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Gingrich Predicts Obama in Iowa
November 27, 2007 9:03 AM
ABC News' Ed O'Keefe Reports: Newt Gingrich predicts Barack Obama will win the hotly contested vote in Iowa, saying the junior Senator from Illinois will motivate more energized supported than the former First Lady.
"My guess is Senator Obama's going to win Iowa and that he's going to win it by a surprising margin," the former Speaker of the House told ABC News' Diane Sawyer on "Good Morning America".
WATCH THE FULL INTERVIEW HERE. And catch up on all the latest in politics in The Note.
Obama, D-Ill., and Senator Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., will soon roll out the "charisma brigade", dispatching mega-surrogates Bill Clinton, campaigning for his wife, and Oprah Winfrey, making a first and rare foray into the political arena on behalf of Obama, whom the talk superstar has endorsed.
"I think Oprah Winfrey is a remarkable figure," Gingrich told Sawyer, "I think she brings a, not just a celebrity status, but there are millions of people who trust her judgment."
Pressed on whether the Oprah-factor would "tip" the nomination toward Obama, Gingrich replied, "I think it's a significant asset to (Obama) and he's not married to her."
"I think there's a double-edged sword when President Clinton shows up because he also reminds you, do you really want two presidents in the White House? And do you really want Mrs. Clinton to have to rely on President Clinton to have to win?"
In the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, shows a tight race in the Hawkeye State with Obama at 30 percent over Clinton at 26 percent, and both former Senator John Edwards, D-N.C., and Governor Bill Richardson, D-N.M., trailing with 22 and 11 percent respectively.
Perhaps more significantly, ABC News' Polling Director Gary Langer points out that the poll also showed "most Democratic likely voters in Iowa, 55 percent, say they're more interested in a "new direction and new ideas" than in strength and experience...a help to Obama, who holds a substantial lead among "new direction" voters."
"I have a hunch," Gingrich told Sawyer on "GMA", "that the emotional energy that Senator Obama's building is more powerful than the emotional energy Senator Clinton's building."
The former House Speaker said he has "great respect" for Senator Clinton and the Clinton "machine" but went on to add, "It just seems to me right now, in Iowa at least, Senator Obama's building a really heavy steam."
November 27, 2007 in Tancredo, Tom | Permalink | User Comments (240)
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Let's hope Newt is right! Change begins with bold new leadership! Obama 08!
Posted by: Mike | Nov 27, 2007 9:33:21 AM
Obama still has a ton of work to do, but everything suggests that he's going in the right direction.
Posted by: Larry from Purdue | Nov 27, 2007 9:33:23 AM
Go Barack! Or John Edwards! Anybody but Hillary!
Posted by: Andrew | Nov 27, 2007 9:38:50 AM
Obama is going to destroy hillary in Iowa. Look at the 2nd choice numbers.
hillary has very little support behind her first choice voters. Obama is the overwhelming 2nd choice for Democrats in Iowa.
He will also win NH, and SC. It will be interesting because she won't give up and then it will come down to who's better organized in the other 47 states.
Posted by: jimmy rector | Nov 27, 2007 9:40:08 AM
I think Oprah should move more lightly in the background in support of Obama. I think what she is doing will backlash. People are not ready to accept celebrity opinions as their deciding factor in their choice for president. Oprah should run if she wants to get that much into the political arena, and I think she could muster lots of support for herself.
Posted by: C L Furlong | Nov 27, 2007 9:41:58 AM
I used to actually care at what Newt had to say until he pulled his sham on his Conservatives of possibly running for President, only to sell his workshops. Forget you Newt! Don't care what you have to say anymore!
Posted by: Brian Rosssy | Nov 27, 2007 9:43:08 AM
Although I would never vote for either, IMO Obama is the more honest of the two. The Clintons reek with dishonesty and if HRC is elected, we will be more divided than ever.
Posted by: RT | Nov 27, 2007 9:45:43 AM
So another Republican hack is giving ammunition to the Obama campaign... doesn't it raise the least bit of suspicion? Maybe the Republican's want to face Obama in the general because he has not been properly tested or vetted in the Democratic primary. Imagine how badly the Republican party will slaughter Obama...inexperienced is probably just the tip of the ice berg. Obama supporters are latched on to an IDEA of what they describe is "hope." Ideas can only take us so far-- get behind a real supporter with experience--Clinton, Biden, Dodd, anyone BUT Obama... what a joke. If Obama is nominated we won't stand a chance in the general... Obamaites, don't ruin this for all of us.
