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$160,000 Per Stimulus Job? White House Calls That 'Calculator Abuse'

October 30, 2009 7:12 PM

Posting its results late this afternoon at Recovery.gov, the White House claimed 640,329 jobs have been created or saved because of the $159 billion in stimulus funds allocated as of Sept. 30.

Officials acknowledged the numbers were not exact, saying that states and localities that reported the numbers have made mistakes.

In recent days, the Recovery Act board has been reviewing all the numbers, with many inaccurate ones having been posted. California's San Joaquin Regional Rail Commission received $5 million in stimulus funds to hire workers to build addition train track for the Union Pacific Railroad in an economically tarnished spot of the Golden State.

Brian Schmidt, director of planning and programming for the commission said that his staff originally reported to the Obama administration that the stimulus money saved 250 jobs. Then, realizing they had mistakenly double credited, they later changed that to 125 jobs. Tuesday, they updated it again to 74 jobs.

Ed DeSeve, senior advisor to the president for Recovery Act implementation, said he'd been "scrubbing" the job estimates so much since they came it at the beginning of the month that he now has "dishpan hands and my fingers are worn to the nub."

White House officials heralded the unparalleled transparency in reporting job numbers to the public, but acknowledged there is no consistent standard across states or localities, or among federal agencies giving out stimulus funds, in differentiating between a “saved” job and a “created” job.

The White House argues that the actual job number is actually larger than 640,000 -- closer to 1 million jobs when one factors in stimulus jobs added in October and, more importantly, jobs created indirectly, such as "the waitress who's still on the job," Vice President Biden said today.

So let's see. Assuming their number is right -- 160 billion divided by 1 million. Does that mean the stimulus costs taxpayers $160,000 per job?

Jared Bernstein, chief economist and senior economic advisor to the vice president, called that "calculator abuse."

He said the cost per job was actually $92,000 -- but acknowledged that estimate is for the whole stimulus package as of the end of 2010.

Vice President Biden heralded news this week of gross domestic product growth in the 3rd quarter of 3.5 percent, saying "the economic forecasters have attributed ... the vast bulk of this growth to the Economic Recovery Act -- the much-maligned and battered Economic Recovery Act.  Put another way, without the Economic Recovery Act, it's very unlikely this economy would have expanded at all this last quarter. It may have even contracted."

DeSeve and Bernstein were not able to say how many of the 640,329 jobs were saved and how many were created. How do they know that government officials asking for stimulus funds to help prevent layoffs were legitimate?

"What we have to do is expect that our public officials are honest," DeSeve said. "I know that's a high bar."

Joining Biden at an event in which reporters were not permitted to ask questions, California Republican Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger said the money California has received "has created or saved 62,000 teachers' jobs; but not only teachers' jobs.  Those are for administrators and professors.  So there's again people that said, 'Well, we would have done something about that, anyway.'  No, those teachers would have been gone if it wouldn't have been for the federal stimulus money.  I just wanted to make sure you understand that."

Of the 640,329 jobs cited today, White House officials said 80,000 were in the construction sector and more than half -- 325,000 -- were education jobs, despite President Obama's claim in January that 90 percent of the stimulus jobs would be in the private sector. Bernstein said Mr. Obama's pledge was an assessment of the totality of the jobs saved or created by the end of 2010.

Officials pointed out that today’s report did not include jobs saved or created by more than $80 billion in tax cuts, as well as other money in the $787 billion stimulus package, such as $250 stimulus checks for 54 million Americans.

-jpt

October 30, 2009 | Permalink | Share | User Comments (619)

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"Money is the root of all evil." Who better to appreciate that statement than the religious right? Can't we come up with a compassionate, thoughtful solution to all this partisan economic guessing?

Posted by: hallie | Nov 4, 2009 3:03:48 PM

"Good for the goose is a liar."


DannyK, go to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and look it up. When Ronald Reagan took office, the unemployment rate was 7.5%. At the end of the following year, it was 10.8%.

I eagerly await your apology.

Posted by: Good for the Goose | Nov 3, 2009 7:02:15 PM

And how many jobs created were government jobs" You know, non-wealth producing jobs?

