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Intelligence Report Finds Iraqi Political Leaders 'Unable to Govern Effectively'
August 23, 2007 11:52 AM
ABC News' Martha Raddatz and Luis Martinez report: The latest National Intelligence Estimate report on the security situation in Iraq concludes that there has been "some security progress" in the country, but attacks on civilians remain high, and Iraqi political leaders are "unable to govern effectively."
According to an advanced copy of the intelligence report obtained by ABC News, "the level of overall violence, including attacks on and casualties among civilians, remains high; Iraq's sectarian groups remain unreconciled; AQI [Al Qaeda in Iraq] retains the ability to conduct high-profile attacks; and to date, Iraqi political leaders remain unable to govern effectively."
However the report does reflect some improvement in Iraq's stability since President Bush's U.S. troop surge plan was implemented.
"There have been measurable but uneven improvements in Iraq's security situation since our last National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq in January 2007," the report finds, "The steep escalation of rates of violence has been checked for now, and overall attack levels across Iraq have fallen during seven of the last nine weeks."
Another more optimistic finding suggests, "Coalition forces, working with Iraqi forces, tribal elements, and some Sunni insurgents, have reduced al-Qaida in Iraq's (AQI) capabilities, restricted its freedom of movement, and denied it grassroots support in some areas."
However the intelligence report concludes that living conditions for Iraqis and the country's economic situation remain unimproved.
"There have been modest improvements in economic output, budget execution, and government finances but fundamental structural problems continue to prevent sustained progress in economic growth and living conditions," the report finds.
Other key findings from the National Intelligence Estimate:
-Iraq's security will continue to improve modestly during the next six to 12 months, but that levels of insurgent and sectarian violence will remain high and the Iraqi government will continue to struggle to achieve national-level political reconciliation and improved governance.
-Broadly accepted political compromises required for sustained security, long term political progress, and economic development are unlikely to emerge unless there is a fundamental shift in the factors driving Iraqi political and security developments.
As for the fight against Al Qaeda, which the administration has been touting, the report says, "…the emergence of 'bottom-up' security initiatives, principally among Sunni Arabs and focused on combating AQI represent the best prospect for improved security over the next six to 12 months, but we judge these initiatives will only translate into widespread political accommodation and enduring stability if the Iraqi government accepts and support them. We also assess that under some conditions 'bottom-up initiatives' could pose risks to the Iraq government."
August 23, 2007 | Permalink | User Comments (36)
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That's funny, the American people have known for some time that our current administration is also "Unable to Govern Effectively". Now we know why Bush seems to feel the need to defend his equally incompetent Iraqi counterpart, they're in the same boat.
Posted by: Tom G | Aug 23, 2007 12:31:42 PM
Tom G: you've said it all. Most intelligent comment I've seen on all the blogs for a long time.
Posted by: Ron | Aug 23, 2007 12:38:42 PM
Now does anyone really expect Bush to read this report...the man doesn't read period.
Posted by: BronxBoy7117 | Aug 23, 2007 12:40:03 PM
Duh! If you setup puppets this is what is going to happen. You don't like real leaders or else they become too independent and do not give oil contracts to American (Cheney favored ) companies.
Posted by: viewfromoutside | Aug 23, 2007 12:41:58 PM
This isn't news. Cheney knew this in "94". So why did he push for us to go to war. His company made big profits off of it, and screwed us in the process
Posted by: Adams684 | Aug 23, 2007 12:45:37 PM
Like they are telling us something new... It is just now that it is politically expedient to blame Iraqi leadership so that withdrawal won't seem like retreat. And yes, we will meet Mr. Maliki again in 10-15 yrs when he is just another little petty tyrant that we want to overthrow. Kinda like Sadam Hussein.
Posted by: DaveM | Aug 23, 2007 1:31:04 PM
I wonder if Hillary will read this NIE??
Posted by: Will Gibbs | Aug 23, 2007 1:35:26 PM
Now why would ABCNEWS.com not mention this portion of the report: "We assess that changing the mission of coalition forces from a primarily counterinsurgency and stabilization role to a primary combat support role for Iraqi forces and counterterrorist operations to prevent AQI (Al-Qaeda in Iraq) from establishing a safe haven would erode security gains achieved thus far," the report states." Could it be that it shows that the Democrat strategy would be counter-productive? Could it be that this news site does'nt want you to be able to make up your mind, that ABCNEWs knows what's good for you?
