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The Note: Biden, Bayh See Stocks Rise for Veep

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August 18, 2008 8:30 AM

ABC News' Rick Klein reports in Monday's Note: All he needs is experience . . . that reinforces his message of change . . . while bringing geographic/ethnic/ideological diversity . . . and fluidity at world affairs . . . without upsetting Hillary Clinton supporters . . . or the liberal left . . . in the package of someone who’s ready to be president . . . who won’t make it harder to hope and dream . . . or overshadow the man at the top of the ticket . . . or say something dumb . . . or be too boring to be relevant.

(Still wondering why it’s taken him so long to choose?)

It’s decision time for a back-from-vacation Sen. Barack Obama -- and yes, our cell phones are charged and ready to receive any important communications.

(DQMOT -- but the smart money puts the pick in the latter part of the week -- when Obama’s schedule is wide open.)

(And have recent events changed the criteria? How many contenders are in Georgia by invitation right now?)

One thing the Obama campaign has done right: We are now so conditioned to think it won’t be Hillary Clinton that the why-isn’t-it-her storyline won’t have a long shelf life. (And if it is Hillary -- oh boy.)

Read the rest of The Note -- and get all the latest on the 2008 election, Congress, the White House and the wide world of politics every day -- from Rick Klein by bookmarking this link.

One thing the campaign hasn’t proven it’s done right: We are now so close to the start of the convention that a the pick takes on more importance and is guaranteed more quick, harsh scrutiny -- which will mean a welcome-to-the-big-leagues couple of news cycles for Obama’s No. 2.

It’s an uneasy time for Democrats -- winning in the polls, but not by enough; behind the standard-bearer, but still dealing with Clinton drama; excited about the ticket, but not sure yet what that ticket will look like.

“Think of the choice Sen. Obama has to make about his running mate as if it's a horserace of contenders running through his head his heart and his gut,” ABC’s Jake Tapper reported on “Good Morning America” Monday -- with Tim Kaine surging early and Joe Biden coming on strong.

And don’t forget a dark horse: “There's talk of Hillary Clinton and former senator Sam Nunn,” Tapper reports.

ABC’s George Stephanopoulos tags Sen. Joe Biden, D-Del., who’s in Georgia on Monday at the request of the Georgian leader, as the favorite: “I think he probably is [the favorite] right now -- which means he’s not going to get it.” And regarding Clinton: “If you gave me 50-1, I’d take it.”

On timing: “A person familiar with the campaign's planning noted that Obama's schedule at the end of this week is open, but said the announcement could come ‘as late as the weekend,’ ” Ben Smith and Glenn Thrush write for Politico. “As a candidate whose currency has been his personal story, in choosing his running mate, Obama will also be choosing a narrative.”

Continue reading today's Note by clicking HERE.

ABC News' Hope Ditto and Amanda Temple contributed to this report.

August 18, 2008 in Biden, Joe, Bush, George W., Clinton, Hillary, Giuliani, Rudy, Hunter, Duncan, Kucinich, Dennis, Palin, Sarah, Romney, Mitt, Tancredo, Tom, Thompson, Fred, Veepstakes | Permalink | User Comments (23)

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This is one thing that ticks me off stop dangling Clinton in front of her supporters you know she is not gonna get it, he never even really considered her, which is a shame

Posted by: rachel | Aug 18, 2008 8:45:19 AM

Rachel: I can bet all my money, Hillary will be the VP!

Posted by: Peace | Aug 18, 2008 9:08:27 AM

Bayh would be a better choice. He's got a solid middle of the road record and he's experienced but not a senior statesman. Choosing Biden would make the ticket look like the Democratic version of Bush/Cheney. Inexperienced Presidential candidate legitimized by the father figure VP. That's not a road we should go down again.

Posted by: MPCT | Aug 18, 2008 9:23:17 AM

They all want it...the only ones who say they don't want it ...are the ones who don't want to look like they were passed up for it.

Posted by: dl | Aug 18, 2008 9:31:45 AM

Peace

It won't be HHillary...if she was then to have her speaking on a night all about National Defense (not a dis on her...just against a mccain ticket she is not the candidate for VP you want to start on that foot with) it would be electoral suicide.

Posted by: dl | Aug 18, 2008 9:34:13 AM

Oh come on folks half the Republican Party is avoiding the Republican Convention.

Posted by: Thinking | Aug 18, 2008 10:00:12 AM

It won't be Hillary. What, she'll speak tuesday and wednesday night?

I think it's Biden. The foreign policy theme for Wednesday I think gave it up. Also Biden is to speak on Wednesday. I think it's a good choice.

Biden could rip any Republican VP candidate in a debate. Especially on foreign policy.

