The Numbers

Wow! how nice to see people have widely opened their eyes.

The way Obama has run his campaign, is the best evidence that he is ready to lead. Hillary is just running her own chances.

Mr Langer, you of all people should know that the lead in two of these polls is absurd, given that more than half of the nation has already voted and they are esentially tied in votes. Does that mean that Clinton is down by 32% in states that haven't voted or that these polls are entirely meaningless.

They are entirely meaningless. Sampling voters in states that have already voted for the nomination is absurd.

The nomination contest is a nomination contest, not American idol. You can't vote more than once, except Texas, and you cant count if you didnt vote the first time.

The polls should only be done of states that haven't voted with percentages adjusted for the results we already know.

The daily tracking polls are much more consistent.

The new national poll released by USA TODAY/GALLUP shows the match up McCain-Obama and McCain-Clinton is unchanged in more than a month:

13 January, 2008: McCain 50%-Obama 45% versus McCain 50%-Clinton 47%
24 February, 2008: McCain 48%-Obama 47% versus McCain 50%-Clinton 46%

Considering the importance of the March 4th primaries, Texas will be like California which poll of polls had Obama 44% and Clinton 42% on Super Tuesday.

The reason California voted 52% for Clinton and 42% for Obama even with Oprah, Caroline and Ted Kennedy campaigning for Obama, was because the turn out of white women (56% Clinton, 36% Obama) and Latinos (67% Clinton, 32% Obama) was outside of what most polls considered to calculate their predictions. In California, Barack Obama won the white men votes 55% to 35%.

Most Texas polls show African-Americans voting 80% for Obama while Latino voters who outnumber Black voters in Texas are voting close to 70% for Hillary Clinton.

CNN poll and other polls showing Clinton and Obama splitting white voters in Texas is good news for Hillary Clinton while Obama is unable to reach 45% of Latino voters in most polls, locally and nationally.

Texas is traditionally a state with high church attendance which favor Clinton. Gallup poll shows Hillary Clinton with 57% and Obama with 29% among white Democrats attending church weekly.

While most analysts are putting the pressure on Hillary Clinton to win, Barack Obama losing Texas will add to California, NY and Florida as big states where Obama is failing miserably to attract the huge percent of Latino voters.

270 ELECTORAL VOTES are needed to win a general election and CA, NY, FL and TX total 147 ELECTORAL VOTES which is 55% of 270 EV.

Along the lines of you can only vote once, regardless of what polls show now, Clinton leads by 6% among those who have already voted in Texas, and 22% among those who have already voted in Ohio.

In California, people got to vote once. With early voting in both these contests quite heavy, many recent state polls are also not accurate.

Again it's not American Idol. You don't get to phone in your vote as many times as you want or change it each week.

In fact the sampling of adults doesnt even require them to be citizens far less registered to vote. These polls are misleading to the point of being fraudulent. Why not just report internet polls?

Obama is master Opportunist. He definately know which weapon to use when and manipulate media, voters and Clintons for Presidency(Clintons were caught sleeping unfortunately).

1. Screamed racism in Black dominated region

2. Screaming NAFTA in the job crunch region.

Saying negative in a stylish way and making media does the free advertisement for him is a brilliant strategy.

Has anyone ever wondered how the polical power structure really works? It's two parties.. one dominant, one the underdog. The republicans dominate, while the democrats play the opposition. Did you ever wonder why the republican pollsters, corporate media, talking heads, and the like... are trumpeting Barak Obama? Here is my theory. Politics is a game, and long game at that. The repubs figure their chances at a presidency this time aren't good. And they fear Clinton the most, because she's more moderate, and would likely govern pragmatically, thus helping the dems establish some dominance. They can't have that. So they begin trumpeting Obama for two reasons. 1. He is more beatable and they actually have a chance to defeat him. 2. If he wins, he will likely govern too far to the left, conservatives in congress will block him at every turn, he's a novice, he won't know what he's doing. He'll be a disaster like Jimmy Carter. And that will put the repubs in the drivers seat in 2012. Remember, this is a long fight. Sure, it's a risk, it could backfire, but the odds are better that they will regain control in 12 with Obama than with Clinton.
Food for thought.

