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Poll: McCain Up Six; Clinton-Obama Tied
January 05, 2008 6:03 PM
ABC News' Rick Klein Reports: The latest WMUR/University of New Hampshire tracking poll has John McCain opening up a six-point lead over Mitt Romney, 33-27. In their last poll, taken Dec. 27-30, McCain and Romney were tied at 29.
The sample size is small, the margin of error large (five), but this is the first post-Iowa snapshot we have of the race, and it raises the stakes for Romney. The Romney campaign is furiously spinning the prospect of a second-place finish as a win, but as we note today he's spending more money than all of his rivals COMBINED in New Hampshire, just like he did in Iowa, where he only took the silver. The poll also has Rudy Giuliani in third at 14, Mike Huckabee fourth with 11, and Ron Paul in fifth with 9. (Fred Thompson is tied with with Duncan Hunter at 1 -- wow.)
Among the Democrats, it's Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama tied at 33. If you're with the Clinton campaign, this is a mixed message -- it is tight tight tight in the state she needs to regain momentum, but at least she hasn't cratered in the wake of Iowa.
These numbers are roughly the same as they were in the last poll, which it at 34-30 Clinton over Obama. In the new numbers, John Edwards is running third at 20 percent -- if that holds, he's going to have trouble moving on from New Hampshire. Bill Richardson is in a distant fourth at 4 percent, just above Dennis Kucinich's 2 percent.
January 5, 2008 in Bush, George W., Hunter, Duncan, Kucinich, Dennis, Tancredo, Tom, Thompson, Fred | Permalink | User Comments (170)
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Go Hillary! Obama doesn't have the experience and simply won't beat the GOP front runner.
Posted by: Sandra Lea | Jan 5, 2008 6:08:27 PM
Hillary has the wrong experience. Let's go change the world
Posted by: Henry | Jan 5, 2008 6:15:02 PM
hillary is going to lose by a landslide to obama, her breakdown will be worse than britneys, America is all about hope and change, thats the story of our great nation, lets end the bush-clinton-bust dynasty, its not a monarchy, its a democracy, the people will vote who they want, obama seems to be the one we all want for real change and hope, hope accomplishes a lot remember it was the hope of freed slaves and the hope of women, that one day they would be able to vote, i see real change in obama, but more of the same failed washington tactics and talk and poor judgement from hrc, she really needs to quit now, before it gets much worse for her, which it will,Americans are taking back their Govt! also why would she bad-mouth iowa after losing there, i hope newhampshire can see her for who she really is as , calculating, poll driven, divisive, and insensitive!
Posted by: jacobs | Jan 5, 2008 6:18:08 PM
Obama! Fired up! Ready to go!
Posted by: Murna Gilbert | Jan 5, 2008 6:19:28 PM
GO HILLARY!!!!
Posted by: Sandi Faye in NH | Jan 5, 2008 6:19:42 PM
The poor simpleton democrats think that change- any change- for the sake of change- is even remotely congruous to improvement of a situation. You don't revolt except against evil which precludes by definition even allowing the evil dems to propose change. See, just like with drugs, booze and toxic waste, there is absolutely NO problem for which the answer is a democrat!! Besides- if you want change for the better- the thing to do is get rid of the god damned marxist pigs pretending to be americans calling themselves democrats. They have not been cleansed out of washington once since 1940. THAT would be a change that would improve all our lives, and all of USA.
Posted by: Jack | Jan 5, 2008 6:19:56 PM
The country, and indeed, the world, is ready for change. It's not just a slogan or a word that candidates can bandwagon on to. Barack Obama is genuinely different. Taking a different approach to the same problems and moving beyond the same fights we've been having during the 20 years of Bush/Clinton. It's time to move forward. Don't be scared of changing times, embrace it. Be a part of it.
Posted by: Sprout | Jan 5, 2008 6:19:57 PM
Obama will change the world! Woohoo!
Posted by: Charles | Jan 5, 2008 6:20:03 PM
Sandra Lea:
What experience does Hillary Clinton have? Being a former First Lady doesn't
count! Being a one-term U.S. Senator with no major piece of legislation passed having her name on it is pathetic!
Please tell me what experience Hillary Clinton has that qualifies her to be president of the U.S.!
