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Gingrich Predicts Obama in Iowa
November 27, 2007 9:03 AM
ABC News' Ed O'Keefe Reports: Newt Gingrich predicts Barack Obama will win the hotly contested vote in Iowa, saying the junior Senator from Illinois will motivate more energized supported than the former First Lady.
"My guess is Senator Obama's going to win Iowa and that he's going to win it by a surprising margin," the former Speaker of the House told ABC News' Diane Sawyer on "Good Morning America".
WATCH THE FULL INTERVIEW HERE. And catch up on all the latest in politics in The Note.
Obama, D-Ill., and Senator Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., will soon roll out the "charisma brigade", dispatching mega-surrogates Bill Clinton, campaigning for his wife, and Oprah Winfrey, making a first and rare foray into the political arena on behalf of Obama, whom the talk superstar has endorsed.
"I think Oprah Winfrey is a remarkable figure," Gingrich told Sawyer, "I think she brings a, not just a celebrity status, but there are millions of people who trust her judgment."
Pressed on whether the Oprah-factor would "tip" the nomination toward Obama, Gingrich replied, "I think it's a significant asset to (Obama) and he's not married to her."
"I think there's a double-edged sword when President Clinton shows up because he also reminds you, do you really want two presidents in the White House? And do you really want Mrs. Clinton to have to rely on President Clinton to have to win?"
In the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, shows a tight race in the Hawkeye State with Obama at 30 percent over Clinton at 26 percent, and both former Senator John Edwards, D-N.C., and Governor Bill Richardson, D-N.M., trailing with 22 and 11 percent respectively.
Perhaps more significantly, ABC News' Polling Director Gary Langer points out that the poll also showed "most Democratic likely voters in Iowa, 55 percent, say they're more interested in a "new direction and new ideas" than in strength and experience...a help to Obama, who holds a substantial lead among "new direction" voters."
"I have a hunch," Gingrich told Sawyer on "GMA", "that the emotional energy that Senator Obama's building is more powerful than the emotional energy Senator Clinton's building."
The former House Speaker said he has "great respect" for Senator Clinton and the Clinton "machine" but went on to add, "It just seems to me right now, in Iowa at least, Senator Obama's building a really heavy steam."
November 27, 2007 in Tancredo, Tom | Permalink | User Comments (240)
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The GRINCH has a HUNCH? The lackey republicans can't admit the lie to go to war? They run from their failure and write laughable CHEESE here today????? Turth will set them free, however, a repub friend of mine had to call a truce because of FACTS OVERLOAD. Not enough space in the cranial area to hold content...does not compute...does not compute...does not compute.
Posted by: daddy | Nov 27, 2007 10:23:50 AM
I'd rather see Hillary stay in the Senate as Senate Majority Leader. Who ever becomes president on the Democratic side, I hope selects Bill C. to be either Secretary of State or Ambassador to the UN. And to reserect the Clinton economic team. We need this to at least start cleaning up everything that GW has destroyed in the last 7-8 years.
And my first choice is Edwards, my second is Obama and my 3rd is anybody not Republican.
Posted by: Roy | Nov 27, 2007 10:27:43 AM
Why does anyone listen to this man? I don't think it will change anything if Obama wins this time. Hillary will still get the nomination. Oprah can sell books but I don't think she can influence the way people vote. I for one would never vote for Obama or Edwards.
Posted by: Melissa | Nov 27, 2007 10:37:02 AM
It's fun to watch the dems tripping over each other with Hill and Obama. Hill will NEVER get elected. Although I don't agree with his politics, Obama is honest...which is more than I can say for Hill and crew. Bill is nothing more than a liability. No one wants these mafiosos back in the WH.
Posted by: isy marcus | Nov 27, 2007 10:38:12 AM
Vote Hillary!
She'll keep the seat warm for Chelsea.
Posted by: slinkybender | Nov 27, 2007 10:43:08 AM
I cannot wait for Iowa. I have nothing against women leading the U.S. However, I would prefer a woman other than Hilary. For me, she seems too polarizing and the ammo the republicans need to win the White House in 2008. I for one cannot wait until Obama begins winning early primaries and takes the Democratic nomination!! Otherwise, if Obama cannot win the primary - lets bring back Bill!
Posted by: CJM | Nov 27, 2007 10:43:40 AM
Newt's endorsement is the kiss of death. Dumbo ears may win Iowa but he can't generate any momentum after that. He's running backwards. The big "O" will be little help. Looks like HIL will get the nom.
Posted by: Dean O | Nov 27, 2007 10:44:56 AM
I respect Oprah's opinion but I am surely not going to let her choose my candidate for President. I would hope that the American people would be able to think for themselves and choose a candidate they want and not who someone else chooses. Oprah has power but not that much power that she can make up my mind for me..........
