The Numbers

A Run at the Latest Data from ABC's Poobah of Polling, Gary Langer

Gary Langer is director of polling at ABC News, where he's covered the beat of public opinion for nearly 20 years - conducting and analyzing ABC News polls, evaluating data from other sources and setting the news division's standards for poll reporting. Langer has won two Emmy awards for ABC's reporting of public opinion polls in Iraq, and The Numbers blog was honored this year as winner of the 2008 Iowa Gallup Award for Excellent Journalism Using Polls.

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Politics and Prejudice

October 27, 2008 9:01 AM

With a personally popular African-American candidate leading in the presidential race, our ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll finds a significant drop in the number of likely voters who report feelings of racial prejudice.

In mid-June, asked to “honestly assess yourself,” 32 percent of likely voters said they had at least some feelings of racial prejudice, including roughly equal number of blacks and whites alike, and much like a similar result in 1999. But now it’s down to 15 percent.

Explaining the change is difficult because the results show no real differentiation. Self-reported feelings of prejudice are down across the board, among blacks and whites, among Obama and McCain supporters, and across other groups – partisan, ideological, age, education and locale (urban, suburban or rural) among them.

In June, for instance, 32 percent of whites reported some feelings of racial prejudice, as did 35 percent of blacks. Now it’s 15 percent among whites, 21 percent among blacks. Among Obama supporters self-reported feelings of prejudice have gone from 33 percent  to 16 percent; among McCain’s, from 31 percent to 13 percent. It's down among high- and low-income and high- and low-education whites alike. And in both polls whites who reported no prejudice have had essentially the same vote preference as whites overall.

While any influence of Obama’s candidacy is speculative, he is broadly popular: In a tracking result last week, 64 percent of likely voters expressed an overall favorable opinion of him. That was the same in June. But then Obama and McCain were running evenly, and much has transpired since, from the debates to the deterioration of the economy, both advantages for Obama.

One possibility for the change is a context effect; the question in June was asked after four others on the subject of race relations and discrimination; the question in 1999 was asked after a single question on racial discrimination. With no such lead-in in the tracking poll, it could simply be that respondents had given less thought to the issue. Any way you cut it, it's an interesting result, if also an inconclusive one.

October 27, 2008 in 2008 General Election, Race | Permalink | User Comments (45)

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The racism I see is coming from the Obama camp and if he is elected you will see racism...when he takes all the money out of the white suburbs and gives it to the black inner cities. Talk about racism!

Posted by: samhiguchi | Oct 27, 2008 9:27:22 AM

When we elect our first president with mixed heritage, we will actually continue to erase some of this country's shameful racist past and put a big foot forward in the right direction.Racism will die as it should.

Posted by: TV | Oct 27, 2008 9:38:14 AM

I am a Dem and angry at my own party for the recent financial disater with Freddie, Fannie, and ACORN. Here is another issue I am mad about:

Barack Obama's Strategy of Manufactured Crisis: First proposed in 1966 and named after Columbia University sociologists Richard Cloward and Frances Piven, the Cloward-Piven Strategy seeks to hasten the fall of capitalism by overloading the government bureaucracy with a flood of impossible demands, thus pushing society into crisis and economic collapse. Promoted by Obama's Marxist mentor and radical community organizer Saul Alinsky.

Posted by: Not-A-Citizen-Obama | Oct 27, 2008 9:40:02 AM

I have become so disillusioned with the posting on these blogs during this election season. It's obvious to anyone who reads frequently that there are the paid bloggers who spew partisan rhetoric with blatant disregard for the truth, and also those that have extremist views. Although these views do not coincide with mine, I will defend to the end the rights of those to express any view. My son and those he serves with are a continuation of courageous young people who defend the rights of ALL people, regardless of politics. I just wish there were more places to go to have an honest discourse on the issues of the day. I choose to exercise my rights to free expression in an honest, positve way in order to forge a better future for this country.

Posted by: winter99 | Oct 27, 2008 9:44:17 AM

winter99-the problem is that different people see different "truths." Sometimes truth is subjective, based on peoples preconceived notions.

Posted by: counting crows | Oct 27, 2008 9:47:08 AM

Samhi-please give example of racism coming from Obama camp. What documentation do you have that he will take from white suburbs and give to black inner cities.

Posted by: Independent | Oct 27, 2008 9:47:20 AM

"when he takes all the money out of the WHITE suburbs...and gives it to the Black inner cities"

ugh.

yeah samhiguchi

the racism is coming from Obama...

not.

go move to a country where your viewpoint is considered patriotic...rather than disgusting.

Posted by: dl | Oct 27, 2008 9:47:50 AM

and Not a citizen obama

go look at the timing of the Gramm leachey Bill

you will fins that mccain's lead economic advisor ushered that bill through congress after the actions for homeownership expansion...

taking advantage of actions that would have most likely been good for our economy and the nation

and making it a speculation and deregulation market for enormous wall street windfalls.

and put us in a horrifically risky place for the good of the wealthiest of wealthy

so stop.