The lack of realiabilty of the polls are stunning. You have several polls released within 2-3 days without any major events and have 15-20% difference! This means that either our elctorate composed of moonies unable to make their mind and probably shouldn't even have a right to vote or that pollsters are unprofessional or biased in their approach. If you sample 500 people, and oversample or undersample of AA by 10 people you'll get 5% one way or another which would make 2% difference (i.e. instead of 50% to 50% it will be 52% to 48% and some polls make a big deal about such "changes"). Same thing about likely voters vs. general population (who cares about your opinion if you don't vote!), gender, age, income group whether you voted and changed your mind etc. It takes a significant part of mathematical/statistical analysis to best predict the population which will actually vote and sample it accurately. Now, if several polls gives 20-30% difference this will point to advantage of one of the candidate. Or if you sample heavily similar population, like Washington DC inner city or South Carolina, then you'll get a reasonalble results. But sampling of Texas and even Ohio are ridiculously difficult so people relying on it are fooling themself.

If Obama wins the election in November he will lose soundly in 2012. I want Obama to win and have successful term but there is still underline racism in this country. Yes we have made progress not to point Dr. King Dreamed of. I doubts if America will ever realized the Dream of Dr. King.

Michael, I love the comment, "Who cares about your opinion if you don't vote." Exactly! Except it needs to be added who cares about your oppinion if your state has already voted. That is what is clearly wrong with two ofthese polls and they should not even be reported on by reputable media, unless of course it's on purpose.

The republicans will be in the WH again in 2009 if these polls hold true. Obama can't beat the GOP rat machine.

The new Gallup daily tracking poll today is 46% Clinton, 46% Obama

The republicans will be in the WH again in 2009 if these polls hold true. Obama can't beat the GOP rat machine. SO TRUE

Great blog Gary. I came here from a link on Justin Webb's BBC News blog.

While the polls are a bit fidgety at the moment, I think you can draw one certain conclusion - that as time goes by Hillary's lead is decreasing.

Gallup tracking today shows them boh tied at 46%. Now which do you think is a more accurate reflection of the nomination race Mr. Langer. Keep in mind people can't vote twice, except in Texas.

Gary, I think your polling figures are bogus, to say the least. I do agree with those who say the GOP "rat machine" will kick Obama to the curb. Hillary? I don't think so. Sh has experienced---and survived---the rat machine. Plus, she's the only candidate who can do the job. It really is time to get real and nominate---and then elect---Hillary Clinton.

Great Blog Gary.Hillary has carried and continues to carry all the big states. I think its time people realize who conducts these polls, and what the motives are. I am so sick and tired of these polls that have proved to be inaccurate several times. The republicans have a much better chance of winning the White house with Obama. They will chew him up and eat him for breakfast. Obama thinks that the general election is going to be like the primaries, he needs to drink some more of his koolaid. Hillary 08!

Hillary’s starting to sharpen her attacks on Mr. Obama she really needs to cut into John McCain’s base. Latest polls suggest that Ms. Clinton is picking up support from:

Bigots

Fake Christians

High School Drop Outs

Women who hate man still seams to be her primary support, though they seem a little disillusion concerning her continued love for Mr. Clinton.

I can see why American movies are so often based on good guy/bad guy. Here we see this phenomenon fully unfolding in their politics. On the one hand the Democrats chose Obama who appears genuine, intelligent, inspirational and popular, all that you need to see in your leader : 'the good guy'. But then they don't go for another good guy. They chose Hillary Clinton who seems calculating, self interested, callous in her treatment of her friends and viciously ambtious. In other words they chose a 'bad guy' : Another great drama fulfilling the American never dying need for entertanment.

Personally I cannot understand how people would vote for Clinton.