Posted by: Marie | Nov 27, 2007 10:47:59 AM
I respect Oprah's opinion but I am surely not going to let her choose my candidate for President. I would hope that the American people would be able to think for themselves and choose a candidate they want and not who someone else chooses. Oprah has power but not that much power that she can make up my mind for me..........
Posted by: Marie | Nov 27, 2007 10:48:05 AM
Who cares about what this washed up Republican hack has to say?
Posted by: John Kel | Nov 27, 2007 10:51:05 AM
Those saying under no circumstance would they vote for Obama have been equally as high, sometimes higher than Clinton's. Same for Edwards.
Posted by: benmurphynyc | Nov 27, 2007 10:54:09 AM
I hope Newt is correct. Because if he is, that will give us (republicans- God's nation loving people) and easy shoo-in for the presidency. Because God knows we can't nominate anyone of any merit this election. And as far as Oprah's involvement goes... She wields millions of votes as the "talk show queen" and what she is doing is not only un-american but just plain dangerous. I mean this is an election for the leader of our nation and the free world. NOT a popularity contest.
Posted by: Andrew Sawyer | Nov 27, 2007 10:54:16 AM
Edwards will win Iowa. Go on to win the nomination.
All this talk about Obama and Hillary is just some sort of smoke and mirrors campaign.
The nominee always has been a "white man in a suit". The USA is on way too shaky ground for the voters to go away from the norm.
Posted by: Dawn | Nov 27, 2007 10:55:01 AM
GO OBAMA!!! We as americans need to say no to royal families!!! No more BUSH and NO MORE CLINTONS!!!
OBAMA FOR A BETTER AMERICA!!!
Posted by: Fred | Nov 27, 2007 10:56:35 AM
It does not matter whom the Democrats vote for in Iowa if they end up running HRC in '08. The only way they can win is if they can get a Moderate/Conservative third party candidate ala Ross Perot to split the center right voters. Remember Bill Clinton never got over 46% of the vote (42% the first time over Bush). If we look at Ohio and Forida (which will probably decide the election once again). Over 50% of LIKELY VOTERS consistently say they would NOT vote for Hillary Clinton under any circumstance.
If I were advising the Democrats, they should be urging Bloomberg to get in the race as an Independent. That's the only chance they have if the choice is HRC.
Posted by: Tom | Nov 27, 2007 10:56:52 AM
There were two polls yesterday that pitted Hillary versus her potential Republican challengers. One was an ONLINE poll by Zogby that found Hillary trailing Republicans, the other was a poll from Gallup that found Hillary beating all Republicans by substantial margins.
Which do you think got more coverage?
As of about 9AM, the Zogby poll was covered on TV news 15 times and the Gallup poll was mentioned twice – by the Hillary campaign's Mark Penn and Ann Lewis.
The Gallup poll showed that if Hillary was the nominee she would beat Giuliani by five points but if Sen. Obama was the nominee the race would be tied. Gallup also showed Hillary beating John McCain (by 6 points), Mitt Romney (by 16 points) and Fred Thompson (by 13 points). Hillary also leads all Republican contenders in Real Clear Politics' poll average.
Posted by: TexasDem | Nov 27, 2007 10:57:25 AM
Obama went to school at a Maddrahs (sp?) or Muslim school. The Saudis have globally set up these schools to spread an intolerant strain of Islam. America is insane if they want Hillary or Obama. Obama's veep could be Bin Laden. Edwards is a slimy ambulance chaser but he would be a better option than Hillary or Obama. Chris Dodd or Biden are even better.
Posted by: Fred | Nov 27, 2007 10:58:54 AM
TexasDem, Well, don't be too concerned for Hillary. The nomination is already hers. Don't fall for the scripted drama.
Posted by: TexBork | Nov 27, 2007 11:00:42 AM
The uptighty righty press will have a field day with a Clinton Campaign. They will open up the dusty vault of innuendo,half truth,rumour,and unsubstantiated accusations.
Though they can fault Barack Obama for perceived weakness,like "experience", he can deal with it. Hillary will mobilize all the right to vote. The Neo Cons, radical right wingers,the religious right and their press will rise like no other time in history to fight her. Even though their leadership is bailing out on them because their ship is on fire they can win. Barack Obama is respected and loved by many Independents and Republicans. He can break the deadlock and partisan politics that has kept Congress inneffective.
Posted by: eSPO | Nov 27, 2007 11:02:34 AM
What a load of garbage. Edwards will win the state, for cryin' out loud. The handwriting is on the wall.
One poll among polls which are poor indicators of voter sentiment in Iowa does not a winner make. Obama has squandered millions, while Edwards until recently spent virtually NO money there and was still in a statistical tie.
Everything else is trash, but the media desperately want to make it a race between a 40-state loser (Clinton) and a 50-state loser (Obama).
It's transparent.
Posted by: Susan Nunes | Nov 27, 2007 11:05:45 AM
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