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Obama's Negatives Rise, Clinton Tops McCain in New Poll
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ShareApril 30, 2008 6:40 PM
ABC News' Ed O'Keefe Reports: Barack Obama's recent woes may be having an effect in the polls.
A new CBS/New York Times poll released on Wednesday shows Sen. Obama, D-Ill., and presumptive Republican nominee Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., tied in a hypothetical general election match-up, while Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., edges out McCain by a five-point margin.
Here are raw CBS/New York Times numbers now (among registered voters):
If the candidates were Obama and McCain, who would you vote for?
Obama: 45%
McCain: 45%
Undecided/Don't Know: 6%
If the candidates were Clinton and McCain, who would you vote for?
Clinton: 48%
McCain: 43%
Undecided/Don't Know: 5%
"Barack Obama's problems over the last few weeks, including his Pennsylvania primary loss and the continuing media coverage of his former pastor Rev. Jeremiah Wright, may have contributed to his weaker position compared to two weeks ago," read an analysis released by CBS and the New York Times.
Since their last poll four weeks ago, unfavorable views of Obama have risen 10% -- from 24% a month ago to 34% at present. Obama's woes also appear to know few demographic bounds -- unfavorable views of Obama have risen among women, whites, independents and Democrats, according to CBS News and the New York Times.
Here are the raw CBS/New York Times numbers as of their last poll on April 3, 2008 (among registered voters):
If the candidates were Obama and McCain, who would you vote for?
Obama: 47%
McCain: 42%
Undecided/Don't Know: 7%
If the candidates were Clinton and McCain, who would you vote for?
Clinton: 48%
McCain: 43%
Undecided/Don't Know: 5%
An Associated Press-Ipsos poll released Monday found similar results.
In that poll, Clinton leads McCain by 9-points, 50-41, in a hypothetical general election match-up. Obama, on the other hand, is "virtually tied" with McCain, at 46-44 percent.
Obama strongly condemned recent comments made by his former pastor, Rev. Jeremiah Wright, on Tuesday, a move that many political pundits consider high-stakes but necessary gamble by his campaign to control a spreading political firestorm.
Reacting to what he called the "spectacle" of his former pastor at the National Press Club, Obama denounced Wright saying, "What Rev. Wright said yesterday directly contradicts everything I have ever done or said in my life."
"Whatever relationship I had with Rev Wright has changed as a result of this," Obama said.
The candidate went considerably further than he has in the past in distancing himself from Wright, accusing him of "insensitivity and outrageousness" in his Monday appearance at the National Press Club in Washington.
"The person I saw (on Monday) was not the person I met 20 years ago," Obama said.
So, let's focus on Barack Obama and his campaign and see where things stand in aftermath of latest Rev. Wright events.
In his exclusive blog on ABCNews.com, former Bush campaign strategist and ABC News political contributor Matthew Dowd opined that "Obama's statements in last 24 hours of being passionately critical of Wright and saying he was out of step with America were the only choice he had left. It was his only option and he seized it well."
Dowd laid out four points he views as critical to an Obama comeback emphasizing, "The biggest damage to him is that he held a brand of being an unconventional candidate in a time America wants a shift from the conduct of politics as usual. But he and his campaign have seemed very conventional of late."
April 30, 2008 in Bush, George W., Hunter, Duncan, Kucinich, Dennis, Tancredo, Tom, Thompson, Fred | Permalink | User Comments (731)
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here's the hard numbers:
3/28 - 4/02 Obama 46 Clinton 43
4/25 - 4/29 Obama 46 Clinton 38
That's a +5 gain in the midst of Wright, Bittergate, and a PA loss.
Looks like Hillary is the one who should be worried.
Posted by: Jack | Apr 30, 2008 7:19:29 PM
Tony
go away nobody will be influenced by you
Posted by: staniam | Apr 30, 2008 7:19:47 PM
Hillary's supporters are people over the age of 65 and uneducated blue collar worker....the truth must really hurt.