Posted by: dl | Oct 27, 2008 9:50:20 AM

I suspect that Obama is going to go down in history as one of the Greatest Presidents of all time. This country sure needs it after 8 years of bush/cheney. Obama/Biden 2008!!!

Posted by: pt | Oct 27, 2008 9:53:33 AM

Counting crows, when you take into account comments like I don't care about the suburbs and add in his 2001 comments I think that is exactly what we have.

Barack Obama, in 2001:

You know, if you look at the victories and failures of the civil-rights movement, and its litigation strategy in the court, I think where it succeeded was to vest formal rights in previously dispossessed peoples. So that I would now have the right to vote, I would now be able to sit at a lunch counter and order and as long as I could pay for it, I’d be okay, but the Supreme Court never entered into the issues of redistribution of wealth, and sort of more basic issues of political and economic justice in this society.

And uh, to that extent, as radical as I think people tried to characterize the Warren Court, it wasn’t that radical. It didn’t break free from the essential constraints that were placed by the Founding Fathers in the Constitution — at least as it’s been interpreted, and Warren Court interpreted it in the same way, that generally the Constitution is a charter of negative liberties: [It] says what the states can’t do to you, says what the federal government can’t do to you, but it doesn’t say what the federal government or the state government must do on your behalf.

And that hasn’t shifted, and one of the, I think, the tragedies of the civil-rights movement was because the civil-rights movement became so court-focused, uh, I think that there was a tendency to lose track of the political and community organizing and activities on the ground that are able to put together the actual coalitions of power through which you bring about redistributive change. And in some ways we still suffer from that.

Posted by: samhiguchi | Oct 27, 2008 9:57:28 AM

Winter99 I agree with you as a former service member myself and with a son who recently served in Iraq, the ability to spew what you chose is a right that is essential to our democracy. I still have a problem with those who state in one breath the racism is from the Obama campaign and in the next breath make a negative comment against Senator Obama. Do any of you own mirrors? If Senator Obama does win this election (yeah!) then I think we will all need to do some soul searching and decide whether the division in this country in actually what we want to continue. Personally speaking I would love to live to see the day that I can walk into an elevator in my high-rise building and not see the person next to me grab her purse and place it to the front of her. I would love to see the day that some blacks stop talking about we are being held down. I would love to see the day that the pride that everyone feels the need to rally around is American Pride and not just racial pride. In a President Obama, I see that hope becoming more of a reality. Thanks for allowing me to say this and to all, take a deep breath. This too shall pass.

Posted by: KayCee | Oct 27, 2008 10:06:05 AM

There will always be some racial as well as religious and ethnic preferences. And I have some redneck cousins in PA who do not associate with any Black people. What's amazing is that most of them are voting for Obama.

Posted by: Mickey | Oct 27, 2008 10:34:25 AM

I have mostly seen Republicans and their mouthpeices throwing racial slurs. if the Deomcrats have, that was in response.

I know many throw out Rev. Wright, etc., but we can do the same with McCain with some of his backers - Sen. Phil Gramm is a great example (look at his legagy of racicsm).

the choice in the election is really more of the same future vs. a hopeful future. I personally would like a hopeful future!

Posted by: botrytis | Oct 27, 2008 10:36:50 AM

Okay seriously...I am not a prejudice person whatsoever BUT realistically -Are we ready for a black president? I think so - BUT there are several people I have spoken with and they do not think that we are ready...however...if something happens to McCain (given his age) are we ready for a woman president to step up? Either way, this is going to make history. Strange how people get so caught up with teh race thing. I am not sure still who I am going to vote for..any suggestions? LOL

Posted by: OMG in TX | Oct 27, 2008 11:31:35 AM

BTW.. I have always voted republican...
I wonder who "Joe the Plumber" is going to vote for.
LOL

Posted by: OMG in TX | Oct 27, 2008 11:33:51 AM

I AM SURE OTHER COUNTRIES ARE WATCHING AMERICA AND THINK OF HOW THIS ELECTION PROCESS MAKES THE COUNTYRY LOOK. THEY PROBABLE DO NOT WANT TO CONSIDER DEMOCRACY IF THIS IS WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE.

Posted by: mary a brooks | Oct 27, 2008 11:55:27 AM

You Obama supporters spend more time checking your house painters creds than Obama's. Would you hire a plumber with no experience? Oh, come on.. even if he talks well? No? So how come your Pres. doesn't need any experience?

Posted by: zeva | Oct 27, 2008 1:58:17 PM

SIS in NJ | Oct 27, 2008 1:59:13 PM........Have you read "Rules for Radicals"?

Posted by: deanbob | Oct 27, 2008 2:28:58 PM

SIS in NJ | Oct 27, 2008 1:59:13 PM Obama denounces the Constitution because it does not provide for the residtribution of wealth.

Posted by: deanbob | Oct 27, 2008 2:30:54 PM

It's official!!! ----New Mexico Sun headlines "OBAMA WINS!".
So let it be writen-so let it be done.

Posted by: DobermanSpencer | Oct 27, 2008 4:54:02 PM

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