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Brand New Poll -- Who's Leading in All Important Ohio?
October 06, 2008 7:02 PM
ABC's Tom Nagorski from the World News bus tour in Ohio:
You don't have to spend much time in Ohio to know, a) they are being bombarded with political advertising, b) they are keenly aware of their importance as election "deciders", as one voter told us, and c) they are deeply divided this year. That's the view from the battleground - and it's matched by the results of the ABC News poll just released this afternoon. Take a look -- analysis from our polling unit:
Barack Obama is riding the public's economic discontent to an advantage in Ohio, bolstered by financially stressed voters in the state's hard-hit industrial belt – and following it up with a more extensive ground campaign in this crucial battleground.
In political sentiment the state looks much like the nation; the economy far outstrips other issues and Obama leads in trust to deal with it. That – plus the shadow of George W. Bush over John McCain's campaign – is pushing Obama past lingering concerns about his experience.
An aggressive ground war also helps: Thirty-seven percent of Ohio's registered voters say they've been personally contacted by the Obama campaign. That outstrips the 27 percent who've heard from McCain, and also surpasses contacts by both 2004 campaigns. Obama's ahead as well, a shade more narrowly, in e-mail or text message contacts.
Making and continuing such contacts may matter. Likely voters in this ABC News/Washington Post poll put Obama McCain by 51 to 45 percent if the election were today. But the election is not today, and there's room for change: Eighteen percent say they've not yet made up their minds for sure, again much like the national figure.
Among Obama's advantages, beyond contacts, is sheer energy: Fifty-eight percent of his Ohio supporters are "very enthusiastic" about his candidacy, compared with just 30 percent of McCain’s. And while that’s about the same for Obama as nationally, high-level enthusiasm for McCain’s is 8 points lower in Ohio than in the nation overall.
October 6, 2008 in Vote 2008 | Permalink | Share | User Comments (36)
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ClintonitesforMcCain (as if you really were clintonites), when you say "Does Barack believe in big government", are you including the $10 Billion per month government expense of the Iraq war? Because right now, your drunk republican presdint has made our government $1 Trillion bigger by starting a war to find those WMD's.
I don't think Obama could ever, in his wildest dreams, make government as big as your drunk republican presdint made it.
Posted by: clifton | Oct 6, 2008 9:45:25 PM
We are so tired of the mud slinging! In fact we refuse to watch one more minute of this charade. The world is watching and laughing at us! Can McCain/Palin not understand this? He has been in the Senate for a very long time, so people remember this type of activity. McCain is a very angry man and it shows!
Posted by: B. Maan | Oct 6, 2008 9:51:19 PM
Well, let's see if McCain had sent his campaign to Ohio to illegally registered people and had them vote on the same day, and if he had his campaign people go to homeless shelters and register people I guess he would be ahead.
Those that ran the homeless shelters admitted that they told the homeless people to vote for Obama because according to them, "they didn't know who was running for president, so I told them to vote for Obama".
Obama has used dirty tactics to when every election, what is so different about this one.
Posted by: S Adams | Oct 6, 2008 9:59:38 PM
Clifton, be careful when you call Bush names, your Obama admitted in his book, "Dreams of my father" that he "snorted cocaine and drank booze when I could afford it"
Obama is a junkie pothead by his own admission.
That's just what we need.
Posted by: S Adams | Oct 6, 2008 10:03:56 PM
At least three of McCain's GOP colleagues have gone on record to say that they consider him temperamentally unsuited to be commander in chief.
Smith, the former senator from New Hampshire, has said that McCain's "temper would place this country at risk in international affairs, and the world perhaps in danger. In my mind, it should disqualify him."
Sen. Domenici of New Mexico has said he doesn't "want this guy anywhere near a trigger."
And Sen. Thad Cochran of Mississippi weighed in that "the thought of his being president sends a cold chill down my spine. He is erratic. He is hotheaded."
Posted by: More great news for McCain | Oct 6, 2008 10:09:15 PM
"I'm sure John McCain loves his country," says Richard Clarke, the former counterterrorism czar under Bush. "But loving your country and lying to the American people are apparently not inconsistent in his view."
Posted by: More great news for McCain | Oct 6, 2008 10:12:00 PM
If Ohio is suffering like the rest of us. Texas may shock this insane campaign by Palin acting like a rioting racist idiot when this country needs the most intelligent leader we've ever had with the turmoil in this country. I pray that Obama will win. Palin needs to be stopped. All promises by McCain were lies. Decent, respectable campaign. Sure! Makes me sick as an American.. Can't watch anymore. Don't let our country go down the drain. Please vote: Obama/Biden Hope & Faith!
Posted by: fadedutopia | Oct 6, 2008 10:12:48 PM
In March, McCain insisted to The Wall Street Journal that he is "always for less regulation."
In September, with the government forced to bail out the nation's largest insurance companies and brokerage houses, McCain declared that he would regulate the financial industry and end the "casino culture on Wall Street."
He did a similar about-face on Bush's tax cuts, opposing them when he planned to run against Bush in 2001, then declaring that he wants to make them larger — and permanent — when he needed to win the support of anti-tax conservatives this year.
"It's a big flip-flop," conceded tax abolitionist Grover Norquist. "But I'm happy he's flopped."
Posted by: More great news for McCain | Oct 6, 2008 10:14:06 PM
He's going to be Bush on steroids," says Johns, the retired brigadier general who has known McCain since their days at the National War College.
"His hawkish views now are very dangerous. He puts military at the top of foreign policy rather than diplomacy, just like George Bush does.
Posted by: More great news for McCain | Oct 6, 2008 10:16:08 PM
REALITY CHECK.
==============
NEITHER CANDIDATE WILL FIX THE ECONOMY
IN SHORT TERM........