Seriously, the woman is so false! I'm British, but I seriously feel that when Obama speaks the United States has a future on the world stage. What I feel they need is a fresh new start. Will Hillary deliver that? I think not!

I have an american passport, but have been educated in the UK and lived abroad all of my life. My interest in this campaign has been ignigted by Obama and I have found it a very interesting lesson in the complicated nature of the US voting system. It is truly mind-boggling to think that any reliance could be placed in such small samples for these polls. I certainly hope (audaciously?) that Obama can get the nomination, as I believe that he will do much much better than most people think against McCain; McCains adultery will come back to haunt him, doubts over his connections to lobbyists and the Iraq war are all areas of great vulnerability. If Obama does make it to he White house, what a fantastic message that will send to the rest of the world about the kind of country the US is, where a mixed race, first generation, immigrant from a single parent family can become president! If I don't fall into any of those categories and find it inspiring, is there not some small hope that the voters might just too?

Senator Obama is going to win the American Presidency by a landslide. I cannot tell you how many republicans I know who are voting for him. I live in California (conservative Orange County), and I have never been polled in my life (51 years). I don't trust the polls. Most liberals I know, including myself, are for Obama. Senator Obama is just what this nation needs.

nice to see how Hillary is un-ravelling in all her glory and showing her real nasty side.
Maybe the CIA or secretive Bilderberg hoodlums will bump off Obama just before the finish line
Deja Vu Martin Luther

The tired old crocodile who snaps and snarls,..but nobody cares a damn any more

She would have had more credibility if she had divorced Bill the cigar man.

rt,

Don't speak for Asians, when you are not even one. I am and I will be voting for Obama. The numbers you have made up are pure jibberish and mean nothing. Please present a plausible argument, this time perhaps for your own race.

s.b., are you running exits polls in TX and OH, or are you just a Clinton campaign hack? How can you possibly know how the voters in these states have and are voting? I believe we should wait until March 4 to count the votes in their *MARCH 4* election. Until then, your speculations are just that - speculations. You cannot possibly know what's going on with votes that have not been, and cannot legally yet be, counted.

Moreover, TX is a combined primary-caucus state (which Clinton herself admitted that she hadn't taken the time to figure out). Early voting might matter there some, but it is not the entire picture. Just because Clinton had some early support (e.g., before the last debate) does not mean that she still has that support, or that she will have sufficient TX voters turn up to caucus to gain her many delegates there. Polls have consistently shown Obama and Clinton running even in TX over the last week - there's just no mystery there.

As to OH, who knows? I wouldn't profess to know how the state is going to go, because polls have not yet been static enough to "predict." But I certainly wouldn't go around telling people how the voters there "are" voting or "have voted" - because the election hasn't taken place there yet.

The national polling services do not want to admit the real problem with polling this season is that most people under thirty use cell phones exclusively - and polling services cannot legally poll people on their cell phones. Add that to caller ID, which allows people not to answer the phone when strangers call,and you get a very, very small non-representative sample from which to poll.

Clinton is history, however, whatever the polls say. Obama is the one who is bringing out enormous crowds at speeches and the polls; beating Clinton by double digits in the last 10 primaries. People know Hillary and they are rejecting her. There is nothing she can do to change that. Nothing - and no one has the courage to tell her, now is the time to bow out gracefully. Hopefully, she will realize that before she ends all future political hopes.

People who are saying that Obama has no chance to win the general election because he won't win NY and Cali need to be realistic. Kerry, a less popular candidate than both Clinton and Obama won those states by 10 and 18 percent. They will go Democrat. As will Washington, Illinois, Hawaii, and all the NE. Penn and Oregon are likely to go Dem as well based on their voting records.

Clinton supporters best arguments should be that she could win Arkansas, Tenn, Arizona (states that are mostly red but go blue for popular or hometown candidates) and have a slight edge in carrying Nevada and Forida (if you add Edwards to Obama votes as most primaries have shown that is what is happening, you end up with Clinton 49.7% to Obama's 47.4% and that's without campaigning, something that would also help Obama). They need to also show that she is up big with the largest groups of voters, the elderly and women.