Posted by: TexasDem | Nov 27, 2007 9:50:19 AM
If Obama is the nominee it won't matter how divided we are because we won't stand a chance against ANY Republican. Need I remind everyone of the Harold Ford Jr. race in Tennessee? Voters are likely to agree that they'll vote for a black candidate, but that it will never materialize in any primary, especially one as white as Iowa. Wake up and smell the coffee. We need someone with experience not a green politician who is calling on a talk show queen for support... give me a break.
Posted by: TrueBlue | Nov 27, 2007 9:53:50 AM
Gingrich is a fool. I've never seen anyone more intent on predicting everything but all he does is blow with the wind. Hillary was a lock to be President, according to Newt, then it was 50-50 after a poor debate performance. Now that she is slipping in the polls she is going to lose be a surprisingly wide margin. This idiot reads the latest poll and then parrots it as his "prediction."
Posted by: Joseph | Nov 27, 2007 9:58:16 AM
For the first time in my life I find myself agreeing with Newt. I wonder how skewed the polls are by unrepresented people who do not have landlines in their homes, who consider their cell phone as their primary telephone, and have not been polled. I am convinced that this group of unpolled voters is both younger and will probably vote in greater numbers for Obama than either HRC or the GOP candidates. If I am correct this statistical anomaly will be even greater in state contests with larger urban areas. I hope I'm right Go Obama!
Posted by: Christopher Burgis | Nov 27, 2007 10:00:26 AM
Obama winning in Iowa would be no great surprise as Hillary is by far the most distrusted candidate out there on the liberal side.
Posted by: Patriot2007 | Nov 27, 2007 10:01:23 AM
We're supposed to take this from the architect of the republican/conservative Contract for America? He had a hand in making rich people richer. Obama might be a good president but there's the experience thing. Actually both Obama and Hillary lack the experience thing when it comes right down to it. Both are relatively new senators. We need change but we need somebody really strong who will stand up to a divided congress and push through the American people's agenda (healthcare, immigration reform, tax cuts for the middle class). Make the rich pay a higher % of their income and lift the cap on Social Security. These are challenging times and the economy, gas, healthcare and immigration reform are at the top of the agenda. Don't allow Republicans to tow the War on Terror and values crap. We've had enough of that fear-mongering over the last 8 years
Posted by: Bob | Nov 27, 2007 10:02:44 AM
TexasDem...polls show Obama ahead of Hillary. That seems to be a no-brainer at this point. You just spit nails at Newt because he's a Republican, which makes you a biased blogger, and have no validity of intelligence behind you. Newt may not be my favorite person, but he is extremely intelligent when it comes to politics.
Posted by: cbeargal | Nov 27, 2007 10:04:23 AM
I'm a Democrat who wants to win next year. Obama is too much of a risk in purple states - maybe the country will be ready in a few years when less people from my grandparents generation are around.
Posted by: Benmurphynyc | Nov 27, 2007 10:05:02 AM
In the Big picture shes has a huge lead over everyone- lets focus on that! There is no question she will win the nomination- so lets not dream here.... One small state = very little in the big picutre. Gingrich is a fool-bottom line.
Posted by: Mike | Nov 27, 2007 10:12:07 AM
Why does anyone listen to this hypocrite? Why does the media pay attention to his ramblings? Here is man who was cheating on his wife while he was attacking Bill Clinton for the same thing. Then Newt had the nerve to deliver the divorce papers to his wife while she was in jail. Scumbag.
Posted by: James | Nov 27, 2007 10:12:52 AM
I said "jail" above! I meant "hospital". LOL!
Posted by: James | Nov 27, 2007 10:14:27 AM
Newt should be reminded that the Declaration of Independence is NOT a legal document...and our rights are derived from our CREATOR (not necessarily the Christian God)
Posted by: Nancy | Nov 27, 2007 10:19:20 AM
Hillary's going to be the next "Comeback Kid", ala Bill style. I still believe Hillary's nomination is already locked up and this is all just high drama for entertainment. We don't actually see much about them in the news are far as policies are concerned, but we do get plenty of news on the just teh mechanics of the race.
Posted by: TexBork | Nov 27, 2007 10:22:06 AM
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