Posted by: Vanessa | Aug 18, 2008 10:02:04 AM

I agree Donna. Can you imagine 4 years of his drama? And it would only be four years. I agree that should he be elected it would be very "Carter-esque" . He is really not that smart at all in terms of career moves. I would have just let Hillary clean up the mess that Bush left, get the bags under her eyes, stood as her VP and then in 2016 went into the office as president. At least then he could say he had the experience to be one of the greatest leaders ever. But his running this year was a testament to his huge ego. This is very reminiscent of what he did to Alice Palmer in Chicago. He has a tendency to take the top jobs without the experience to perform the duties. He has done nothing as a senator. Overall has done nothing to prove that he would be a great leader except give good speeches. He may as well be Denzel Washington running for office. People like the ideal. Just take a look at the New Bazaar issue with Tyra Banks portraying Michelle Obama.

This is hype at its zenith.

Sad. Really Sad.

Posted by: Samantha | Aug 18, 2008 10:14:42 AM


I careless about Obama's VP......
I WILL NOT VOTE FOR OBAMA REGARDLESS
WHO'S THE VP........

Posted by: Nicholas | Aug 18, 2008 10:19:02 AM

Why haven't we heard anything about Al Gore. Why isn't he speaking at the convention. Maybe he'll be the VP. Although I'm sure he wouldn't want it.

Posted by: annie | Aug 18, 2008 10:25:21 AM

Obama is really at a loss here, unless it's Byah, because just about every consideration is stronger and more worthy of the #1 spot. They can all upstage him with straight talk and experience....so he still looks like a weak President (not that I think he will be our 44th). The olive branch they are extending Hillary is not enough anyway.....HILLARY SUPPORTER FOR McCAIN!!!!!!

Posted by: Debra | Aug 18, 2008 10:44:54 AM

All I am saying is the media and obama camp need to stop saying oh she was on the short list she could still get it. Thats a lie she wont get it stop dangling a carrot in front of the Clinton supporters. I wont be happy with any pick but her so please just put me and other Clinton supporters out of our misery and make the pick. I have never been so disappointed in an election process as I have been this year.

Posted by: rachel | Aug 18, 2008 10:48:51 AM

All Clinton supporters MUST vote McCain AGAINST Obama, so in the aftermath and analysis they will figure out how he lost. Although, if you ask him "he will win in Nov" as he told his supporters at a SF fundraiser last night. Wow, Obama clairvoyant too, or did Oprah promise you she could make it happen. Anyone Obama chooses as VP will be better than him, but they will prop him up with speeches and prompters, while #2 will try to sound like John McCain.
HILLARY SUPPORTER FOR McCAIN

Posted by: Debra | Aug 18, 2008 10:57:48 AM

To make HRC the VP, would would please about 5 thousand people, and outrage the rest of the nation. Clinton is a liability, neither can be trusted. I understand why their upset, they're old, and obsolete. We want a generational change here, and they just don't have what it takes. Despite all their advantages, they just aren't special anymore.

Posted by: CC | Aug 18, 2008 11:46:15 AM

Joe Biden,IMO, is the only option left for Obama to boost his poll numbers. There is NO OTHER Choice that will help significantly.

Posted by: Jerry25 | Aug 18, 2008 11:47:13 AM

It seems McCain might have plagiarized the Gulag Archipelago with his "cross in the dirt" story.

The same thing happened in that book.

This itself isn't proof it didn't happen to McCain. But McCain seems to have been quite a Solzhenitsyn fan. When he co-authored a book about twelve tough historical decisions, one of the twelve was Solzhenitsyn's decision to write the Gulag Archipelago.

Posted by: Paul | Aug 18, 2008 11:47:28 AM

All those who want Biden know their boy is too weak to handle this thing on his own strengths.
McCain can pick ANYBODY and be stronger than Obama.

Posted by: Debra | Aug 18, 2008 12:24:00 PM

Obama should make sure that he is the Democrats nominee before he chooses a VP. More egg on his face.
The Clinton years brought prosperity and there weren't any wars. They are not old.
Obama isn't ready to be President. He is 47 but he doesn't act it-he is still wet behind the ears..
He is trying to pick a VP that knows less then he does while at the same time he needs someone alot smarter than he is to help him with his job as President(thats if and when it becomes a reality). Obama is in over his head.

Posted by: basil | Aug 18, 2008 12:52:23 PM

Sam Nunn will not accept if offered. He would have to resign his membership at the Augusta National Golf Club. This precedent was set when John Snow resigned after being appointed Treasury Secretary.

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Posted by: Virginia Harris | Aug 18, 2008 3:21:27 PM

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