Obama supporters need to show that he has large advantages in possibly carrying Colorado, Louisiana, Georgia (states that are usually red, but have gone Blue for popular candidates), and Virginia (which has gone red but had fairly close elections, particularly when Blacks support a candidate) and have an advantage in not losing Iowa, Wis, and Minn (which are usually Democrat but have had very close recent elections). And that he has done much better with independents, the group which has primarily decided the last two elections. They also need to point out that he has the overall delegate and popular vote lead (If you don't count Mich and Florida he is up 1 million, if you count Mich and Flo, he is up 300,000, if you count likely voters in Mich and Florida - the Edward votes in Florida and the Uncommitted in Mich, Obama is up 800,000, and no matter what he would still be up in pledged delegates).

All other states are pretty much decisively Red or Blue or the races between the Democrats are too close to make a major difference (Missouri, NM). And for those arguing that Republicans are voting for one candidate or another because they would rather face them in the general election...get real. There is no way a group could mass organize a campaign to a scale that would make a major difference without democrats and independents knowing. I'm sure you guys have lots of other conspiracies you believe in too. Both candidates are good candidates for the Democrats, why can't the blue just agree on that and stop tearing each other down. The big election is in November and fighting with each other is only going to hurt the party. I suggest people start looking for reasons to like the "other" candidate as that is what both Clinton and Obama would want come November.

Sorry for the length of this comment.

"ABC and the Washington Post have oversamples african americans in every poll" - Great, now it turns out the polling people are not even honest.

It is time the American people wake up and smell the coffee. If they nominate and then elect a 1st term junior senator with zero legislative accomplishments then they will merely reinforce global attitudes that began to emerge after the great American public voted for GW Bush. Why would America continue to allow un-tested vapid characters to lead their nation. Obama may occassionally sound good but he won't look good when he starts making monumental mistakes on the global stage. A vote for Obama therefore is a vote for the same old stuff. In Clinton´s great favour is a commodity rare in American politicians: pure sound intelligence.

Playing the political correctness card, Mr. Obama is benefitting from an army of Liberals who like to think of themselves as being in the far left. (Anywhere else in the world, they are not even Moderates!) Meanwhile, the media that in America is predominantly Republican at heart (and wallet) joins in the momentum just because, as Humm said it already, it works for the Republicans. Just imagine how dumb would McCain will look debating Hillary; but he could look "fatherly" with Obama. I find it amazing how little "the educated" who follows Mr. Obama knows or is willing to accept the undercovered racism in America.

It is a shame that US has not made a whole lot of progress in the area of sexism. Dee Dee Myers, former White House Press Secretary, pointed out that if Obama was a woman, no one would take her seriously as a candidate because of the lack of experience. But how is it that Barack Obama's lack of experience doesn't seem to matter? Didn't the US already elect a president who had no experience, i.e. George Bush? And look at the mess we are in now?

As an outsider looking in: I would say a vote for Obama is a vote for the Republicans, McCain will ever so kindly make mincemeat out of him if it came an election. Hilary is a force to be reckoned with - she's seen off the worst of them when it has come to the crunch - and has policies and the ability to lead pragmatically. Obama seems to me to be too much like our ex, Mr Blair - full of boyish charm and well-spun speeches - a political opportunist.

I don't claim to know the whole voting process but what about the independent voters that weren't allow to vote in the primaries. Don't their votes count at all?
I also think that reporters and media have been a lot harder on Senator Clinton than Obama. The problem is it's easier to pick on a woman than it is a black person. If you do your a racist and if you don't your a sexist. I'd rather have someone in the White House that at least knows what there're doing. I don't think he has the slighted idea of what's going on. All I know is I have had enough of the last seven years to last a lifetime. I think the best part of the day is watching Letterman and the Presidential Speeches and wondering how in the world did the people ever elect such a duface. I sure hope they wise up before we have another go around the next four years!

