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Stephanopoulos: Electoral Battleground Leans Obama
October 06, 2008 7:02 PM
ABC News' George Stephanopoulos reports: Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama has a clear lead in every state Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., won in 2004, including California, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington, and Wisconsin.
Republicans and Democrats would both say Obama is likely to win Iowa and New Mexico -- states won by President George W. Bush in 2004 -- bringing Obama's total electoral votes to about 264 of the 270 electoral votes he needs to win the White House.
That leaves eight states as competitive toss-up states, including Ohio, Florida, Missouri, Indiana, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada, and Virginia.
In every one of those states, polls show Obama is either ahead or within the margin of error.
Obama just needs to take one of those states on election day to win.
Boding well for him, Obama is now leading Republican presidential candidate John McCain in Ohio 51 -45 percent among likely voters, according to the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll.
Ohio has 20 electoral votes up for grabs.
The poll is bad news for McCain: no Republican presidential candidate has won the White House without winning the Buckeye State.
The nation's financial crisis and the economic downturn is boosting Obama's chances in Ohio and nationally.
Ohio voters trust Obama over McCain 52-39 to handles the economy, and by similar margins to create jobs and handles taxes.
Obama is seen as having a better understanding of the economic problems facing Ohio voters than McCain 53 - 35 percent.
While Obama struggled to win the support of blue-collar workers that supported Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-NY., during the primary, he now holds a 10-percentage point lead over McCain among working-class whites in Ohio.
However it's not a done deal yet. Undecided voters make up about 18 percent of likely voters in Ohio, a figure that hews closely to national polls.
McCain's campaign is growing increasingly negative, launching personal attacks against Obama in an attempt to erode some of his support with the election only 29 days away.
But McCain can't win a state by state war of attrition. He has to fundamentally change the nature of the race, put the focus on Obama, and get people asking questions about his Democratic rival.
The Arizona senator has only two debates left to change the minds of voters.
We can expect to see McCain try to go on the attack during tomorrow night's town hall-style debate at Belmont University in Nashville, Tenn.
However it's tough to go too negative in a town hall format because the questioners can backlash if the candidates are not talking about the issues that they ask about, which are generally about issues that matter more in their lives.
October 6, 2008 in McCain, John, Obama, Barack, Vote 2008: Democrats, Vote 2008: Republicans | Permalink | User Comments (376)
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Hussein, Its Amerika ever since the nationalists Bush and Cheney have been in power, but all thats about to change when Obama rousts them from their roosts, and sends em packin. Then and only then will we be America the beautiful again.
Posted by: JJ | Oct 6, 2008 7:55:36 PM
In response to Jo's grotesque comparison of common American sayings, polls and pertinent data from battleground states dictate that everyone wants Obama to be president. The real question is: why does HE want to be president so badly? When will all of HIS dirt come out (by the way, he DOES have dirt...)? We know McCain is an awful, dirty old man with a Keating-esque past, but when will we learn who Obama really is- after he's sitting pretty in the White House and we're sitting at home feeling stupid for being taken in by his bedevilment?
Posted by: Byron Sweatt | Oct 6, 2008 7:58:03 PM
bhcg89
You said, "Given their academic training, a trillion dollars may look the same as a million dollars on a budget spreadsheet."
Do you realize how stupid that sounds. McCain and Palin barely graduated. Obama finished at the top of his class in one of the best colleges in the world.
Obviously you didn't finish at the top of your class.
Posted by: The Unshrub | Oct 6, 2008 7:58:36 PM
Fox News reports that Obama has widened the swing states lead!
Posted by: JJ | Oct 6, 2008 7:59:13 PM
Americans agree that we are headed into a depression and McCain is talking about events that happened 40 years ago.
When are McCain and Palin going to realize, we're tired of politicians that blow smoke instead of caring about us?
Posted by: Dan | Oct 6, 2008 7:59:21 PM
need to look at this Rolling Stone Article about John McCain- very telling
URL: http://www.rollingstone.com/news/coverstory/make_believe_maverick_the_real_john_mccain
Posted by: Sophia | Oct 6, 2008 8:01:46 PM
AS SARAH PALIN WOULD SAY:
" I can see us losing in a landslide from MY HOUSE"
(*_*
Posted by: mark | Oct 6, 2008 8:02:47 PM
The posts of McCain supporters in comments on these web sites haven't got any more coherent. They still resort to the same nonsense. They use Obama's middle name in place of his first. They fall back on the usual catchcries (liberal, empty suit, elitist), when the view of most of the country of him is quite different.
But have you noticed that there are fewer and fewer of these rants lately? And a lot more from representatives of the millions who are getting to know Obama and supporting him.
Posted by: Klippa | Oct 6, 2008 8:03:35 PM
Obama/Biden Time!!
Posted by: mitch | Oct 6, 2008 8:05:27 PM
Texas will soon become a battleground state!!!
