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Partisan Turnout Driving N.H.
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ShareJanuary 08, 2008 6:04 PM
ABC News' Gary Langer Reports: Based on preliminary exit poll results from the New Hampshire primaries, Independents are turning out in substantial but customary numbers.
Preliminary exit poll results indicate that just over four in 10 voters in the New Hampshire Democratic primary are independents, compared with 48 percent in 2004 and a record 50 percent in 1992.
In the Republican primary, preliminary results indicate again that about four in 10 are independents, similar to the previous high of 42 percent in 2000.
Preliminary exit poll results indicate that more than half of voters in the Democratic primary are saying they're most interested in a candidate who can bring about needed change -- a mantle all the candidates have been reaching for since the Iowa caucuses.
It's the top attribute by far.
GET REAL TIME RESULTS AS THE RETURNS COME IN BY CLICKING HERE.
Farther down the list, about two in 10 say they care most about experience; a bit fewer are looking mainly for the candidate who cares most about people like them.
Electability -- the candidate who has the best chance to win in November -- comes in much lower on the list, cited by just under one in 10.
In the Republican race, in preliminary results there's a closer mix of top attributes - just under four in 10 are looking mainly for a candidate who shares their values; three in 10, for one who says what he believes. A quarter are looking for the most experienced candidate. As on the Democratic side, the fewest -- just under one in 10 Republicans -- say electability is the top issue.
Three-quarters of Democrats and Republicans alike rate "the recent debates" as important in their vote in Tuesday's primary. Nearly four in 10 Democrats say they made up their minds in the last three days (including today); four in 10 Republicans say the same.
Preliminary results don't indicate higher turnout among young voters, as a share of the electorate.
The preliminary exit poll results indicate that about one in six Democratic voters are under age 30; that's similar to what it was in 2004 (14 percent) and its peak, 17 percent, in 1992. Turnout among young voters was up in the Iowa Democratic caucuses. Instead, in New Hampshire, turnout among seniors in the Democratic race looks to be up from 2004, to nearly two in 10.
READ ABOUT THE DEMOCRATIC RACE AND RESULTS BY CLICKING HERE.
In the Republican race, voters under age 30 account for fewer voters than on the Democratic side - just over one in 10. The previous high was 15 percent in 1992.
In the Republican contest, evangelicals account for about a quarter of voters - compared with 60 percent in Iowa.
In these preliminary results, liberals account for nearly six in 10 voters in the Democratic race - a new high, if it holds.
Also on the Republican side, conservatives account for more than half of all voters - about their customary share.
READ ABOUT THE REPUBLICAN RACE AND RESULTS BY CLICKING HERE.
There's shared economic worry - nearly all Democratic voters, and almost eight in 10 Republicans, are very or somewhat worried about the economy. (The intensity is different: Six in 10 Democrats, and three in 10 Republicans, are "very" worried about it.)
It follows that among top issues on the Democratic side, just under four in 10 name the economy as their biggest concern, three in 10 cite the war in Iraq or health care. On the Republican side, the economy is the most-cited concern, mentioned by three in 10. A quarter cite the war in Iraq, about two in 10 say either immigration or terrorism.
Finally, you've heard this before, but more than 95 percent of New Hampshire voters are white.
January 8, 2008 in Tancredo, Tom, Thompson, Fred | Permalink | User Comments (4)
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What choice is there in this race? I mean really? You have Clinton who will keep this country divided sharply down the middle. I don't know about you but I'm tired of those kind of politics. We have Edwards, who I like, but is he just a bit too far out there? His message sounds good in sound bites but does it perpetuate into something real? I doubt it. Then we have Obama. He's young, vibrant, well spoken, and intelligent. I think he'd make a good president and I like his message. Do you think he's electable? Honestly folks, how many white southerners do you see stepping up and voting for a black man? Sad as it is in this day and age, those people are still fighting the civil war.
Now for the other side. McCain? Another war hawk? The man lost me when he didn't stand up for himself after being slandered by the Bush campaign in SC in 2000. Mitt Romney, now here's a real winner. As soon as Iowa was over every 3rd word out of his mouth was "change". The man speaks to the crowd. I'm waiting to hear the southern accent when he goes to SC. I'm sure if he spoke to a crowd of African Americans he'd call them "Homie". I can see him with his pants around thighs and his hat turned crooked on his head speaking to a young crowd. It gets no more fake than Mitt Romney. The man is a joke. The last thing I want or this country needs is another president who wants to listen to his god when making decisions.If Mike Huckabee wants to preach then he needs to go to church and leave the politics to those who understand the statement "seperation of church and state".
Beyond that we're left with a bunch of no-bodies and has-beens. The closest thing to a candidate beyound this bunch is Ron Paul and looking at his numbers in the first 2 states you might as well save your time, money, and breath. He's toast.
So I'm left thinking, exactly who do we have to vote for? Looks like another write in for Mickey Mouse..........
Posted by: dk | Jan 9, 2008 12:54:01 AM
Let us have a change! Vote for Hilary Clinton. She is the one that will improve our economy. She will work on it. She has lots of experience, intellegent and is hard working. She doesn't just talk but she act on it.
Posted by: Sentia | Jan 9, 2008 12:57:09 AM
Posted by Sentylynn: We need a change, VOTE FOR HILLARY CLINTON. We need our economy improve, VOTE FOR HILLARY CLINTON.
Posted by: Sentia | Jan 9, 2008 1:06:35 AM
Hillary is still the same old stuff, up to her same sneaky self. The only thing new about Hillary is her tears. We need someone newer. Obama, Edwards.
I want real change. I want real change.
Posted by: angie | Jan 9, 2008 2:18:39 AM
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