My faith in the ability of many Americans to vote wisely has eroded. I remember how disappointed I was after the 2000 elections. I was told that I had not even given GW a chance. So I decided to wait and watch - look what happened to our country!

Now I have a very sinking feeling about Obama and I do not understand this hype over a man who has barely been in national politics for 3 years. He seems to be opportunistic in what he says and what voters he's trying to attract. It's disappointing that the American public are willing to be lead along again by a dud.

Can CA/NY ELECTORAL VOTES change hands without a Clinton?

The Democrats lost New York twice in 1980-1984. The Republicans never thought losing California after 6 consecutive winning elections 1968-1988 including the first President Bush and it took a candidate like Bill Clinton to win CA for the Democrats.

Bush and Kerry were not good candidates in 2004. While Kerry won CA by 9 points and NY by 19 points in 2004, he did not beat Bush among white voters of those states who represented more than 60% of the voters in CA and NY. I have not drank MSNBC kool-aid to convince me that Barack Obama facing McCain can do better than John Kerry in 2004 among white voters.

If Barack Obama continues having troubles convincing Latinos about his candidacy including no reaching 45% in Texas, CA and NY are likely to be in play this November. Texas will be strong for McCain and Barack Obama can not attract Latinos and old voters in Florida with his position about Cuba.

Rudy Giullini and Pataki with a now unpopular Democratic Governor in NY, and Arnold in CA can help the Republicans to at least put those states in play against a democratic candidate like Barack Obama.

As an indigenous person coming from the US colony of Guam, it is simply funny to see how sexism towards a white woman trumps rascism toward a biracial man (or does his father's ethnicity erase his mother's?), as well as touting the "presidential" experience of Hilary Clinton. Where was her experience when voting to go to war? All I can say is that whether junior senator or not, I know that it is rare to find someone to stand up against the tide, in this case, a tide of ignorance and arrogance. Indeed, an Obama win would impact all doubters of America's true destiny--whether the founding fathers meant it or not.

I will vote Obama, so the next President
of United States be a Republican !
NICE JOB OBAMA !!

I weep for our country when I read some of these internet comments. The ignorance can be...pungent. I support Obama, and I don't particularly like the way Clinton's campaigned, but all three candidates are capable and would represent a massive improvement over the last few years. All are patriots; Obama is a Christian, but I wonder at the implicit assumption people make that being a Muslim is a "bad" thing. Why shouldn't a Muslim have the same chance to be president as anyone else? Because there are extremists who claim to follow the same religion? Same is true of any religion. Clinton, while she likes hardball, isn't going to assassinate anyone. Obama supporters have not all drunk poisoned kool-aid, we just really like our candidate. There's no evidence McCain had an affair with Valerie what's-her-name, just a bunch of innuendo. There are plenty of legitimate concerns about all the candidates, as there would be with any flawed human being. If we have to make the negative case against our opponent's candidate, rather than the positive case for our own, why not talk about those? E.g., Clinton's judgment, Obama's falling short of the ideals he champions, McCain's ties to lobbyists.

What this election proves (and I'd show you my own polls I did for my amusement) is that in the United States misogyny and bigotry are common sense, even though a few will sense or acknowledge this. For example, in one of my polls an American will rather trust (and elect) a blind, deaf and mute male/man over a female/woman. And this is not only true for males. That far the "advanced" American society reaches out. No wonder why a female earns 60 to 70 cents for every dollar a male earns in the U.S. Furthermore sex ratio nationwide (2007 est.) is 0.97 male/female, whether there have been 35 women in the United States Senate since 1789, meaning that out of the 1,897 Americans who have served in the United States Senate since that time, 1.85 percent of all Senators have been female.
If there's a need for a major change, this is the one, not inside the White House, believe me.
To conclude, if Senator McCain will play nicely/soft (as Senator Clinton did), which I doubt, we'll have a new cheerleader in the White House, now from Democrats.

