Obama, After Tough NH Loss: “Vote Came Just a Little Short”

Obama is this generation's Jimmy Carter! Big smile, big promises, no action.

I want ACTION TODAY, not promises about tomorrow!

GO Hillary Go!

Barack Obama will take the country past the everlasting and vindictive political battles of the Bush/Clinton monarchy.

hilary's vulnerability,and its mass replay in the media undoubtedly swayed many voters to her side. that was a good call for her. after all, all is fair in war and election campaigns.

Your votes will make or break America. Vote wisely research your candidate. Our Country is in an uproar with the loss of jobs, high gas prices, war, terrorist danger and so much more. /think that telling us there will be change, turn the page, but not having the experience to come through will be disastrous for our Country, for our citizens and we can not afford to support this Candidate. Obama does not have the EXPERIENCE and with out Experience, how can he possible handle all that awaits our Nation. Please do not vote for Obama!! It's your Country it’s our future and our lifes! Do we want to take a risk on words and false hopes, although he may want to, he does not have the experience to do so...Lets vote to get our Country on its way to prosperity! Let’s vote for global respect! Let’s vote for Hillary Clinton…..For better days ahead!

The Presidential Race, My Take.

Update

http://alexanderdefilippi.blogspot.com/

Alexander P. De Filippi
Friday 4, January 2008
Wednesday 9, January 2008

This article will be updated trough the year.

Mainstream Republicans have reasons to celebrate and to worry about the news coming from the Iowa caucuses this past Thursday, January 3. In effect, Mike Huckabee, the mainstream candidate and future Republican presidential nominee easily won the election. The media calls Mitt Romney “the establishment candidate” because he has money, but the truth is, the real establishment candidate is Huckabee, who represents the George W. Bush line in all matters, from free trade, to immigration, in addition to his pro-life stance.

The mainstream or establishment candidate in the Republican Party is not determined by the amount of money or name recognition but by the base of support within the Republican Party that he has. Governor Mike Huckabee has in his favor the two main factions of the Republican Party, the Christian right and the business community. None of the other Republicans in the race can count on those two elements of support. Rudy Giuliani, John McCain and Ron Paul have to divide among themselves the fiscally conservative, non-religious right, which is located mostly on the east and west coasts, and that does not surpass more than twenty percent of the Republican electorate across the country.

The second good news for Republicans came from the Democrats’ results, especially the fact that the establishment candidate, Senator Hillary Clinton, was in third place. I call her the establishment candidate because she has the media support and the most money from that business community, located mostly in California and New York. It is very difficult to believe that Barack Obama would win a presidential contest against Mike Huckabee. Therefore, if the Democrats nominate Senator Obama, they will lose the presidential election, an election that, based on the results of the 2006 congressional election, is up to the Democrats to lose.

The sobering or sour note for Republicans came from the Iowans’ participation in the caucus. Iowa isn’t New York. Iowa is a conservative state that went for George W. Bush in 2004 and slightly for Al Gore in 2000. Therefore, the fact that the number of people participating in the Democrats’ caucuses was two and a half times greater than those participating in the Republican caucuses is bad news for Republicans. Iowa has only seen benefits for the last seven years from the Bush administration, so they should be grateful to Republicans. Also, in that state, the grassroots Republican machine is almost as good as the one they have in the South. In fact, the Christian Republican grassroots machine runs well even in New York City. The Iowan local press isn’t liberal either, so that massive participation of people, including independents, in the Democrats’ caucuses, is impressive and should put the Republicans on notice that something as unusual as the awful results of the congressional and gubernatorial races of 2006 could happen again this year.

The Democrats’ conundrum: they have the momentum with the American electorate this year as they had it in 2006, so winning the presidential race should not be a problem for them. Nevertheless, in spite of the favorable winds, the Democrats find themselves unable to nominate a good candidate; any of the three main contenders, Obama, Edwards and Clinton is an easy target for Republicans. Any of those three should lose in a race against Huckabee. Any of those three will have to name a vice-president that can propel them, maybe Al Gore? Vice-president again? I do not know. I believe the Democratic establishment will be able to keep Hillary Clinton as its nominee. Unfortunately for Democrats, she is as bad as the other two. Therefore, their faith depends on two factors: the vice-president they name and a repetition of the 2006 phenomenon in which independents and moderates, nationwide, broke for the Democrats. They could make it easier for themselves to get the independent and moderate votes if they play the “minister card” against Huckabee. Independents and moderates that make up easily twenty percent of the electorate, tend to be non-religious; they tend to be moderate or independent because they do not take any position to the extreme, whether in politics, environment or religion. In addition, on this occasion, the Republicans, apparently, won’t have the Hispanic support as they did in 2000 and 2004. The media have manipulated the immigration subject in such a way that Hispanics, unfairly, perceive Republicans as anti-immigrants.

Update
Tuesday, January 08, 2008

If January 3 Iowa caucuses results was a victory for the republican establishment, Tuesday 8 in New Hampshire was a victory for the democrat establishment. Three issues I would like to address in this update, first the polls, second the Hillary Clinton victory and the independents votes.

1) The polls. Again the polls were wrong big time. In 2006, no poll predicted that the republican would suffer such terrible defeat at all levels, and in this occasion every poll predicted a major victory for Obama, again the pollster were wrong, maybe the new moon? Just kidding. For some reason in some occasions the pollsters are unable to get the pulse of the people.