Posted by: BHARAT MUNDHAVA | Nov 3, 2009 4:22:41 AM

Doesn't anyone remember when at the begining of this fiasco, there were some economists and mathmaticians who calculated that the stimulus package could be divided up into amounts of $250,000/per person. This estimate was supposedly a lowball one. It was originally much higher. Of course, the idea was imediately squashed. The last thing the govt. would want to do was implement a program that would pull us out of recession with the benefits of a)allowing homeowners to pay their motgages/depts, w/out losing homes to foreclosure. b)keep the banks solvent due to the fact that they would no longer be holding bad credit/mortgages, c) stimulate spending for local business, and in turn create jobs, and the list goes on. But no can do, the money would actually bypass the many hands taking a cut along the way, big business wouldn't get all that neat cash, banks would only be paid what was owed them (no billions handed to them w/no strings attached)The auto industry? They wouldn't get all that cash and then go out of business,either they would have to make cars that sell, or close down (a novel idea?). Imagine the possiblilities if we used the "trickle up" effect? The "trickle down" isn't working. No water reaches the bottom!

Posted by: mish181 | Nov 2, 2009 10:41:17 PM

And how many jobs created were government jobs" You know, non-wealth producing jobs?

Posted by: Scrap iron | Nov 2, 2009 5:10:52 PM

Good for the goose is a liar.

Posted by: DannyK | Nov 2, 2009 1:01:33 PM

$160,000 per job saved or created. That's kind of a bummer.

I hereby declare that 64 million jobs were created or saved. That's $1,600 per job.

There, that's better :)

Posted by: J.G. Brown | Nov 2, 2009 11:38:56 AM

Posted by: Good for the Goose | Nov 1, 2009 5:08:48 PM

>

Solid evidence like you don't give $250,000 + houses to people making $25,000 a year? How about people with credit scores in the mid 500? How about people that can't put ANY money down?

The CRA FORCED banks to do all of the above!

Before the CRA people actually had to be able to either a: afford to make mortgage payments and have decent credit or b: have somewhat shaky credit and be able to put 20% down to help protect the lenders.

With the CRA millions of people who should be renting due to insufficient annual income and credit scores to afford a house were granted access to homes with NO money down and even worse 2nd "home equity lines of credit" with no money down.

Not hard to see how people who previously couldn't get their crap in gear to have a decent credit rating or job to previously qualify for a house would seriously over extend themselves which eventually would cause the tax payers to have to bail the Government out.

Unless your a lib that thinks the Government can do no wrong O_o

Posted by: Micah | Nov 2, 2009 10:56:26 AM

"Hey Jake, great job. You gave them the benefit of the doubt when coming up with the $160,000 per job mark. Using Recovery.gov's 640,000 jobs created or saved number (instead of the White House's guess of a million jobs) ... each job cost about $250,000." - Paul
________


I just started a small business. I have one employee ... me. Give me $250,000 and I'll hire three or four people.

_____

"So more than half the jobs created or saved were in education. My wife is a special education teacher for mild-to-severe behavioral children. She has a Masters degree from the country's top special-education college. She makes around 40K a year. If more than half the jobs are in education, what job does she need to get to earn $160K to $250K a year? Please find out!" - Paul
_________

Sounds like someone's putting money in a Swiss bank account somewhere. Obama will end up the richest man in the world by end-of-year. Welcome to Chicago politics!

Posted by: Joe | Nov 2, 2009 9:46:24 AM

"Ronald Reagan inherited a 7.5% unemployment rate and took it to 10.8% by the end of the following year. Borrowing more conservative phraseology, “He owned it!”"

Reagan didn't have to be told he was responsible for the economy when he was elected. He took the proper steps to fix Carter's mess and turned the economy around within two years to preside over the longest recession free period in US history. Obama, OTOH, is digging us deeper and deeper into debt and destroying the free market. Meanwhile, most economists are telling us that unemployment will stay high for years to come. If Obama doesn't pull this out in a real way by year three of his administration in a big way he better start packing his bags because he will be unelectable.