Posted by: retired_subsailor | Aug 23, 2007 1:36:04 PM
Saddam Hussein; Osama bin Laden; The CIA; the "raw intel": Democrats; Congress; the Shi'ites; the Sunnis; the Iranians; Cindy Sheehan; Joe WIlson and Valerie Plame; Bill Clinton; The Iraq Study Group; the elected Iraqi government... ...looks like its everyone's fault except the people that put us there.
Posted by: James | Aug 23, 2007 2:00:41 PM
Must be a typo. This sounds like a SUMMARY OF THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION!
Posted by: wilder5121 | Aug 23, 2007 2:27:04 PM
These people need to stop playing the blame game and get something done. Instead of making these reports to restate the problems that we already know exist they could be fixing them instead.
"Be part of the solution, not the problem"
Posted by: Greg | Aug 23, 2007 2:28:13 PM
Oh yeah more of the Blame the Iraqi's for the tragedy in Iraq. The right wing radicals were after chaos and destruction in Iraq. They are right on course...next stop Iran if it is up to these arrogant narcissistic socio-paths.
Posted by: kathleeen | Aug 23, 2007 2:48:50 PM
I know that none of you left wing partisans care, but ABC butchered what the full report said in typical pseudo-journalistic fashion. No need to read the whole report.. just let a journalist tell you what it says.
Posted by: scott | Aug 23, 2007 2:50:28 PM
I see that most of you jerks skipped reading the story and just started posting. The report actually has some good news in it but you wouldn't know that because you only read the headline. Good Job!
Posted by: Jan | Aug 23, 2007 2:56:43 PM
Actually, i have read the NIE, all that has been declassified of course, and of course it says nothing new, military gains have been made, especially in the SURGE reinforced areas, but AQI have been relocating to the north where the troop presense isnt so great. As for political gains, there will not be any as long as the current puppet regime is in place. Watch Bill Moyers "the secret government". Iraq and its government are just one more facet of America's failed policies at instituting new governments in foreign countries (reference Nicaragua, Panama,etc...)
My father is a Vietnam veteran, and im sure he knows more than Bush will ever know about warfare. He told me last night that he laughed out loud when bush compared Iraq to Vietnam, and my fatyher even VOTED for him in 00 and 04....Now thats BAD,,,,
Posted by: Stephen Sowell | Aug 23, 2007 3:15:16 PM
They resemble our guys in government. Regardless of the party. I think we were successful from that standpoint.
Posted by: Sandra | Aug 23, 2007 3:22:58 PM
In my opinion the UN ought to assist more in the Middle East, after all, all nations benefit from a stable government where they do primary business. The UN ought move fast on developing new market export for the many small Iraqi merchant in textile, art, etc. this takes away from terrorism buildup and restart self-esteem. The United States and our allies should not be pulling all of this load, and this problem should have been undertaken years ago. I think terrorism could have been defeated by simpler means but for some reason no one in the political, social, religious influences undertook that chore. I support president Bush our troops and allies, and hopefully the termination of terrorism.
Posted by: Williamwfh | Aug 23, 2007 3:25:39 PM
perhaps the government of iraq would be able to "govern" if they weren't on hiatus while our soldiers are getting shot every freaking day. if we didn't have a lobotomized leader ourselves we'd have them be accountable for their own success. oh that's right, we have as our president who holds NO ONE accountable! Katrina (i like how we're pledging money to Mexico for the recent hurricane when N.O. is still in shambles), Walter Reed, Harriet Miers, Scooter, George "Medal of Freedome/Ineptitude" Tenet...the list goes on...
Posted by: alan | Aug 23, 2007 4:26:04 PM
comparing Vietnam to Iraq, makes me think of the tens of thousands of US soldier's lives that would have been lost, if we hadn't pulled out when we did and stayed fighting in that quagmire...a decade after leaving Vietnam, free market economic reforms were instituted and 30 years later Vietnam is now a player in the global economy...and that region wasn't destabilized...we need to get out of the business of nation building and mediating a civil war, which has nothing to do with fighting terrorism...one could argue that Saddam's regeme, though brutal, was contained and stable with the minimal cost of maintaining the no-fly zone...if we could tolerate a Castro for four decades, we could have tolerated Saddam...
Posted by: Common Sense | Aug 23, 2007 4:34:47 PM
We need to get our troops out and we need to put a lot of planning into how we will do that. Of course, no one in the Bush administration cares about plans that would help our soldiers or the Iraqis. They just want to continue the chaos so they can continue to steal. How many billions do they need, anyway?
Posted by: Marilyn | Aug 23, 2007 4:42:12 PM
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