2) Hillary Clinton victory. The democrat establishment was able to save Hillary even before Super Tuesday, and they did, using again, the power of the media. The media played again and again the Hillary “two sweet moments”, the Saturday comment at the debate “I am likable enough” and the Monday “tears”. Now that Obama appears vulnerable to the media machine, he appeared immune to it just until January 7, he needs the vote coming from Kucinich, Edwards and Richardson combine to defeat the democrat establishment’s money and media power, although in this case Richardson is a supporter of Hillary, but his supporters are either Edwards or Obama votes. Therefore Edwards and Kucinich should drop and declare their support for Obama. I do not expect Richardson to drop yet and if he that he will ask his supporters to go for Clinton.

3) Again most of the independents participated in the Democrats primaries than in the Republican one.

Obama supporters don't get down. Just remember in 2000 McCain won NH. Look how far it got him. The US can be run by someone with out the last name of Bush or Clinton. A word to the other Michael. You talk about inexperience as a bad thing, when everyone is focused on fixing problems but can not seem to fix them it usually takes some one from the out side with a fresh set of eyes and ideas. You can not say Obama is a fraud. He is one of the only candidates that is running on complete compassion for what he does. I am not even an Obama supporter but it really gets to me when people make ridiculous(lies) accusations. Do you realize how uneducated you sound right now? When you say "...lets see what the 50% black vote in South Carolina does given that the Clinton's have supported the black community for decades).

vote4prosperity:
Hillary Clinton has No Experience,
unless you count her barely more than
one term as a U.S. Senator(during which she has passed No Major Legislation)!
Her time as First Lady sipping tea with foreign leaders is not presidential experience!
Obama has more governmental experience!
A vote for Hillary Clinton is not a vote for change but is a vote to bring
back the 1990's(Waco, Oklahoma City,
Columbine, the first World Trade Center bombing).

I like Barack Obama even though I don't like his politics. He is young, has vision and energy trying to bring people together. Unlike Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton who try to divide people. Now with N.H. behind us we will see what Obama is made of.

I've noticed something really strange about people in general... they tend to get comfortable with the status quo even when it's broken and offers more of the same. As I've gotten older, I don't throw out or give away as much stuff as I use to in my younger days. My attitude and expectations were fresh. These things, I felt could easily be replaced with something better and lo and behold they were. My American family is in a rut. We've gotten emotionally beaten up, slapped around, scared half out of wits, and repeatedly lied to. But, hey, we love it. As a matter of fact, we love it soooooo much, and want more of the same for the next 4 political years. As I've gotten older, I've come to love the progressive thinking of young people and their contributions to society. The world's greatest successes today were created by the young those with little experience. The kicker is, they will be the ones to do so in the future not those of use living in a rut and observing life from the comfort of our sofa's. We teach and educate our children to go out and conquer the world. Our obligation politically is to compete on an international level, to give our enemies and our allies our brightest and sharpest minds. We are a progressive country... this is the message and the vision the world needs to see from us and not complacency with the status quo. Wake up my American family! Let's move forward. What image of us do you want the world to see?

Obama is the candidate who can get us out of this quagmire. We can see the intelligence, the will to create NEW ways rather than just practice the same old
deceptive, stuff of the Bush-Clinton years. He has far more experience with real people facing real problems, and he has my family's votes!!

I agree with you, vote4prosperity. And Hillary is best suited to fit those tasks because she is a VERY compassionate person. I'd rather have Hillary than Obama or anybody else handle delicate matters.

Obama thrives on being for the common person; then how come most of his supporters in New Hampshire and all in Iowa were elites?
The unshakable statistics are: The majority of Hillary's voters were the non-elites, and the blue-collar folks, etc. And the fact is that just about all Iowans are very well off. Statistics show Hillary dominated in and won THROUGH the non-rich, and non-elites. Obama was just the opposite. Obama's campaign is being dishonest AGAIN in saying he represents the common Americans. Besides the elitists, there are the rest of us - and Hillary has WON with us. Look at the news reports, analyses of how she won New Hampshire, and more.

Obama will win the presidential election with smarts and good judgement. He will not resort to the slimy, negative and divisivness that the Clintons are noted for doing. Bill Clinton needs to keep his mouth close and focus as a former president. His involvement only shows how much he will be running the white house should Hillary have the opportunity to become president. Bill wants another opportunity to repair his legacy at the taxpayers expense!

Futhermore, my advise to Hillary: if you can't take the heat or defeat, then drop out of the race! We don't need your publicly emotional breakdown as a presidential candidate. What are you telling our world enemies? I hope the next states will vote for good judgement, the pressing issues facing America, and reject slimy, negative campaigns!

Seemingly Hillary had absentee ballots done by college students before Iowa. I wonder if any of those student now may regret supporting Hillary before they got to know Obama. Onforward I hope Obama's camp watch out for the absentee ballots count. We have been down this road before and this elections means too much to America to be faced with murky (fuzzy) counting of votes/ballots!

Hillary is not status quo. And let the rightous Obama get out of the race! Last time I checked he WAS a politician and long time friend to Rezco, a curropt man under FBI investigation. Don't tell me Obama didn't see through the man during all those years as good friends.
After his tough NH loss: "Votes came just a little short." That is the smuggest response I have ever heard. It’s because he’s so smug that he’s running as the “new” and unspotted candidate. Yet he can’t bring about anymore change than Hillary would. He’s not mandating healthcare for everyone, like Hillary is. Everyone knows that there are many people out there who WON’T let people have it unless it’s mandated. There are many people out there who won’t just let you have healthcare free of charge!!!

I'm watching this from the UK. My take on the events so far: If Hilary wants this she needs to get her spouse of the trail and go it alone, leaving the histrionics at home. If Obama wants it, he needs to turn arrogance into substance and put some flesh on the bones of his message. If the Republicans want it they'll have to wait a long, long time.