did you expect the rest of the world to play nice...just because some people elected O as prez? Maybe y'all really thought the waters would part and our enemies would lay down their swords...in which case I have some ocean front property in Ariz you might be interested in.

Posted by: samhiguchi | Nov 13, 2008 5:03:54 PM

This rouge nations and third world countries and extremist loved Obama when he was bad mouthing America to get the extremist in America to vote for him. Now its pay back time for Obama and wife for having runny mouth

Posted by: scanny | Nov 13, 2008 5:00:50 PM

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