Posted by: Commonsense | Oct 6, 2008 8:08:04 PM
McCain and Palin are so desperate they will say anything to win. Its really quite sad, that McCain started out with so much respect and now hes just a bitter old man. He needs to reign in his pitbull if they are going to have even a shadow of a chance of winning.
Posted by: grumpybumpy | Oct 6, 2008 8:10:26 PM
I hope that people remember that McCain did receive $112,000.00 from Keating in campaign funds back then. ALSO his wife and father in law were in a investment deal with property at the time.McCains history if you do look back of it has nothing of a Maverick, and a lot to do with lobbyist for big oil, recleness and dishonesty.
Posted by: Betsy | Oct 6, 2008 8:13:27 PM
Its most unfortunate McCain sees his only strategy being character attacks, the same ones which were discounted during the Democratic Party preliminary campaign. The unfounded attacks are an insult to the American voters. Crash and burning is never a pretty sight.
Posted by: Lou R | Oct 6, 2008 8:18:18 PM
McCain is losing the south. VA, MO, NC, all tilting blue.
Posted by: bubba | Oct 6, 2008 8:30:41 PM
Wow, Mr. Obama really has everyone in his corner. I hope he doesn't disappoint ...
Posted by: Lathan Doucette | Oct 6, 2008 8:31:33 PM
Why does everyone keep saying that McCain is attacking Obama? He speaks the truth. Obama is making promises he can't possibly keep.
Look people, all you need to do is keep watching the video of Rev. Wright and his press club speech, that should be enough to see the indoctrination of Obama and what he has been listening to for 20 years. Don't tell me that didn't influence him either.
Posted by: Linda/Michigan | Oct 6, 2008 8:36:29 PM
At this time, it seems as though the terrorists have accomplished what they set out to do at 9/11: ruin the free world's economics and get their man in the White House. Obama's mentor was the late poet and member of the communist party subservient to the Soviet Union, Frank Marshall Davis. Obama wrote about Frank in his 1st book saying Davis visited with Obama in Hawaii, they read poetry and Davis was full of hard-earned knowledge and advise; they were like father/son. Obama also admitted that he attended socialist conferences. That and the fact that a radical Texas Muslim organiation & the Saudis paid for Obama's Harvard education; I believe i govt. investigated and this Islamic group is no longer in Tecas.
For the first time in our 200+ history, we may have a president and commander in chief in the White House who is a socialist/communist. You Obamaians are making the Russians, Chinese, Cuban, Venezuelan, Vietnam government very happy and the Middle East will be singing in the streets, while our forefathers will be turning over in their graves. Hope you are ready for a large government take over of businesses, the media, what is taught in schools, anti-religion propaganda, etc. Hell, you might even be told what job you can work in as the communist did in Czech. A neighbor couple defected from there after the communist came to their home, took their business and home and told the highly educated woman with a medical degree that she would work in the fields with her hands. Well, that might get rid of some of our Mexican illegals as Americans start working in the fields and mowing lawns. Obama will ruin our military and defense of our country. I just cannot tell you how sick I feel. Why did you stupid, stupid Democrats not elect Hilliary? Your are some very naive and dumb people.
Posted by: ?????? | Oct 6, 2008 8:38:29 PM
MCCAIN: "I just have to rely on the good judgment of the voters not to buy into these negative attack ads. Sooner or later, people are going to figure out if all you run is negative attack ads you don't have much of a vision for the future or you're not ready to articulate it." (The NewsHour with Jim Lehrer, 2/21/2000)
Posted by: Willy | Oct 6, 2008 8:39:01 PM
John McCains stand on Taxes - Feb. 2, 2000
JIM LEHRER: There was a suggestion today from some of Governor Bush's supporters that maybe you're not really a true blue Republican, that some of the things you support like campaign finance reform and your opposition to tax cuts are more like Gore and Bradley and Clinton and Democrats than Republican.
SEN. JOHN McCAIN: Well, I'm much more like Ronald Reagan, actually, than the present hierarchy of our party. I'm for tax cuts, but I'm for working Americans. Governor Bush wants to give 38 percent of his tax cuts to the wealthiest 1 percent. I want to give it to working families.
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/election/jan-june00/mccain_2-2.html
Posted by: Willy | Oct 6, 2008 8:40:14 PM
The Obama/Biden ticket is the only correct choice here people! You would have to put a gun to my head to get me to vote for McCain/Palin. I am increasingly annoyed by the negative attacks from both sides....but lets face it...Obama is merely trying to defend his character from the mud slinging duo. It is a shame that this campaign has taken the dirty turn it has taken, but Mc Cain is desperate...he knows he is going to lose and he knows that he made a poor choice in running mates too. Sarah Palin is not a politician...she is a hockey mom. She is in no way, shape, or form ready to be Vice President of this country. I intend to go to the polls on election day and make sure my vote is counted...for Barack Obama. It is time to return this country to level headed government, fiscal responsibility, and leadership that will repair our global image. The entire world is watching us, people....dont pick your nose, pick up your ballot and vote for Obama/Biden.
Posted by: Shrew | Oct 6, 2008 8:41:32 PM
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