Posted by: reaganfan | Jan 5, 2008 6:22:28 PM
Anyone who is truly interested in change needs to at least do themsleves and the country a favor and check out Ron Paul's stance. He not only claims "change", but actually has the cvoting record to BACK IT UP. None of the others can claim that, as they're all spouting *change* while continuing to do the same old, same old. Ron Paul wants change all right- change BACK into what we're supposed to be as a country. What our constitution calls for, not the lobbyists and special interest groups. The Repubs in high places don't like him, he's too liberal for them- but every day people are his followers. We, not the rich & powerful companies and lobbies, are who have contributed over NINETEEN MILLION dollars because we finally have a candidate we can believe in. Check him out yourself!
Posted by: Savannah | Jan 5, 2008 6:25:32 PM
@anthony
What change is Obama bringing?
Look at his voting record, he's a Bush lite.
Posted by: omar | Jan 5, 2008 6:26:50 PM
Obama is a new light, a new hope for all american people and for the world. he will change the world. Don't loose this chance. Don't miss this historical chance. Go Obama go !!
Posted by: lovetherealamericafromEurope | Jan 5, 2008 6:28:23 PM
Okay soRomney sweeps Wyoming (Hucabee and McCain would have to have worked hard to beat hunter), McCain places a distant third in Iowa, the Huckster will be lucky to place third in New Hampshire, and Romney has easily won the most delegates to date. Romney is really starting to gain momentum here. In the end, the race will come down to Romney and Guliani, and that's what Republicans should be focused on.
Hi, I'm Mike Huckabee, and I disapprove this mudslinging message, but here it is anyway. (And the reporters in the room laughed because they thought it was a joke).
Posted by: Andy N | Jan 5, 2008 6:31:09 PM
" All but one of the New Hampshire polls taken over the last two days (read: after the Iowa caucuses) show Obama with a lead, some in the double digits. If the trend of the past few days (and arguably, months) is any indication, we can expect to see an increase in this lead in tomorrow's numbers. The sole exception is the poll mentioned in the article above, which shows a tie. Why choose this one over reputable pollsters like Rasmussen and American Research Group? Please tell the full story next time around.
Posted by: Billy Burdett | Jan 5, 2008 6:33:38 PM
Obama represents a cosmetic change, but America could really use one, and apparently that's the best we can hope for. Too bad Kucinich isn't tall, dark, and handsome :(
Posted by: tom | Jan 5, 2008 6:35:38 PM
Barack Obama sure looks like he has big "MO" on his side. After Tuesday it may be all over for both parties...
Posted by: Mike | Jan 5, 2008 6:36:49 PM
omar, Obama is not "Bush Lite," and your insistence that we look at his voting record just shows your ignorance. Obama had the 10th most progressive voting record in the Senate in 2006, far surpassing Clinton and ahead of even Russ Feingold and Chris Dodd. If that's Bush Lite, I'll take a six pack!
Posted by: Klaus | Jan 5, 2008 6:37:17 PM
Billy wrote: Too bad Kucinich isn't tall, dark, and handsome :(
Ain't that the truth. He is right on every issue.
Posted by: Aero | Jan 5, 2008 6:38:15 PM
Ron Paul is the only candidate who has shown by his voting record that he will end the war in iraq, cut spending, elminate the IRS, repeal the Patriot Act and return our country back to sound monetary policy.
Posted by: Ryan | Jan 5, 2008 6:40:18 PM
Hillary is done tonight , Barak is in the zone! He will seal it tonight for NH
and after tuesday the rest of the GOP will be trying to get DNA tissue from Ronald Reagan to try to clone him
before Nov 3,2008, They do not what to have to Face Barak in a General Election
they may loose have of there Part to Barak
MCCAIN is to old
Mitt is a LIAR!!!!
Thompson HAS DROPSEY
Huckabee is to Evangelical for Most Americans
They are begging to run against HILLARY and Bill because they know they can unite around anyone if she is the Dem nominee
even RON PAUL could be Hillary in general
election.
She would have Older Republican's coming out of HOSPICE to vote against her.
AND THE DEMS WOULD LOOSE because they HATE
HER with THE HATE of a 10000 years.
Take my word I work with them everyday and thay tell me that they would sacrifice their un born grandchildren to stop HER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by: nupe942001 | Jan 5, 2008 6:42:16 PM
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