DON'T FOOL YOURSELF.........
THE ECONOMY IS IN BAD SHAPE BECAUSE
OF 2 PRIMARY ISSUES:
1.GLOBALIZATION
2.ENERGY.
IF WE FIX THE ENERGY PROBLEM AND REVISIT
THE GLOBAL AGREEMENTS PERHAPS WE CAN
IMPROVE THE ECONOMY.....
I'M AN EX-DEMOCRAT AND I WILL VOTE
REPUBLICAN NOT BECAUSE I LIKE THE
REPUBLICAN PARTY....
I DON'T LIKE OBAMA AND HIS TAX AND SPEND
SOCIAL POLICIES.....HE'S UN-FIT FOR
COMMANDER IN CHIEF.
McCAIN IS STRONG ON DEFENSE AND
FOREIGN POLICY ISSUES AND HE BELIEVES
IN LOW TAXES AND SMALL GOVERNMENT.
Posted by: Nicholas | Oct 6, 2008 10:20:09 PM
"Senate historians were unable to find any instance in U.S. history that was comparable, in terms of five U.S. senators meeting with a regulator on behalf of one institution," says Bill Black, then deputy director of the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation, who attended the second meeting. "And it hasn't happened since."
Following the meetings with McCain and the other senators, the regulators backed off, stalling their investigation of Lincoln. By the time the S&L collapsed two years later, taxpayers were on the hook for $3.4 billion, which stood as a record for the most expensive bank failure — until the current mortgage crisis. In addition, 20,000 investors who had bought junk bonds from Keating, thinking they were federally insured, had their savings wiped out.
"McCain saw the political pressure on the regulators," recalls Black. "He could have saved these widows from losing their life savings. But he did absolutely nothing."
Posted by: More great news for McCain | Oct 6, 2008 10:20:51 PM
Charlie Keating would ultimately be convicted on 73 counts of fraud and racketeering for his role in the savings-and-loan scandal of the 1980s.
That crisis, much like today's subprime-mortgage meltdown, resulted from misbegotten banking deregulation, and ultimately left taxpayers to pick up a tab of more than $124 billion.
Keating, who raised more than $100,000 for McCain's race, lavished the first-term congressman with the kind of political favors that would make Jack Abramoff blush. McCain and his family took at least nine free trips at Keating's expense, and vacationed nearly every year at the mogul's estate in the Bahamas. There they would spend the days yachting and snorkeling and attending extravagant parties in a world McCain referred to as "Charlie Keating's Shangri-La."
Keating also invited Cindy McCain and her father to invest in a real estate venture for which he promised a 26 percent return on investment. They plunked down more than $350,000.
Posted by: More great news for McCain | Oct 6, 2008 10:23:54 PM
Obama is not afraid of his associates
in the past. However, when Obama announced he was a 'Community Organizer', he failed to mention that
he WAS NOT A SUCCESSFUL COMMUNITY
ORGANIZER -- THROUGH CAC (Wm.Ayers),
OBAMA LOST $$$MILLIONS.
HOW IN THE WORLD IS OBAMA GOING TO BE
SUCCESSFUL IN HANDLING AMERICA'S MONEY
ISSUES, IF HE COULD NOT EVEN HANDLE A
COMMUNITY ORGANIZER FUND????
THAT WAS A SIN OF OMISSION. OBAMA
DID NOT TELL US THE REST OF THE STORY.
AND AS YOU CAN SEE, OBAMA AND AYERS GO
WAY BACK. AYERS WAS NOT "just a guy in
the neighborhood," AS OBAMA HAS PORTRAYED HIM. OBAMA WAS CORRECT; HE WAS
NOT A 'GOOD' FRIEND OF AYERS; OBAMA
LOST THE $$$MILLIONS ENTRUSTED TO HIM
BY AYERS.
Posted by: Community Organizer who lost $$$MILLIONS | Oct 6, 2008 10:57:59 PM
We won't wakeup till our interest is hit hard...that's the fact...
We tend to live in our own defined world... and who cares about the rest of it... As long as Republican let me be in My little world...I give Damn to rest of it...
Again That is the FACT...Period.
Republican will Win... By hook or Crook.... Mark my point....
GOD, I wish I was wrong!!!
Posted by: RA | Oct 7, 2008 11:02:31 AM
Allison said: What does Obama do for the current economy? Speeches?
That and taught people how to go into banks, and muscle, and initimidate bankers, and brow beat politicians into passing laws giving out loans to people who can't afford them, there by inserting his place into history as part of the problem with the biggest financial fall out in American history, next to the depression.
Posted by: Jeanie | Oct 7, 2008 12:44:42 PM
Jeanie, you are l00% correct.
People don't want to believe it because
the truth hurts sometimes.
Do your own research, democrats.
It is Obama and friends who are now
talking about 'redemption'.
NOW you want forgiveness?
The Good Lord may or may not forgive
these bullies; it's not anyone's job
here on earth to know (well, except
lawmakers - Congress - they might want
to look into this. Oh, yeah, that's right - THE FBI IS ACTUALLY LOOKING INTO
ALL OF THIS.)
The housing market is the foundation
of our economy. Barney F. and pals
blew it. It was a tick-tick-kaboom
on the American people.
Obama now wants to say to the American
people, "Welcome, to a NEW America."
Yeah, it's NEW alright. - it's down
the toilet.
Obama was a flop with his comm. organizer job. He squandered millions
with CAC. Obama also backed the wrong
guy: B. Frank and his foolishness.
(p.s. ACORN IS BEING INVESTIGATED AS WELL. GUESS WHO WAS WITH ACORN?)
REPUBLICANS WILL UNITE```````````
Posted by: OBAMA - A FLOP WITH COMM. ORG. AND THE SENATE | Oct 7, 2008 1:37:32 PM
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