It's time for the media to take a vacation and stop trying to manipulate the voters. The lovely media gave us the miserable failure, George Bush and we don't need another George Bush Jr. aka Obama.

Hillary brags about experience,what experience is she talking about? Is it the Lewinsky or preparing breakfast for her husband? Come on people, America is not a family business.

Who cares if you vote for Obama. And he is dreaming because I think McCain will be the next president. If Hillary does not win the nomination she should advise her voters to vote for McCain to leave Obama in the dust. I hope they do that. Obama is a total disaster and would bring this country down hill worse than Bush did.

I love Bill Cunningham and what he said was true. All you will have in your pocket is change. And Obama going into foreign countries without confronting the leader? What kind of statement was that. A president just can't go into another country without talking to the leader first. When someone said they think their is something wrong with him they were absolutely right. He doesn';t have the mind to think straight. I don't know what is wrong with this generation but they don't know which way the wind is blowing. Maybe its all the drugs and booze their taking every weekend. And I know college students are doing that. This is the worst generation in the history of this country and the worst for crime. People should wake up and think before they vote for Obama or this country is going to go down the drain. It is in a mess now and it will be in a disaster if he is elected president. And the media was wrong in their polls showing Obama winning in New Hampshire and Nevada. The voters in the big states that she won did not want him in the white house and if he wins they nomination my prediction they will vote for McCain to keep him out.

looks like more bushism for the next 4 years.

Mariann,

Obama is certainly a Christian, and was born in Hawaii. He has stated so several times, and it has been confirmed several times. I've watched "news" reporters start with that statement by saying "even though rumors were reported about Obama being a Muslim, etc...". He attends United Church of Christ, and the title of one of his books, "Audacity of Hope", was taking from his minister, Rev. Jeremiah Wright.

Why people do not expose themselves to critical thought when spouting "knowledge" is beyond me.

"The greatest obstacle to discovery is not ignorance - it is the illusion of knowledge." - Daniel Boorstin

Thanks, Mike, for being a voice of reason. . And it seems to me that Obama will do much better against McCain. The conservatives that don't support McCain because he's not conservative enough would certainly come out to vote against Hillary Clinton.

What is the fuss about Barak Hussein Obama being African American and a Muslim or being endorsed by Louis Farakhan? It shows his reach to all segments of society. G. W. Bush, a christian, went to war in Iraq without approval from the United Nations. Till date no weapon od mass destruction hs been found in Iraq. It is America's greed that is fueling terrorism. Check out the list of companies doing mulit million dollars reconstruction jobs in Kuwait for the veracity of my argument.
When Michael Dukakis contested the 1984 Democratic election, why was the press not awashd with his Greek background?

Somewhere on the blogsphere I saw a cartoon that was just fitting: first picture - an eight track tape (from back in the 70's) with McCains picture on it...second picture was a VHS tape with Hillary's picture on it...the third and last one was a shiny new DVD (Blu-ray I hope)with Obama's picture on it...

Here come the president of the united states,Barack Obama...hm...who is he?
i guess people are angry,desperate of the things going on now,economy,jobless,forclosure,homeless and clueless.They go baracko,they wanted change as soon as possible, but make no mistake about it,Barack will take time to change...like 10 years or more.Don't make thing worser,stick with McCain,who have experienced at least for now.

Mariann Pepitone. I said the clips on t.v re: Bill Cunningham and wonder who is this nut head. Now you say you love Bil Cunningham. Manners, none; consideration and the ability to follow the rules of the person/group who invited/hired Bill Cunningham.
I will vote for Obama, what starts at the top slides down, manners, truth,communicaton etc.The Clintons did none of those things.