Posted by: jeff | Apr 30, 2008 7:20:48 PM
Jack
you are wrong what poll is that stand down and vote for Hillay
Posted by: staniam | Apr 30, 2008 7:20:54 PM
If obama was like me in church, he fell asleep during the sermon. It seems that wright would cause me to go to sleep. So please do not fault Obama for what he slept through in church. Perhaps we can move on from this non issue and talk about a hundred year war in iraq and who can get us out.
Posted by: The Lord of War | Apr 30, 2008 7:21:46 PM
Jeff I know several Hillary supporters with college degerees and masters there goes another myth that the Obama lie machine puts out please go away
Posted by: staniam | Apr 30, 2008 7:22:05 PM
not once have I touted poll. election day statistics only.
Posted by: Louis | Apr 30, 2008 7:23:00 PM
it is Wright to question Obamas actions in his church ;)
Posted by: staniam | Apr 30, 2008 7:23:10 PM
Stop the Barrack whinning. He did it to himself. Cocky and Arrogant!
No foundation = no nomination
Posted by: Eddie | Apr 30, 2008 7:24:54 PM
NC and In will vote overwhelmingly for Clinton and put to rest this nonsense you Obama people are grasping at straws bu I understand that you are angry for wasting so much time on the wrong candidate!
Posted by: staniam | Apr 30, 2008 7:25:25 PM
If we could put up with the drug addict and convicted felon of a brother-in-law of Hillary Clinton, surely we can put up with ex-Marine pastor who can't getaway from the 60s view of how the US Government treats blacks. It is pretty obvious that Obama faces a double standard when it comes to disowning his pastor simply because most Americans are uncomfortable with a crazy black pastor though they tolerate crazy white pastors.
Should she become the number one contender, we'll hear a lot about Hillary's baggage - some of which have yet to be "rummaged through" though she claims she is fully vetted. For someone who wears her faith on her sleeve - we are yet to find out which church she attends and what her church group stands for. We all would like to know what the Clintons did to push Vince Foster to commit suicide and why Susan M. went to jail for the Clintons. Even if Hillary thinks her baggage has been rummaged through, the MSM will rummage through it again and this time she will be answering the questions instead of Bill. And the Rev Wright controversy will look pale by comparison.
Posted by: SelfishGene | Apr 30, 2008 7:25:38 PM
again it is now futile to support Obama just wise up
Posted by: staniam | Apr 30, 2008 7:26:49 PM
Hillary' supporters: People over the age of 65 and uneducated blue collar workers.....the truth must hurt.
....I'm not going anywhere staniam
Posted by: jeff | Apr 30, 2008 7:26:59 PM
Tom
you are just scared that they would vote for her
Posted by: staniam | Apr 30, 2008 7:28:01 PM
Wright is such a shrinking violet who rarely opens his mouth. Of course Obama was fooled up until 2 days ago.
Posted by: geevill | Apr 30, 2008 7:29:14 PM
If Obama is going to prison for laundrying money -then He will be in good company because "Bill and Hill" should be in there also.
Posted by: orange cat | Apr 30, 2008 7:29:17 PM
Memo to S Valenti who said pull the plug on OBama--" Stick your head in a wall plug and shock yourself back to the real world and not the one you are in now--which appears to be some kind of fantasy world
Posted by: Dan A | Apr 30, 2008 7:29:28 PM
stanium: They can vote for her...I don't care. The key words are OLD and UNEDUCATED.
Posted by: tom | Apr 30, 2008 7:29:29 PM
Does ABC have an agenda, or is it just me?
I know change is scary, but come on...
Posted by: discernment | Apr 30, 2008 7:30:09 PM
I've had enough of some people blindly following Obama. I'm embarrassed for them! No matter what he does, they give him a pass. All of his associations (and close, long relationships) with racist, anti-American people do matter. They matter a WHOLE lot. He shouldn't even be allowed near the White House.
Posted by: NoHateHere | Apr 30, 2008 7:30:20 PM
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