The Numbers
A Run at the Latest Data from ABC's Poobah of Polling, Gary Langer
Gary Langer is director of polling at ABC News, where he's covered the beat of public opinion for nearly 20 years - conducting and analyzing ABC News polls, evaluating data from other sources and setting the news division's standards for poll reporting. Langer has won two Emmy awards for ABC's reporting of public opinion polls in Iraq, and The Numbers blog was honored this year as winner of the 2008 Iowa Gallup Award for Excellent Journalism Using Polls.
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Mark Sanford and the Affairs of State
June 24, 2009 3:34 PM
Mark Sanford’s behavior is, shall we say, not helpful politically – particularly in the base.
The overview is not pretty at all: In a Gallup poll just last month, 92 percent of Americans said it was “morally wrong” for a married man or woman to have an affair. That is almost everyone. (In another poll, 64 percent said that if their spouse stepped out on them, they would probably or definitely not forgive it.)
For a little context, more in that Gallup poll rated an extramarital affair as objectionable on moral grounds than any of 15 other items the poll tested - including, for instance, the death penalty, suicide and cloning humans. (Separately, since you're wondering, in a poll we did back in 2004, 14 percent of Americans said they themselves have cheated on a spouse.)
Specific to politics, the recriminations can be lighter. In a 2007 Pew poll 56 percent said it wouldn’t matter to them if a presidential candidate had had an extramarital affair in the past, while 39 percent said they’d be less likely to vote for such a candidate.
But look at it by partisanship: A far higher share of Republicans, 62 percent, said they’d be less likely to vote for a candidate who’d had an affair. That dropped to 37 percent of independents and 25 percent of Democrats.
It’s similar but less striking by ideology: Forty-seven percent of conservatives said they’d be less apt to support a candidate who’d cheated on his or her spouse, compared with 38 percent of moderates and 26 percent of liberals.
As a prominent conservative Republican – just like Sen. John Ensign, R-Nev., who admitted an affair last week – the level of objections in the GOP base obviously do not do much for Gov. Sanford’s political prospects.
Further, the Pew question asks about the vote impact if a candidate “had an affair in the past.” Scandal-wise, people tend to take a particularly dim view of misbehavior that’s not history, but concurrent with official duties.
On the other hand, Bill Clinton famously survived just this kind of misbehavior.
But not among conservative Republicans.
June 24, 2009 | Permalink | User Comments (3)
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Can any of you understand what I just did because I have to get a haircut and you need me to interpret the news for the national security of the World. How safe are you all feeling right now?
Posted by: Carolyn Iozzia,Esq | Jun 25, 2009 7:56:56 AM
First and foremost I do NOT condone this behavior. Having said that, in my decades of work I have known of many people’s indiscretions, none were fired or asked to resign because of them. As long as their work was good their private lives had no bearing.
Why should private lives have a bearing on public office? They are all corrupt anyway so why should this type of problem be any different?
To work at the White House you must pass a very tight security check. No one in congress has to pass one like that, not even the Presidents White House staff. (The last questions they ask you while strapped to a lie detector with armed agents in the room is; “Have you ever committed a crime for which you have not been caught?”)
Even this does not cover cheating, so if they could not pass this test why persecute them for cheating?
If we can hold our representatives to a generally higher standard then we can include marital indiscretions, otherwise it is a waste of effort.
Posted by: Joe S | Jun 25, 2009 10:06:32 AM
This is a true family values man, the GOP only uses this at election time and once elected throws that statement out the window.
Posted by: jg5012 | Jun 27, 2009 12:24:18 PM
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