Posted by: GrimReaper | Nov 2, 2009 8:19:25 AM

"No, Jimmy Carter (Barack Obama`s long lost twin) caused a 10.8% unemployment rate. Reagan fixed it with tax cuts to stimuluate jobs and growth."


Isn’t it conservatives who always say you can’t blame the prior president, no matter how much he sucked?

Ronald Reagan inherited a 7.5% unemployment rate and took it to 10.8% by the end of the following year. Borrowing more conservative phraseology, “He owned it!”

Posted by: Good for the Goose | Nov 1, 2009 11:15:16 PM

Reagan spreading the manure got us to 10.8% unemployment in the early 80s.

-------------------------------------

No, Jimmy Carter (Barack Obama`s long lost twin) caused a 10.8% unemployment rate. Reagan fixed it with tax cuts to stimuluate jobs and growth. obama is stimulating neither. He IS stimulating Government and massive amounts of debt and entitlement programs to be paid for by the productive. Spreading the wealth. Other peoples wealth.

Posted by: Scott T. | Nov 1, 2009 7:03:00 PM

Look at this story. $1.5 BILLION spent in WV in stimulus to save or create (whatever that means) 5000 Jobs according to the numbers provided by Robert Byrd. That comes to $300,000 spent PER JOB.

Posted by: Scott T. | Nov 1, 2009 6:59:18 PM

“Government 'spreading the wealth' got us where we are today. 10% unemployment.”


Reagan spreading the manure got us to 10.8% unemployment in the early 80s.

Posted by: Good for the Goose | Nov 1, 2009 5:08:48 PM

"Community Reinvestment Act, make the loans or we will shut you down. And nobody saw a problem with this."


The CRA was based on solid statistical evidence that banks were discriminating against people when making home loans, but no right-wingers saw a problem with this of course.

Posted by: Skip | Nov 1, 2009 4:22:36 PM

"What is your point about this statement, which does not show that lehman ever wrote a single mortgage but went bankrupt because their assets ( mortgage securities) declined so much they were insolvent. Owning something does not mean you created it.

Most of those toxic mortgages were written by firms like countrywide and indymac who did not care about credit standards because they knew that fannie and freddie would pretty much by it regardless and then securitize it."
Posted by: Econ 101


Well the same should go for Freddie and Frannie then, right? They didn't write the toxic mortgages either. -"Owning something does not mean you created it."

So you have again failed to demonstrate that Freddie and Frannie are any more to blame for the financial crisis than any of these other firms that you conspicuously fail to mention when discussing the matter. -And I don't recall tierra claiming to be a financial expert.

Posted by: Skip | Nov 1, 2009 4:18:05 PM

Hey Jake, great job. You gave them the benefit of the doubt when coming up with the $160,000 per job mark. Using Recovery.gov's 640,000 jobs created or saved number (instead of the White House's guess of a million jobs) ... each job cost about $250,000.

So more than half the jobs created or saved were in education. My wife is a special education teacher for mild-to-severe behavioral children. She has a Masters degree from the country's top special-education college. She makes around 40K a year. If more than half the jobs are in education, what job does she need to get to earn $160K to $250K a year? Please find out!

Posted by: Paul | Nov 1, 2009 1:15:51 PM

Government 'spreading the wealth' got us where we are today. 10% unemployment.

Posted by: Scott T. | Nov 1, 2009 10:36:04 AM

Hey ECON 101. Private enterprise failed in this Country because Government stepped into business and demanded, no forced lending to lend money to people that they previously would not lend to. That is what caused this recession. The more the Govenment interferes with private enterprise the more problems we are going to have. Community Reinvestment Act, make the loans or we will shut you down. And nobody saw a problem with this.

Posted by: Scott T. | Nov 1, 2009 10:35:18 AM

Question: What percentage of the stimulus money was scheduled to be expended within the 18 months after passage? Business cycles are not decades long, yet the stimulus money was defined to pay out over a decade, with the bulk being doled out prior to elections (seriously, I'm sure that's a coincidence).

Any rational human being can't call it a stimulus package. It can only be called what it was: political payoffs with a smidge of stimulus to give the whole pile of excrement an acceptable title.

Posted by: Dave Andersen | Nov 1, 2009 9:20:34 AM

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