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TIME: GOP Candidates Poll Well in Hard Times

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March 29, 2007 12:19 PM

ABC News' Jan Simmonds: While the headlines for the Republican Party have not been good over the past several weeks, the negative attention does not seem to have affected the Republican candidates for president. 

According to a new TIME Magazine poll, released today, the top Republican candidates for president all hold leads in the polls when matched up against their Democrat counterparts. 

Among likely voters asked to select a president in hypothetical, head-to-head contests, Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., loses to Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., 42-48%, and she loses to former Mayor Rudy Giuliani, R-N.Y., 41-50%.

And even though Clinton maintains a 7% edge over Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., among Democratic respondents, Obama fares better in the general election match-ups.  However, Obama still loses: 43-45% to McCain, 44-45% to Giuliani.

There is no clear answer as to why this may be the case, but it is possible to infer that while the public is generally unhappy with the Republican Party, they still may prefer a Republican for president over a Democrat.

This may be because of the specific individuals running for president, but it may also have to do with the theory that Republicans do better in elections when the main issues involve national security.

Within the poll there are also these interesting nuggets:

Former Sen. John Edwards, D-N.C., has received a bounce in the polls among Democrats since he announced that his wife's cancer had recurred.

In a three-way match-up, Clinton polls 38% among registered Democrats, vs 30% for Obama and 26% for Edwards. Edwards received just 17% from TIME's poll in mid-March.

The honeymoon may also be over for Rudolph Giuliani. The former New York City mayor's lead over John McCain has narrowed to 13 points, 35-22%, among registered Republicans, down from a 20-point lead two weeks ago.

March 29, 2007 in Thompson, Fred | Permalink | User Comments (1)

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Bush got us into Iraq. A lot of Dems voted for it including Clinton. Obama wasn't even a Senator when Bush misled the Congress as well as the entire world. But, the next President will inherent this situation, and mass withdrawal will mean mass genocide, and regional consequences beyond "make love not war" statements. Lets get real here. McCain is not following Bush. He has called for more US Military since 2003 to train Iraq troops and try to stabilize their Government and Infrastructure as best as we could. It was a strategy that Bush is now trying to employ after four years of horrible strategy, and yeah we are frustrated, but leaving now will put us in worse shape than before we went in. Was the war botched? Yes. Should we have gone in with Bush's weak coalition? No. But, again, the Democrats have no clue what starting to leave in 120 days will do. I do, and so do John McCain and Rudy. This is not Vietnam. Iran will move in, because they believe that it is there territory anyway. Remember the Iraq/Iran war from 1980-1989. Well now Iran is far stronger, and can roll over Iraq in about a week if we leave (with Nuclear capabilities). And then what do you think NATO would have to do when the whole Middle East is about to implode into a Shite/Suni Civil War? Leaving Iraq is much more complicated than the Democrats are leading the Nation to believe, and the people know it. George W. Bush will go down as the worst President of our time, but we better be very careful that our next Commander in Chief understands that getting into Iraq and getting out of Iraq are two very different issues and problems. Right now about the only Democrat that gets that is Joeseph Leiberman and he had to switch to an Independent because of his views on Iraq. But, it did get him elected in Connecticut, which is a fairly moderate State. If he got elected there, I think McCain touting even more Foreign Policy experience could be tough to beat. However, no one with the Democratic point of view right now will be trusted in of November, 2008.

Posted by: Brian | Mar 30, 2007 7:09:29 AM

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