THESE POLLS ARE USED TO INFLUENCE PEOPLE DECISION ON WHO TO VOTE FOR,WITH ALMOST ALL OF THE MEDIA SUPPORTING OBAMA BECAUSE HE IS A NEW,AND THEY LIKE HIM.THESE POLLS REFLECT THAT.
THIS MAN IS A EXCELLENT SPEAKER BUT HE HAS NO SUBSTANCE, WITH ALL OF HIS TALK OF CHANGE ,HOPE AND NEW POLITICS HE IS BRAINWASHING HIS FOLLOWERS INTO THINGS, THEY WANT TO HEAR.
AS SOME SUPER DELEGATES COME ON BOARD YOU SHOULD NOTE THAT THEY ARE ONLY DOING THIS FOR POLITICAL GAIN.
AMERICA PLEASE DO YOU SELF A FAVOUR AND LOOK AT YOU SITUATION NOW,WE ARE IN A VERY DIFFICULT ECONOMIC CRISIS AND THIS MAN CAN FIX THAT PROBLEM
ONE LAST THING LOOK AT WHEN OBAMA IS SPEAKINGALL OF SPEECHE HE SAYY "WHEN I PRESIDENT" IS CAREFULLY PLACED IN HIS SPEECH TO INFLUENCE YOU DECISION.
DO NOT VOTE FOR HIM

SNEAK PEAK: Obama camp, Clinton camp and Houston Chronicle on Texas Early Voting.

1) Obama Camp on Texas Early Voting-MSNBC:
"The state's two largest counties — Dallas and Harris, where Houston is located — are home to educated, affluent Democrats and blacks, groups that typically favor Obama. Officials estimate that early voting turnout in those places is as much as eight to 10 times higher than it was in 2004."

2) Clinton Camp on Texas Early-MSNBC:
"Clinton's campaign officials warn not to make too many assumptions, noting that the majority of voters in both counties were women, many over the age of 50. Older women are among Clinton's only remaining demographic strongholds."
"Meanwhile, Clinton's other stronghold, Hispanic voters, are casting early ballots at a rapid clip in South Texas and are projected to wait until primary day to vote in other parts of the state.
"If you factor it all in, overwhelmingly more women than men will vote early in this state," Clemons said. "In terms of delegate math, we're going to hold our own."

And 3) Houston Chronicle on Texas Early Voting
"More than half a million people cast Democratic primary ballots in the first eight days of early voting this year — setting a pace for the party to have more than a million presidential primary votes in the state for the first time since Bill Clinton tangled with Paul Tsongas in the 1992 elections."

"Through last Saturday, half of those casting ballots had not voted in any of the past three party primaries; 20 percent are not regular general election voters; and about 2 percent are Republican crossover voters, said party consultant Ed Martin."

obama is a harvard graduate i heard he was one of the smartest there he taught
law there is he stupid or what? why want
to be the president of the united states like so many persons wish they
could so they could change the way things are done in washington i only went to high school but its alot i would
like to change i would not let banks
put people out i'd give longer time .

It's impossible to trust the polls. They have been wrong in both directions. We can trust that Obama's support is grow steadily. What amazes me is how few people realize Obama has a substantial legislative record in the US and Illinois Senate. He sponsored ground breaking Ethics Reform(Feingold-Obama), Transparency(Coburn-Obama), Nuclear non-proliferation(Lugar-Obama) and more. At least two major bills where sponsored with conservative republicans. In the Illinois Senate he sponsored over 800 bills. Obama has a remarkable legislative record and a message the moves people. Obama support increasing with the level of education. It time for change we can believe in.

You cannot ask Obama to explain anything because he is exempt from all questions, explanations, background, experience, relationships, real estate, religious beliefs, religious relationships, his current/past religion. The lord Obama has risen, please go prone. Let the world stop for a minute's silence. Praise be Obama!

However, not a single day goes that we do not hear some unethical, immoral or illegal activity by Barack Obama's. These activities include Obama's repeated drug use even in his thirties to his connection to shady characters like Tony Rezko who has been criminally charged. Clearly, he is character in a class by himself who has managed to dupe many Americans. The truth is that when his staunch supporters are asked about Obama's accomplishments, they become speechless!